(anonymous) 0x3bda45…4a218f
new
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Realized P&L (7d)
—
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
—
Resolved (7d)
0
Trades (7d)
13
13 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$25
$25 lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$36
9 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-05 19:44
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
76% — —
Politics
24% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on May 6? Yes +18 $7 92¢ $17 +$10 05-05 19:44
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 72°F or higher on May 7? Yes +15 $7 40¢ $6 $-1 05-05 18:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes -27 $-3 18¢ $-5 $-1 05-05 03:25
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? Yes -32 $-2 6¢ $-2 +$0 05-05 03:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? Yes -13 $-2 16¢ $-2 $-0 05-05 03:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 33¢ $-2 $-0 05-05 03:25
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026? Yes -8 $-1 16¢ $-1 +$0 05-05 03:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May? Yes -17 $-1 6¢ $-1 +$0 05-05 03:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? Yes -16 $-0 3¢ $-0 +$0 05-05 03:25