Shiny-Niche — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$325

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.0%

Resolved

503

Trades

798

lifetime

Volume

$8.90K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-15

last 09-08 15:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Other

97% 64% -$319

Crypto

3% 87% -$6

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 21?	2	$172	108	108	+0	No	+$43	06-21 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 10?	2	$94	56	56	+0	No	-$6	08-10 01:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?	2	$93	151	151	+0	Yes	-$65	06-21 13:24
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 28?	1	$85	10,817	0	+10,817	No	-$85	05-28 13:54
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on June 21?	2	$80	43	43	+0	No	+$5	06-21 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 23?	2	$80	66	66	+0	No	-$20	08-23 04:05
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 20?	1	$69	108	0	+108	Yes	-$69	06-20 23:03
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on June 21?	2	$69	69	69	+0	No	-$28	06-21 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on June 22?	2	$68	120	120	+0	No	-$25	06-22 13:24
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 10?	11	$60	64	7	+56	No	+$4	07-10 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 21?	2	$60	80	80	+0	Yes	-$48	06-21 13:34
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 34°C on July 29?	2	$57	58	32	+26	Yes	-$43	07-29 07:59
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?	2	$57	58	58	+0	No	-$42	06-22 12:37
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 23?	4	$53	88	39	+49	Yes	-$37	06-23 15:32
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 10?	2	$51	62	0	+62	No	+$8	07-10 11:40
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on June 21?	2	$51	27	27	+0	No	+$2	06-21 13:34
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on July 21?	2	$51	56	0	+56	No	+$5	07-21 13:57
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on July 11?	2	$51	64	0	+64	No	+$13	07-11 02:53
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 11?	2	$51	60	0	+60	No	+$9	07-11 03:13
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on July 16?	2	$51	58	0	+58	Yes	-$51	07-16 20:54
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 11?	2	$51	57	0	+57	No	+$6	07-11 07:03
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 17?	2	$51	56	0	+56	No	+$5	07-17 22:54
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 23?	1	$50	188	0	+188	Yes	-$50	07-23 02:35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 8?	1	$50	57	0	+57	No	+$7	07-08 19:48
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on July 8?	1	$50	57	0	+57	No	+$7	07-08 16:33
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 1?	1	$50	91	0	+91	No	+$41	08-01 12:03
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on July 9?	1	$50	62	0	+62	No	+$12	07-09 04:48
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8?	1	$50	166	0	+166	Yes	-$50	08-08 15:43
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 22?	1	$50	58	0	+58	No	+$8	07-22 00:25
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on July 31?	1	$50	88	0	+88	No	+$38	07-31 11:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-08 15:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc66132…
09-08 15:03:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd88079…
09-08 14:48:36	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x52c2fe…
09-08 14:48:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1925e9…
09-08 14:43:37	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xb4163c…
09-08 14:33:43	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x68031b…
09-08 14:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6e7ecc…
09-08 14:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x04101f…
09-08 13:53:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3ff697…
09-08 13:48:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x081746…
09-08 13:43:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x212e40…
09-08 13:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xc81350…
09-08 12:58:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4c8780…
09-08 12:13:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb45641…
09-08 12:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa38e59…
09-08 08:53:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd4bfb6…
09-08 08:33:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa990a8…
09-08 06:18:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-08 06:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xbd5e47…
09-08 06:08:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4beb01…
09-08 06:08:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc5cdbb…
09-08 05:18:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x400da1…
09-08 05:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x36f2c0…
09-08 05:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaf5fa3…
09-07 21:18:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc45b91…
09-07 20:08:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x892565…
09-07 16:23:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb2d0eb…
09-07 15:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe59f1a…
09-07 15:48:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x823885…
09-07 15:38:58	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf7131d…
09-07 15:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb32b3b…
09-07 13:53:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3b4df6…
09-07 13:18:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x92e8f9…
09-07 10:04:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x223501…
09-07 10:04:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xed4486…
09-07 10:03:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf2f893…
09-07 10:03:52	Ethereum Up or Down - September 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xffa014…
09-07 07:54:07	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-07 07:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xae1a76…
09-07 01:34:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x6caa5d…
09-07 01:14:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x16212f…
09-06 23:19:03	Ethereum Up or Down - September 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1a2fae…
09-05 21:49:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7f7dc3…
09-05 17:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9848ca…
09-05 17:09:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xaca7ef…
09-04 15:04:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x3a19ee…
09-04 14:24:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xae41c7…
09-04 14:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x6f05d3…
09-04 13:44:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x91a630…
09-04 13:39:06	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x7cf83f…
09-04 12:59:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xc6a0ae…
09-04 12:49:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x62d5ba…
09-04 12:44:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x6bda54…
09-04 12:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x89535f…
09-04 12:39:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x89ecab…
09-04 09:14:09	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-04 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xc4c4d2…
09-04 05:44:09	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa44002…
09-04 05:34:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xa8a586…
09-04 04:34:45	Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0afd5e…
09-04 03:09:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x268ad4…
09-03 22:04:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x34be56…
08-23 07:14:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 23?	No	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x860dc4…
08-23 04:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 23?	No	SELL	66	45¢	$30	0xf1ae18…
08-23 03:40:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 34°C on August 23?	No	BUY	66	76¢	$50	0x3ef38b…
08-23 02:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 23?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xe4619a…
08-23 02:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x435228…
08-22 02:00:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x055aca…
08-22 02:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	36	6¢	$2	0x4f3204…
08-21 02:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x224af6…
08-21 02:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x373278…
08-20 20:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C on August 20?	No	BUY	160	31¢	$50	0x2fe287…
08-20 02:00:07	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x7e5293…
08-20 02:00:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	45	4¢	$2	0x7e0875…
08-19 16:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on August 19?	No	BUY	92	54¢	$50	0x17146e…
08-16 01:32:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 16?	No	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x511809…
08-15 02:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 15?	No	BUY	57	87¢	$50	0xf72376…
08-14 13:48:01	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 14?	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x895e14…
08-13 12:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xced540…
08-12 12:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 12?	No	SELL	29	20¢	$6	0xd52306…
08-12 11:08:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on August 12?	No	BUY	29	73¢	$21	0x61c2f3…
08-11 12:33:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 11?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x21ada3…
08-10 01:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xfb5ec1…
08-10 01:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 10?	No	SELL	56	79¢	$44	0x3c6ffc…
08-10 00:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 10?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x40a4e2…
08-09 03:08:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 9?	No	BUY	59	80¢	$47	0x18b966…
08-08 15:43:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 8?	No	BUY	166	30¢	$50	0xfa44fc…
08-08 12:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 8?	No	BUY	27	92¢	$24	0x2cc9f3…
08-07 03:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 7?	No	BUY	48	91¢	$44	0x23f814…
08-06 15:10:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 6?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xaaf590…
08-05 15:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5?	No	BUY	58	84¢	$49	0x12e07a…
08-05 13:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 5?	No	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x15d786…
08-03 12:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on August 3?	No	BUY	72	70¢	$50	0xa0b782…
08-03 02:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 3?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xa67edc…
08-02 15:36:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 2?	No	BUY	41	84¢	$35	0x6fea60…
08-01 21:06:09	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 1?	No	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0x1bf6ba…
08-01 12:03:41	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 26°C on August 1?	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x850793…
08-01 04:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 1?	No	BUY	43	86¢	$37	0x9c087b…
08-01 03:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?	No	BUY	153	33¢	$50	0x73691e…
07-31 11:04:18	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on July 31?	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xc5b3e0…
07-31 06:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x8cbb54…
07-31 06:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on July 31?	No	BUY	56	71¢	$39	0x708d4c…
07-31 04:50:57	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	No	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xe7a0f9…