Rash-Vascular — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$271

Unrealized P&L

-$259

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

344

Trades

1,756

lifetime

Volume

$33.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$19

Open exposure

$211

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 10-28 15:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Sports

51% 59% +$745

Other

46% 46% -$489

Politics

2% 33% +$15

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	+1,750	$460	12¢	$201	-$259	10-15 17:22
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	+10	$6	70¢	$7	+$1	09-26 05:09
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	Yes	-96	-$2	3¢	$-3	-$1	07-28 09:32

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	103	$2.3K	3,650	1,900	+1,750	open	—	10-15 17:22
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?	12	$758	500	500	+0	Yes	-$16	06-04 06:07
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	14	$680	410	410	+0	Yes	+$14	07-03 01:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	41	$618	1,100	1,100	+0	No	-$121	05-06 09:13
atp zverev fritz 2026 06 20	32	$610	658	558	+100	Taylor Fritz	-$75	06-20 15:59
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)	2	$591	300	300	+0	Thunder	+$9	05-10 03:12
Spurs vs. Timberwolves	8	$519	600	600	+0	Spurs	+$30	05-09 04:29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Tomas Machac	9	$490	288	288	+0	Tomas Machac	-$14	05-07 16:17
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	40	$481	698	698	+0	Yes	-$4	05-31 05:21
wbc sok cht 2026 03 07	4	$444	450	450	+0	Chinese Taipei	+$246	03-08 07:16
fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 total 6pt5	7	$418	225	225	+0	Under	+$5	06-20 18:57
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$408	1,500	1,500	+0	Yes	-$3	06-27 04:02
Lakers vs. Rockets	3	$392	200	200	+0	Lakers	+$8	05-02 03:55
Atlanta Braves vs. Colorado Rockies	3	$390	200	200	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$10	05-02 03:29
Cleveland Guardians vs. Athletics	3	$387	200	200	+0	Cleveland Guardians	+$13	05-02 04:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	13	$382	600	600	+0	No	+$117	04-21 08:20
Chicago White Sox vs. San Diego Padres	5	$380	200	200	+0	Chicago White Sox	+$20	05-03 03:12
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	5	$379	200	200	+0	Yes	+$17	05-11 03:42
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?	8	$379	300	300	+0	No	-$87	06-17 18:51
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	9	$376	450	450	+0	Timberwolves	+$62	05-05 04:11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	10	$361	300	300	+0	Yes	-$42	05-10 17:27
will japan win the 2026 world baseball classic	10	$337	1,500	0	+1,500	No	-$337	03-14 02:04
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels	7	$289	150	150	+0	San Diego Padres	+$10	04-19 04:51
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	11	$279	210	210	+0	Alexander Zverev	-$12	06-07 15:34
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs Leolia Jeanjean	5	$269	155	155	+0	Jasmine Paolini	-$1	05-07 14:05
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$258	3,044	2,994	+50	No	+$38	06-30 03:29
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	5	$256	150	149	+1	Colorado Rockies	+$18	04-19 02:43
Rockets vs. Lakers	9	$256	600	600	+0	Rockets	-$208	04-30 04:38
Spurs vs. Thunder	14	$252	310	260	+50	Spurs	-$37	05-19 03:29
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?	40	$251	504	600	-96	open	—	07-28 09:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:36:37	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x62881e…
10-15 17:22:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xe9f6e1…
10-14 20:19:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x13a9d4…
10-13 18:42:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x45af4c…
10-11 16:18:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x19783b…
10-08 07:46:27	Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xbf47c6…
10-06 15:56:15	Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x10ab2e…
09-26 05:09:27	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x7789c7…
09-25 17:21:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	450	28¢	$126	0x88636e…
09-20 13:53:19	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xed124e…
09-19 15:16:20	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x9e1412…
09-17 08:24:09	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x4678d5…
09-16 14:18:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x2ed9bc…
09-15 15:36:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xa4ce9e…
09-14 12:56:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0x53bed2…
09-14 06:07:51	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x320b21…
09-14 06:07:46	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x6e1b6e…
09-13 18:03:25	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x912f2b…
09-12 09:17:03	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13?	Yes	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x88ff3c…
09-12 02:46:49	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x61ba85…
09-12 02:37:00	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xccbc84…
09-12 02:36:27	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xc0ff5a…
09-11 14:02:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xfcea56…
09-10 16:23:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xf73530…
09-10 12:49:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xb39d9a…
09-10 12:48:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0xfbc6b2…
09-10 12:48:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x9bee9a…
09-10 05:58:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xc71cb3…
09-09 18:50:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xe6a0e4…
09-09 08:25:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x05b482…
09-09 06:50:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x3dd102…
09-09 06:49:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x0aa9fc…
09-09 04:23:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0x302d58…
09-09 01:48:16	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xc0b171…
09-08 21:21:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xaabf8e…
09-08 16:48:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xc4ab6f…
09-08 10:31:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x129909…
09-08 06:10:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	24¢	$12	0x69dbe0…
09-07 16:02:39	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x4c0219…
09-07 15:43:37	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf89f21…
09-07 15:40:10	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xde1b55…
09-07 15:37:43	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xe74f34…
09-06 22:59:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xf413e0…
09-06 15:46:19	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-06?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xfd3ffe…
09-06 05:54:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x680818…
09-06 03:44:52	Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x4a44b0…
09-06 03:12:15	Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xf3d78d…
09-06 03:08:57	Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xd43e70…
09-06 02:56:54	Washington Nationals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x680601…
09-05 15:26:33	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x999930…
09-05 03:54:04	mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x2f8b3b…
09-05 03:54:01	mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x633521…
09-05 03:54:01	mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x3278b1…
09-05 02:26:22	mlb wsh lad 2026 09 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x0a5a39…
09-02 23:11:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x1d5778…
09-02 20:21:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xf8b8e7…
09-02 05:02:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xfb2e37…
09-01 16:14:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	27¢	$14	0x9cfe0a…
09-01 15:27:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x22f9a1…
08-31 16:35:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x08b36c…
08-31 16:03:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x7da051…
08-30 23:29:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x5888db…
08-30 19:19:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x38d567…
08-30 12:06:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x569488…
08-30 06:53:37	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x2ad8b9…
08-30 06:52:21	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05?	Yes	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x542c82…
08-29 05:20:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	47	31¢	$15	0x0fcd5e…
08-29 05:20:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xfcd2a1…
08-29 04:18:27	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xf9d993…
08-29 04:18:24	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x842fee…
08-29 04:17:48	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x37aed7…
08-29 03:44:27	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x48ed14…
08-29 03:43:57	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xde74e8…
08-28 16:46:52	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xa1682d…
08-28 14:34:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x2d0db0…
08-28 13:15:55	Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-30?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x40635f…
08-28 08:43:40	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe7842a…
08-28 03:00:15	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	7	59¢	$4	0x35c799…
08-28 03:00:06	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x7e6b39…
08-28 02:59:54	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	Arizona Diamondbacks	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x58a3d8…
08-28 02:02:28	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf5ba20…
08-28 01:57:01	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x19e56b…
08-28 01:57:00	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x8b3a8b…
08-28 01:57:00	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giants	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x563950…
08-25 23:49:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	300	38¢	$114	0x2e5f71…
08-25 15:05:13	Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-26?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd77cd4…
08-24 05:02:52	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-24?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x341b68…
08-23 15:44:22	Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-23?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x38114f…
08-22 15:58:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x11a82b…
08-22 15:57:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x3c7c80…
08-22 15:11:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0x7ad17f…
08-22 05:39:28	mlb pit lad 2026 08 22	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x0803b8…
08-22 05:21:58	mlb pit lad 2026 08 21	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0xeb1e1e…
08-22 04:57:21	mlb pit lad 2026 08 21	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0x016ac7…
08-22 04:57:18	mlb pit lad 2026 08 21	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x73e3d4…
08-22 04:55:43	mlb pit lad 2026 08 21	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4aa045…
08-22 04:37:18	mlb pit lad 2026 08 21	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x77e678…
08-22 02:52:45	mlb pit lad 2026 08 21	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xd8f42b…
08-21 06:50:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xe68cc2…
08-21 05:28:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xc8c49e…