Phony-Grandparent — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$20.4K

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

65,396

Trades

265,767

lifetime

Volume

$738.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 11-04 14:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 187 days

Categories

Crypto

83% 46% +$12,730

Other

17% 50% +$7,652

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 3838 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down		+20	$4	2¢	$0	-$3	11-04 16:04
Solana Up or Down - November 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down		+15	$4	2¢	$0	-$3	11-04 16:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	112	$827	991	+991	Down	+$144	05-12 13:41
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	106	$751	929	+929	Up	-$669	05-12 13:41
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	49	$377	429	+429	Down	+$53	05-12 13:51
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 05:15 UTC	53	$370	497	+497	Up	+$127	08-13 05:24
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	42	$259	323	+323	Up	-$88	05-12 13:41
DOGE Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 05:00 UTC	66	$202	615	+615	Up	+$288	08-13 05:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	33	$195	276	+276	Down	+$82	05-12 13:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 05:00 UTC	27	$194	254	+254	Up	+$48	08-13 05:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 07:15 UTC	28	$187	405	+405	Up	+$12	07-25 07:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 05:15 UTC	37	$175	260	+260	Up	+$75	08-13 05:24
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 01:30 UTC	12	$169	220	+220	Up	-$29	07-27 01:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 00:30 UTC	22	$162	300	+300	Down	+$18	07-25 00:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 03:00 UTC	21	$156	289	+289	Down	-$6	07-25 03:14
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	25	$155	236	+236	Down	-$26	05-02 21:43
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 03:00 UTC	13	$151	240	+240	Up	-$31	07-26 03:13
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 09:30 UTC	14	$148	180	+180	Up	-$28	07-26 09:42
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 06:45 UTC	23	$148	280	+280	Up	-$8	07-25 06:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 23:30 UTC	13	$145	220	+220	Down	-$7	07-25 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	20	$145	276	+276	Up	-$3	07-25 07:14
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	17	$144	229	+229	Up	-$14	11-01 15:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 10:15 UTC	19	$143	268	+268	Down	-$9	07-25 10:28
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 02:00 UTC	20	$143	215	+215	Down	-$8	07-26 02:14
XRP Up or Down - November 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	12	$139	200	+200	Up	+$1	11-03 14:58
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 01:00 UTC	15	$138	212	+212	Down	-$4	07-26 01:14
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	20	$138	247	+247	Up	-$7	06-14 17:43
Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	21	$138	236	+236	Down	-$18	07-26 02:29
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 22:15 UTC	11	$137	207	+207	Up	-$10	07-26 22:29
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 20:45 UTC	17	$136	220	+220	Up	-$16	07-26 20:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-25 02:00 UTC	22	$135	237	+237	Up	-$35	07-25 02:15
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 09:30 UTC	14	$135	249	+249	Up	-$6	07-26 09:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 16:05:07	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	24¢	$4	0x1de3a0…
11-04 16:04:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x0681a0…
11-04 15:58:58	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x78a6bd…
11-04 15:58:27	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x3f0ef9…
11-04 15:58:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xd42882…
11-04 15:57:19	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0xbc3ab7…
11-04 15:55:43	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc610cb…
11-04 15:54:16	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0x92d6bb…
11-04 15:50:18	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xe39d96…
11-04 15:42:46	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x2bb9a5…
11-04 15:34:15	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xb8b123…
11-04 15:33:48	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x6a5d78…
11-04 15:30:57	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x73776d…
11-04 15:23:06	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xd96057…
11-04 15:21:31	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x4e3d9b…
11-04 15:20:52	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x0b5523…
11-04 15:15:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xd13f05…
11-04 15:08:46	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x18a93b…
11-04 14:56:07	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xab8290…
11-04 14:55:15	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x1c1875…
11-04 14:52:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x881c23…
11-04 14:48:00	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x74f258…
11-04 14:46:45	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xe36d72…
11-04 14:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xf00d29…
11-04 14:45:07	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x2c3639…
11-04 14:39:10	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	17	92¢	$16	0xd42169…
11-04 14:36:19	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x98f87b…
11-04 14:32:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x59f2a8…
11-04 14:31:34	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xafc9d8…
11-04 14:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x05ef23…
11-04 14:31:33	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x463333…
11-04 14:31:06	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x1edabf…
11-04 14:31:04	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xd1a83f…
11-04 14:31:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x62a191…
11-04 14:31:04	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x57c073…
11-04 14:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	9	84¢	$8	0xaeece1…
11-04 14:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x2e68f3…
11-04 14:30:58	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xfba9e5…
11-04 14:30:58	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0xf74072…
11-04 14:30:34	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x82dc64…
11-04 14:30:33	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xfffed0…
11-04 14:30:33	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0xbd3e5c…
11-04 14:30:33	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x8693aa…
11-04 14:30:33	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x7ddd67…
11-04 14:30:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x49e71b…
11-04 14:30:30	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xcef573…
11-04 14:30:18	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xa38f5a…
11-04 14:28:03	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x791369…
11-04 14:27:54	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x42dc4f…
11-04 14:23:04	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x86db5b…
11-04 14:20:13	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x0ad210…
11-04 14:18:49	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0xa0ff65…
11-04 14:16:06	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xf3963a…
11-04 14:15:12	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x39832b…
11-04 14:08:19	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$4	0xf0e50b…
11-04 14:05:36	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xf56477…
11-04 14:05:13	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x3bc835…
11-04 14:04:49	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x964097…
11-04 14:02:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x8745aa…
11-04 14:00:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x8f298c…
11-04 13:58:18	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x833211…
11-04 13:56:13	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xc8058d…
11-04 13:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0x350a5e…
11-04 13:54:34	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x4f550e…
11-04 13:49:58	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xfa8a23…
11-04 13:46:34	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x9dc3bd…
11-04 13:46:33	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x18fcfe…
11-04 13:46:30	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	0	73¢	$0	0x05bf0b…
11-04 13:44:12	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	8	16¢	$1	0xe6015e…
11-04 13:44:12	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xca24f1…
11-04 13:43:28	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x15f77d…
11-04 13:43:15	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0x8b4469…
11-04 13:42:04	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	83¢	$16	0xb6a7ca…
11-04 13:42:04	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$0	0x6d51ac…
11-04 13:32:33	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xa245d7…
11-04 13:32:22	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xe8014b…
11-04 13:31:30	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xc7c707…
11-04 13:30:39	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x36ed3d…
11-04 13:24:51	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x3d43b8…
11-04 13:03:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	18	18¢	$3	0x424b86…
11-04 12:46:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xb6eb5e…
11-04 12:44:18	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xc07cd9…
11-04 12:40:12	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x1f6d0f…
11-04 12:28:16	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x23c22f…
11-04 12:28:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0xd345ca…
11-04 12:28:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x047a08…
11-04 12:28:13	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x013e24…
11-04 12:25:00	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xaf300b…
11-04 12:24:49	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xfd3e0d…
11-04 12:23:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x7839bf…
11-04 12:23:06	BNB Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x49061a…
11-04 12:22:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x720ab4…
11-04 12:22:39	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xa8737d…
11-04 12:21:58	Solana Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x4d7a77…
11-04 12:21:48	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	29¢	$0	0x41617d…
11-04 12:19:40	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0x317243…
11-04 12:15:25	Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x61a65a…
11-04 12:15:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0xe880c2…
11-04 12:15:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xcae2a8…
11-04 12:15:06	XRP Up or Down - November 4, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x306c7d…