Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$76

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

96.3%

Resolved

161

Trades

440

lifetime

Volume

$46.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$105

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-03

last 10-29 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

65% 96% +$143

Politics

33% 73% -$83

Crypto

2% 89% +$12

Sports

1% 100% +$4

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes		+30	$3	16¢	$5	+$2	10-15 07:53
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes		+5	$4	84¢	$4	$0	10-29 05:54

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on september 16 2026	5	$1.7K	855	855	+0	Down	+$3	09-16 20:00
spx up or down on september 2 2026	3	$1.3K	675	675	+0	Up	+$5	09-02 20:18
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.3K	694	694	+0	open	—	09-26 19:09
Will Netanyahu's remarks not air?	5	$1.3K	647	647	+0	No	+$7	09-24 18:16
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 13?	13	$1.3K	640	640	+0	No	+$3	10-13 16:37
Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Tennessee not air?	4	$1.3K	638	638	+0	No	+$6	10-10 20:16
Will Trump's Midterm Rally in New York not air?	9	$1.3K	632	632	+0	No	+$8	10-10 00:47
Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Texas not air?	6	$1.2K	625	625	+0	No	+$6	10-07 23:08
Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Nebraska not air?	4	$1.2K	619	619	+0	No	+$4	10-05 23:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on September 15?	6	$1.1K	566	566	+0	No	+$5	09-15 16:33
will trump say robot during his remarks at the andrew w mellon auditorium september 29	11	$1.0K	576	576	+0	No	-$58	09-29 14:42
Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Georgia not air?	4	$986	495	495	-0	No	+$3	10-16 19:14
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 13?	3	$917	460	460	+0	No	+$1	08-13 15:31
will trumps remarks not air during his ribbon cutting ceremony	4	$901	453	453	+0	No	+$4	09-21 18:53
Will Trump's remarks not air?	3	$866	436	436	-0	No	+$4	09-22 13:36
will trumps remarks not air 20260805211427296	8	$807	781	60	+721	No	+$27	08-07 04:00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 1?	1	$801	806	0	+806	Down	+$5	09-01 17:10
Megaquake by August 31?	7	$787	400	400	+0	No	+$8	09-01 10:25
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 18?	5	$784	393	393	+0	Yes	+$2	08-18 15:19
Will Trump say "Discord" in September?	2	$755	383	383	+0	No	+$3	10-01 01:16
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 13?	5	$701	461	242	+219	Yes	+$2	08-13 20:29
spx up or down on august 3 2026	2	$689	692	0	+692	Up	+$3	08-03 19:36
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 16?	5	$689	346	346	+0	No	+$1	09-16 16:46
will trumps remarks not air 20260803153421461	5	$649	651	0	+651	No	+$2	08-05 16:17
Will Trump's Midterm Rally in North Carolina not air?	3	$645	324	324	+0	No	+$3	10-20 23:35
Will Warsh’s remarks not air?	4	$632	586	72	+514	No	+$26	08-26 20:42
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 12?	5	$626	371	260	+111	Yes	+$4	08-12 19:56
will trumps remarks not air 20260809153916676	5	$608	306	306	+0	No	+$3	08-11 06:35
will no statement by warsh happen during october press conference	6	$576	290	290	+0	No	+$2	10-28 18:37
Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	10	$560	281	281	+0	No	+$2	10-21 23:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 14:43:05	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Florida not air?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x8a91bf…
10-29 11:13:17	Will Trump say "Strategic" or "Strategy" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x34a192…
10-29 07:06:41	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x15068d…
10-29 05:54:47	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x262549…
10-29 05:48:29	will trumps midterm rally in florida not air october 30 daytona	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x3d7718…
10-29 01:25:40	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0xe4cf6f…
10-28 20:02:13	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x4e8c2b…
10-28 19:44:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0xf81a8d…
10-28 19:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0be0d5…
10-28 19:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x23b656…
10-28 19:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x74e9a1…
10-28 19:27:47	will amazons earnings call not air october 29	No	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x464b7d…
10-28 19:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x982cb9…
10-28 18:37:29	Will no statement by Warsh happen during October Press Conference?	No	SELL	214	100¢	$213	0x0835c7…
10-28 18:31:10	Will no statement by Warsh happen during October Press Conference?	No	SELL	61	100¢	$61	0x2182fa…
10-28 14:12:04	Will no statement by Warsh happen during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf5d2d2…
10-28 07:13:56	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Ohio not air?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x86c814…
10-28 06:51:22	will trumps midterm rally in ohio not air october 28 oh	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0xdfe303…
10-28 06:50:22	will trumps midterm rally in south carolina not air october 29 sc	No	BUY	208	99¢	$206	0xd9b0e8…
10-27 08:23:38	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas not air?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5c7211…
10-27 08:23:30	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas not air?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x00820d…
10-27 08:23:23	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas not air?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x81144f…
10-27 08:22:59	Will no statement by Warsh happen during October Press Conference?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x802a8b…
10-27 05:06:00	will trumps midterm rally in lubbock texas not air october 27 lubbock tx	No	BUY	171	95¢	$163	0x70f0d7…
10-27 05:02:53	will trumps midterm rally in lubbock texas not air october 27 lubbock tx	No	BUY	306	94¢	$288	0x4d0238…
10-26 23:46:45	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Uranium" this week?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xfc62df…
10-26 19:43:48	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on October 26?	Up	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0xfe5aa2…
10-26 16:32:09	will trumps midterm rally in mississippi not air october 26 ms	No	BUY	229	99¢	$227	0x6d007f…
10-26 16:32:08	will trumps midterm rally in mississippi not air october 26 ms	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x6a228d…
10-26 12:22:44	Will Vance peak at Category 2?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8df252…
10-26 09:59:33	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Uranium" this week?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6e8fa6…
10-25 07:10:17	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Michigan not air?	No	BUY	89	99¢	$88	0x1042e2…
10-25 04:42:30	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Michigan not air?	No	BUY	150	99¢	$148	0x598fc9…
10-24 20:34:00	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Georgia not air?	No	BUY	223	99¢	$221	0x53c648…
10-24 08:56:24	Will the earnings call not air?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c62ef…
10-24 08:55:57	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Georgia not air?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xee0271…
10-24 04:49:27	Will the earnings call not air?	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x89ebb7…
10-23 17:58:29	will trumps midterm rally in georgia not air october 24	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x491fc9…
10-23 17:58:06	will trumps midterm rally in georgia not air october 24	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x1d549a…
10-23 17:57:42	will trumps midterm rally in georgia not air october 24	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xabb26a…
10-23 17:57:39	will trumps midterm rally in georgia not air october 24	No	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x127286…
10-22 15:48:20	will trumps midterm rally in florida not air october 23	No	BUY	224	99¢	$222	0x8983a3…
10-22 15:48:14	will trumps midterm rally in florida not air october 23	No	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0x930438…
10-22 15:48:09	will trumps midterm rally in florida not air october 23	No	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x78a82a…
10-21 23:16:27	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x8b2b45…
10-21 23:10:36	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x93f255…
10-21 23:10:36	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x33be0c…
10-21 23:10:03	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcb4c93…
10-21 23:10:03	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x76db30…
10-21 23:10:00	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x38b456…
10-21 22:57:09	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1336ac…
10-21 21:09:21	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xac3eab…
10-21 16:45:56	will trumps remarks not air october 21	No	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x457c14…
10-21 15:39:08	Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xab778d…
10-21 15:33:27	Will Meta say "Muse" 10+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x131ef1…
10-21 06:54:56	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$199	0xdd92f3…
10-21 06:54:32	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in South Carolina not air?	No	BUY	81	99¢	$81	0x623e17…
10-20 23:35:26	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in North Carolina not air?	No	SELL	324	100¢	$324	0x0e7ad2…
10-20 17:49:11	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in North Carolina not air?	No	BUY	259	99¢	$257	0x1f1645…
10-20 09:45:29	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in North Carolina not air?	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0xb4380b…
10-20 06:35:22	Will Tesla perform another live stunt with the Roadster by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x2d2e0e…
10-19 19:33:47	Will Elon post "Tesla" on X this week?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x909081…
10-19 16:43:36	Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xcaf7c0…
10-19 16:19:35	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x39ab2d…
10-19 12:23:20	Will Trump say "Moon" or "UFO" or "UAP" this week?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xa59521…
10-19 09:40:26	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Kansas not air?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x31aae9…
10-18 22:44:39	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Kansas not air?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xf585c7…
10-18 22:08:50	Will no statement by Warsh happen during October Press Conference?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xca8695…
10-18 19:18:56	Will Tesla say "Robotaxi" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0x226d6a…
10-18 19:05:20	Will Trump say "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa02ed0…
10-18 17:25:39	will trump say fentanyl during his midterm rally in kansas october 19	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xe25dbb…
10-18 17:25:14	Will Trump say "Regulation" or "Regulatory" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x48c2c0…
10-18 10:15:45	Will Tesla say "Roadster" 5+ times during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0xb5af0f…
10-18 10:15:00	Will Tesla say "Flying Car" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x7e4223…
10-18 10:12:42	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x980b8b…
10-18 07:14:42	will trump say flying car this week 20261025	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xcbba28…
10-18 07:12:29	Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Uranium" this week?	Yes	BUY	58	59¢	$34	0xe87649…
10-17 21:50:39	Will Trump say "Nobel" this week?	No	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0x0fe174…
10-17 21:50:33	Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" this week?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$34	0x4f3698…
10-16 20:35:36	Will Trump say "University" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x75e55e…
10-16 20:01:41	will trumps midterm rally in kentucky not air october 17	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x6ea572…
10-16 19:14:02	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Georgia not air?	No	SELL	495	100¢	$495	0xe97eb0…
10-15 13:06:46	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Georgia not air?	No	BUY	278	99¢	$276	0xcf2991…
10-15 10:32:10	Will Trump say "Osama Bin Laden" this week?	No	BUY	35	95¢	$33	0xf114d2…
10-15 10:20:55	Will Trump's Midterm Rally in Georgia not air?	No	BUY	152	100¢	$151	0xa8aa27…
10-15 07:59:35	will trump say nobel this week 20261018	No	BUY	15	85¢	$13	0xa63cd7…
10-15 07:53:04	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x87ccc1…
10-15 07:45:26	will no statement by warsh happen during october press conference	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfaf29a…
10-15 07:42:23	will trump say university during his midterm rally in georgia october 16	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x4befe1…
10-15 02:15:32	will trumps midterm rally in georgia not air october 16	No	BUY	65	99¢	$65	0x541d50…
10-15 01:34:17	will trumps midterm rally in montana not air october 14	No	SELL	218	100¢	$218	0x67898f…
10-15 01:31:47	will trumps midterm rally in montana not air october 14	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x9b3e86…
10-15 01:31:37	will trumps midterm rally in montana not air october 14	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xeb7d5a…
10-15 01:31:37	will trumps midterm rally in montana not air october 14	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x42d6ae…
10-14 20:18:51	will trumps midterm rally in arizona not air october 14	No	SELL	66	100¢	$66	0xc62194…
10-14 19:51:24	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x3e0ea4…
10-14 19:50:01	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x5c02a4…
10-14 19:07:51	spx up or down on october 14 2026	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x01b7e4…
10-14 07:03:07	will trumps midterm rally in montana not air october 14	No	BUY	257	99¢	$254	0x8e7e71…
10-14 07:02:23	will trumps midterm rally in arizona not air october 14	No	BUY	66	99¢	$65	0x0978a0…