Excellent-Pigeon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

45.3%

Resolved

Trades

322

lifetime

Volume

$7.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

$26

1 position

First seen

2026-04-06

last 06-16 03:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

55% 0% $-89

Sports

24% — —

Crypto

14% 67% +$61

Politics

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 66 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?	Yes		+369	$33	7¢	$26	$-7	06-16 03:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl car phi 2026 04 13	4	$229	208	208	+0	open	—	04-13 23:41
nhl sj nsh 2026 04 13	8	$198	202	202	+0	open	—	04-14 00:42
tur eyu sam 2026 04 13 draw	2	$185	172	168	+5	open	—	04-13 20:04
atp bolt tunglin 2026 04 14	2	$181	135	135	+0	open	—	04-15 04:43
Shymkent: Oleksii Krutykh vs Andrej Nedic	2	$155	127	124	+3	open	—	04-21 13:37
dota2 yes lynx 2026 04 15	6	$155	109	109	+0	open	—	04-15 11:09
atp popko kingsle 2026 04 13	14	$145	219	219	+0	open	—	04-14 01:41
mlb cle stl 2026 04 13	5	$137	96	96	+0	open	—	04-14 01:42
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 liv1	2	$134	85	84	+1	open	—	04-14 23:59
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	3	$131	115	115	+0	open	—	05-17 07:07
wta yuan gallard 2026 04 06	2	$114	714	694	+20	open	—	04-06 17:40
lol gx shft 2026 04 13 game2	2	$112	62	62	+0	open	—	04-13 20:48
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	9	$111	113	141	-29	open	—	05-09 04:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	2	$111	215	215	+0	open	—	05-18 15:18
bra cha bot 2026 04 18 bot	3	$107	75	75	+0	open	—	04-18 21:56
cs2 furia pssnua 2026 04 13	2	$106	58	58	+0	open	—	04-13 22:00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	2	$104	99	99	+0	open	—	05-24 14:36
nba hou lal 2026 04 18	2	$102	101	101	+0	open	—	04-19 01:41
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	4	$101	280	280	+0	open	—	05-25 15:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	2	$99	91	91	+0	No	+$29	05-13 13:52
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	2	$99	57	57	+1	open	—	04-14 01:50
highest temperature in san francisco on april 14 2026 58 59f	7	$97	208	140	+68	open	—	04-14 21:40
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$96	119	119	+0	open	—	04-18 01:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 19	2	$94	80	76	+3	open	—	04-19 08:12
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	6	$90	49	99	-49	open	—	05-14 14:55
mlb laa nyy 2026 04 13	2	$89	79	78	+1	open	—	04-14 00:42
lol dk t1 2026 04 17	2	$87	75	75	+0	open	—	04-17 12:22
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 spread away 1pt5	2	$86	76	75	+1	open	—	04-14 19:06
elon musk of tweets april 20 april 22 65 89	2	$84	54	54	+0	open	—	04-21 22:16
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 14	3	$83	70	70	+0	open	—	04-14 00:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 03:31:01	Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x38b29f…
06-14 01:37:09	Will Brian Armstrong appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?	Yes	BUY	367	9¢	$33	0xeae5d4…
05-28 07:02:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	20¢	$34	0x522c8c…
05-28 05:29:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 28?	Yes	BUY	41	85¢	$35	0xf76933…
05-28 04:23:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x75edbe…
05-28 04:17:01	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $740 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xb0f9c7…
05-25 15:29:43	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	SELL	250	24¢	$60	0x59edca…
05-25 15:27:04	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	SELL	21	24¢	$5	0xe5aab0…
05-25 15:24:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x1e9141…
05-25 09:37:30	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?	Yes	BUY	280	12¢	$34	0xde30b3…
05-24 14:36:44	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	SELL	99	69¢	$68	0x5c3783…
05-24 06:41:12	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?	No	BUY	99	36¢	$35	0x9c7957…
05-23 21:31:17	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	SELL	106	28¢	$30	0xd5fdc9…
05-23 21:17:07	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	106	32¢	$34	0x345026…
05-22 19:52:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	Yes	SELL	44	45¢	$20	0x9f0d6c…
05-21 17:44:24	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	56	40¢	$22	0x274e13…
05-21 01:08:06	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0x20bc9d…
05-20 22:06:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	44	79¢	$35	0x2a9694…
05-20 14:15:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	50	98¢	$49	0x34aa7e…
05-20 14:15:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	159	5¢	$8	0xe33283…
05-20 14:15:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xd51cb7…
05-20 13:19:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	182	14¢	$25	0x8faf96…
05-20 13:18:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	58	14¢	$8	0x2be676…
05-20 13:17:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0x5bf06d…
05-20 13:16:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4ad317…
05-19 13:26:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$0	0xd8742e…
05-19 13:26:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	49	70¢	$34	0x4a0fdb…
05-18 15:18:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	SELL	215	35¢	$76	0x8fe978…
05-18 14:47:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	215	16¢	$35	0x96b8d3…
05-17 07:07:04	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	98	84¢	$83	0xb65272…
05-17 07:06:55	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	16	84¢	$14	0x548f4e…
05-16 00:06:49	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	115	30¢	$34	0x538b7a…
05-14 14:55:47	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	99	55¢	$55	0xd7a2e8…
05-13 20:36:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	318	2¢	$8	0x9af496…
05-13 13:52:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	SELL	91	70¢	$64	0xf0c824…
05-13 12:58:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	91	38¢	$35	0xe92c3c…
05-13 12:45:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	23	26¢	$6	0xc05c5d…
05-13 12:45:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	36	26¢	$9	0x911df7…
05-13 08:30:43	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	59	59¢	$35	0x10aba7…
05-11 07:19:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	318	6¢	$19	0x6ff4b7…
05-09 09:52:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	114	11¢	$13	0xbd560f…
05-09 09:49:39	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	204	11¢	$22	0x44e64c…
05-09 09:48:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	53	11¢	$6	0x0492f9…
05-09 09:47:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0x0f2103…
05-09 09:46:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	14	11¢	$2	0xe8023e…
05-09 09:45:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x7e92c8…
05-09 09:43:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x7b5886…
05-09 09:43:35	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x08f88c…
05-09 04:12:45	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	14	54¢	$7	0xaae990…
05-09 04:08:59	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	99	54¢	$53	0xdc388f…
05-09 04:08:05	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x5831a6…
05-09 04:00:27	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0xc2c9aa…
05-09 04:00:20	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0x7f9cf4…
05-09 03:21:43	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x96427b…
05-09 02:40:40	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xcda322…
05-08 16:00:26	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	191	11¢	$21	0x9ec31d…
05-08 16:00:26	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	191	10¢	$20	0x51de62…
05-08 13:06:49	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	BUY	191	18¢	$35	0x520001…
05-07 15:37:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	46	44¢	$20	0x721ddb…
05-07 15:37:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x08def0…
05-07 03:38:29	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x2aaed3…
05-07 03:35:45	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	112	31¢	$35	0xd009e6…
05-06 20:48:23	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	90	8¢	$7	0xcfec8f…
05-06 20:48:19	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xfcd3b1…
05-06 17:52:42	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	83	39¢	$32	0x4b21df…
05-06 17:39:38	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x5d1d0b…
05-06 17:15:08	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	82	39¢	$32	0x73acb0…
05-06 17:12:29	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x3452ee…
05-05 20:01:12	Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xfb480e…
05-05 19:42:54	Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x738752…
05-05 17:25:20	Julian Alvarez: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	132	26¢	$34	0xcd79ba…
05-05 07:18:18	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x381407…
05-04 18:36:24	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x1be87d…
05-04 17:48:14	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x637897…
05-04 16:35:48	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd65d3d…
05-04 15:33:34	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0xba75fa…
04-27 19:21:08	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	171	13¢	$22	0x2a0fcd…
04-27 18:36:06	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	53¢	$23	0x124472…
04-27 18:33:54	Madrid Open: Terence Atmane vs Alexander Zverev	Terence Atmane	BUY	179	16¢	$29	0xf11775…
04-27 18:17:02	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	83¢	$35	0xf0695c…
04-26 19:08:18	Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5	Under	SELL	69	30¢	$21	0xbc2a25…
04-26 18:51:18	Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5	Under	BUY	69	50¢	$35	0x15a989…
04-26 18:13:34	Madrid Open: Cameron Norrie vs Thiago Agustin Tirante	Cameron Norrie	BUY	46	74¢	$34	0xb8e695…
04-26 08:22:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 26?	No	SELL	280	6¢	$17	0x4ceb05…
04-26 05:27:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 26?	No	BUY	230	12¢	$28	0x0df3ee…
04-26 05:26:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on April 26?	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x2cd9e1…
04-25 19:10:48	T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs India	South Africa	BUY	694	4¢	$24	0x06420d…
04-25 19:10:24	T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs India	South Africa	BUY	306	3¢	$9	0xe32c38…
04-25 17:58:34	Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	54	42¢	$23	0xab6f6f…
04-25 15:05:52	Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x862e0b…
04-25 15:02:34	Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xa5dbd0…
04-25 14:41:16	Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xab0223…
04-25 07:45:40	Koshigaya Alphas vs. Brave Thunders	Brave Thunders	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0x0e7f9a…
04-25 07:45:38	Koshigaya Alphas vs. Brave Thunders	Brave Thunders	BUY	33	56¢	$18	0xf5ea2b…
04-25 07:44:26	Koshigaya Alphas vs. Brave Thunders	Brave Thunders	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x71c3e5…
04-25 07:29:22	Shimane Susanoo Magic vs. Ibaraki Robots	Shimane Susanoo Magic	BUY	135	26¢	$35	0x6b90d9…
04-25 01:10:08	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	76ers	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0xe9655a…
04-22 12:16:16	Alvark Tokyo vs. Nagoya Fighting Eagles	Alvark Tokyo	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1fb0f0…
04-22 06:39:32	Alvark Tokyo vs. Nagoya Fighting Eagles	Alvark Tokyo	BUY	9	86¢	$7	0x25aa55…
04-22 06:29:20	Alvark Tokyo vs. Nagoya Fighting Eagles	Alvark Tokyo	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xea5be0…