Warm-Mattress — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.41K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.6%

Resolved

4,192

Trades

6,660

lifetime

Volume

$94.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 09-09 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 50% -$2,381

Other

1% 53% -$25

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$662	414	414	+0	Down	+$157	05-23 09:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$423	284	284	+0	Up	+$103	05-23 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$399	318	318	+0	Down	+$199	05-23 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$357	293	293	+0	Down	+$37	05-20 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 06:15 UTC	2	$288	204	204	+0	Up	+$88	06-20 06:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 06:20 UTC	2	$267	192	192	+0	Up	+$67	06-24 06:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-23 03:45 UTC	2	$267	181	181	+0	Up	+$67	06-23 03:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-24 11:00 UTC	4	$257	217	217	+0	Down	+$17	06-24 11:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 11:40 UTC	2	$256	202	202	+0	Down	+$56	06-23 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	3	$242	164	164	+0	Up	+$82	05-22 11:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 13:15 UTC	4	$240	216	216	+0	Up	+$188	07-12 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$233	157	157	+0	Down	+$73	05-25 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$230	160	160	+0	Up	+$70	05-23 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	3	$227	160	160	+0	Down	+$67	05-23 05:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$226	161	161	+0	Down	+$66	05-23 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$224	151	151	+0	Up	+$64	05-23 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$217	146	146	+0	Down	+$57	05-20 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$210	150	150	+0	Down	+$50	05-20 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$207	151	151	+0	Down	+$47	05-23 16:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 09:10 UTC	2	$203	160	160	+0	Up	+$43	07-13 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	3	$203	132	132	+0	Up	+$43	05-23 05:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	3	$189	147	147	+0	Down	+$29	05-20 15:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 07:25 UTC	2	$182	195	195	+0	Down	-$18	06-24 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-25 11:00 UTC	2	$166	140	140	+0	Up	+$66	06-25 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$160	286	0	+286	Down	-$160	05-20 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$160	308	0	+308	Down	-$160	05-23 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$160	299	0	+299	Up	-$160	05-23 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$160	310	0	+310	Up	-$160	05-21 09:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	2	$160	315	0	+315	Up	-$160	05-23 08:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$160	144	144	+0	Up	$0	05-21 12:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 10:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	36	28¢	$10	0x24b8ba…
09-09 10:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x29c485…
09-09 10:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	79¢	$15	0x667802…
09-09 10:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x9d5a64…
09-09 08:08:55	Solana Up or Down - September 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x6b765f…
09-08 15:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	26	45¢	$12	0x56a06b…
09-08 15:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xb0f4b3…
09-08 15:08:54	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	45	47¢	$21	0xf10add…
09-08 15:05:37	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x670afa…
09-08 15:02:43	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x57a6e6…
09-08 15:01:55	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	24	59¢	$14	0x72aa3d…
09-08 15:00:52	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x8f9ca7…
09-08 14:59:25	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x832e85…
09-08 14:58:24	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0xa2ed37…
09-08 14:58:06	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0xa36731…
09-08 14:57:45	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x7902a3…
09-08 14:57:00	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	28	57¢	$16	0x1cee02…
09-08 14:55:45	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xb114c7…
09-08 14:52:04	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x63234f…
09-08 14:50:51	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	24	51¢	$12	0xb5bdce…
09-08 14:49:58	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x25517e…
09-08 14:46:22	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xe555c6…
09-08 14:42:52	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	32	54¢	$17	0x56bc1d…
09-08 14:42:27	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x09e613…
09-08 14:41:21	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	28	42¢	$12	0x710185…
09-08 14:40:04	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xc9676e…
09-08 14:36:24	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	29	57¢	$16	0x891cda…
09-08 14:35:49	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x1491ad…
09-08 14:32:49	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	32	31¢	$10	0xbe8dfc…
09-08 14:31:57	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x8e22ac…
09-08 14:31:28	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	20	59¢	$12	0x6d0c37…
09-08 14:31:16	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0xfaba43…
09-08 14:30:55	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xa18bcb…
09-08 14:25:19	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	30	50¢	$15	0x5275a7…
09-08 14:25:12	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe40836…
09-08 14:17:15	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	38	42¢	$16	0xee18f0…
09-08 14:15:30	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xfe717d…
09-08 14:11:28	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	32	67¢	$22	0x9613e1…
09-08 14:10:13	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x5251c4…
09-08 14:05:19	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x31ead7…
09-08 14:01:40	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	35	50¢	$18	0xee884f…
09-08 14:00:12	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x7f789f…
09-08 13:55:18	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x030e12…
09-08 13:54:13	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc95a0b…
09-08 13:51:55	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xf0a94a…
09-08 13:50:55	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x6e058c…
09-08 13:50:10	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	10	67¢	$7	0x9b4514…
09-08 13:49:24	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x226eae…
09-08 13:46:04	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	67	28¢	$18	0x01846f…
09-08 13:45:25	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xa8cfa3…
09-08 13:36:00	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	29	55¢	$16	0xc2dac5…
09-08 13:35:19	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xec2d85…
09-08 13:31:16	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x944d27…
09-08 13:11:10	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	31	57¢	$18	0x920e86…
09-08 13:10:21	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x0152c9…
09-08 13:03:19	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	31	42¢	$13	0x5afd9a…
09-08 13:01:18	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x383420…
09-08 13:00:57	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	SELL	25	60¢	$15	0xa275a5…
09-08 13:00:22	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0xc70764…
09-08 12:51:24	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	SELL	37	48¢	$18	0x341e1a…
09-08 12:50:10	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xddf018…
09-08 12:50:03	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe066ed…
09-08 12:48:06	Solana Up or Down - September 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x1acb53…
09-08 12:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xddfd79…
09-01 06:44:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xc16f94…
09-01 06:30:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc9b1b9…
09-01 05:42:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-01 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x899019…
09-01 05:34:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:35 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xdd98c1…
08-31 14:30:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x04c28f…
08-31 13:58:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 13:45 UTC	Down	SELL	18	96¢	$17	0x3ad43a…
08-31 13:45:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xa5e4cc…
08-31 12:27:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x6927a7…
08-31 12:25:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 12:25 UTC	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xbcd56e…
08-31 12:02:10	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	38	84¢	$32	0x6fa006…
08-31 11:59:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x94858f…
08-31 11:48:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-31 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x1552cd…
08-29 14:20:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 14:15 UTC	Down	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0xfcf9d2…
08-29 14:20:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xa22449…
08-29 11:48:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x647f00…
08-29 10:59:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 11:00 UTC	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbeaf64…
08-29 10:47:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 10:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0x873e58…
08-29 10:44:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 10:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xedd7f1…
08-29 10:36:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0x1219eb…
08-29 10:31:03	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe9cb2f…
08-29 10:14:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x756273…
08-29 08:56:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x1ccb4d…
08-29 08:54:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf59350…
08-29 08:52:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 08:45 UTC	Up	SELL	39	86¢	$34	0xe0d8f3…
08-29 08:44:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xe2db38…
08-29 08:28:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x42fc49…
08-29 08:14:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xe8c6b7…
08-29 07:39:13	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 07:30 UTC	Up	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x053db3…
08-29 07:29:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 07:30 UTC	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7f7e07…
08-29 07:26:34	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 07:15 UTC	Up	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x49ddbb…
08-29 07:16:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 07:15 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcfab71…
08-29 06:09:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 06:00 UTC	Down	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0xb60084…
08-29 06:00:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x6fcd74…
08-29 05:44:42	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 05:45 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfdc9de…
08-29 05:39:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 05:30 UTC	Up	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x177315…
08-29 05:30:00	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-29 05:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x57c7b5…