Alienated-Idiom — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$226

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

6.5%

Resolved

Trades

4,043

lifetime

Volume

$194.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$48

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 05-28 20:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

52% — —

Other

28% 8% $-226

Politics

20% 0% $-0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 688 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 10	9	$10.0K	5,099	5,099	+0	open	—	04-07 23:48
btc updown 5m 1774539900	51	$9.4K	5,312	5,151	+162	open	—	03-26 15:49
lol navi mkoi 2026 03 28	60	$9.0K	7,655	10,859	-3,204	open	—	03-28 21:07
lol gal sly 2026 03 31 game3	24	$8.5K	5,670	5,613	+57	open	—	03-31 17:22
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	23	$8.2K	167,925	17,935	+149,990	open	—	04-08 12:15
btc updown 5m 1774542000	3	$8.1K	5,078	5,006	+72	open	—	03-26 16:26
atp schiess nikles 2026 03 31	36	$7.5K	6,869	4,213	+2,656	open	—	03-31 14:26
btc updown 5m 1774949100	67	$7.0K	3,635	3,635	+0	open	—	03-31 09:28
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	14	$5.9K	2,760	3,200	-440	open	—	03-30 05:51
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	39	$5.6K	2,804	3,405	-601	open	—	03-30 09:53
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	20	$5.4K	2,712	2,762	-50	open	—	04-06 00:55
lol dkc genga 2026 03 31 game2	37	$4.8K	2,699	3,699	-1,000	open	—	03-31 10:25
btc updown 5m 1774929900	53	$4.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	03-31 04:09
btc updown 15m 1774949400	69	$3.3K	5,401	5,327	+74	open	—	03-31 09:39
btc updown 5m 1774949400	85	$3.2K	4,599	78	+4,521	open	—	03-31 09:33
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	69	$3.0K	71,471	13,491	+57,980	open	—	04-06 02:35
btc updown 15m 1775566800	112	$2.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-07 13:10
btc updown 5m 1774965600	117	$2.9K	2,095	1,995	+100	open	—	03-31 14:05
will bitcoin reach 70k on april 5	6	$2.8K	1,462	1,462	+0	open	—	04-06 01:12
btc updown 15m 1775569500	37	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	04-07 13:55
lol t1 gen 2026 04 08 game2	19	$2.1K	6,438	0	+6,438	open	—	04-08 11:27
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	8	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	03-29 18:46
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	7	$1.9K	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	04-05 13:59
btc updown 5m 1774541700	42	$1.9K	2,240	0	+2,240	open	—	03-26 16:17
btc updown 5m 1774539600	60	$1.8K	1,575	1,575	+0	open	—	03-26 15:44
will trumps remarks not air 219	27	$1.7K	845	1,280	-435	open	—	04-06 08:18
cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	10	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	04-07 01:14
lol ktc dkc 2026 04 06	14	$1.4K	2,000	990	+1,010	open	—	04-06 13:26
lol gx th 2026 04 06 game1	40	$1.4K	12,121	6,418	+5,704	open	—	04-06 19:29
btc updown 4h 1775433600	7	$1.3K	3,318	1,541	+1,776	open	—	04-06 03:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 20:41:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xb6e548…
05-28 20:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xc3f7f6…
05-28 20:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd53b69…
05-28 20:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x567584…
05-28 20:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	210	48¢	$100	0x1ddd91…
05-28 20:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x168240…
05-28 20:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	206	49¢	$100	0x664b0f…
05-28 20:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	285	35¢	$100	0x9a4cb3…
05-28 20:31:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x0850fc…
05-28 20:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x34f992…
05-28 20:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfc0ade…
05-28 20:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x4ab3d5…
05-28 20:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x283f48…
05-28 20:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x0ae09f…
05-28 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe86537…
05-28 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xe790f9…
05-28 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0xdd02b4…
05-28 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0xca8747…
05-28 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xbc80f5…
05-28 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	52	49¢	$25	0xb65765…
05-28 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb121c8…
05-28 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa9ac45…
05-28 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x906253…
05-28 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x905fcf…
05-28 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x5c915a…
05-28 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3b1d5f…
05-28 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x29e1cc…
05-28 20:25:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	49¢	$4	0x227b76…
05-28 20:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x4ef632…
05-28 20:09:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0x35c17b…
05-28 20:09:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x3b2304…
05-28 20:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xba1eb1…
05-28 20:03:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0x2891b9…
05-28 20:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x844af6…
05-28 20:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xfc4852…
05-28 20:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x92542c…
05-28 20:02:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	159	63¢	$100	0x4814c9…
05-28 20:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	171	58¢	$100	0xdb3e64…
05-28 19:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x9bfb29…
05-28 19:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	43	59¢	$25	0x3fecae…
05-28 19:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	44	56¢	$25	0xa7147d…
05-28 19:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0x559726…
05-28 19:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xbbeba7…
05-28 19:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x949e13…
05-28 19:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7e247b…
05-28 19:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9c535c…
05-28 19:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x688b3d…
05-28 19:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	44	76¢	$33	0xecb7fb…
05-28 19:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc0cbd5…
05-28 19:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x91fca5…
05-28 19:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x5359ed…
05-28 19:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x34dbf5…
05-28 19:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x2eb978…
05-28 19:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x0e7794…
05-28 19:53:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$7	0x5626f0…
05-28 19:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0xf0caaf…
05-28 19:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xa56cf7…
05-28 19:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	156	88¢	$137	0x2ba9d1…
05-28 19:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0x16b3d7…
05-28 19:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	193	90¢	$174	0x624852…
05-28 18:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x4ba9ee…
05-28 18:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	78	87¢	$68	0x7200bb…
05-28 16:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	211	2¢	$4	0x22be74…
05-28 16:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	211	89¢	$188	0x7851ca…
05-28 13:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	210	93¢	$196	0x74af1a…
05-28 07:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0xea6d21…
05-28 07:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	76¢	$14	0xc67601…
05-28 07:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	48	76¢	$37	0xbf58b8…
05-28 07:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xb395d8…
05-28 07:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	23	76¢	$17	0x6da576…
05-28 07:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$9	0x4bf4b9…
05-28 07:55:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x3033a7…
05-28 07:54:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	117	85¢	$100	0x0b78ed…
05-28 07:54:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xdaedf6…
05-28 07:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	264	85¢	$224	0x8d68a7…
05-28 05:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	87¢	$26	0xde2198…
05-28 05:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	87¢	$18	0xdbedd0…
05-28 05:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	15	87¢	$13	0xc2efcd…
05-28 05:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0xa120f8…
05-28 05:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	87¢	$0	0x811782…
05-28 05:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x744295…
05-28 05:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x619697…
05-28 05:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x1f8ed9…
05-28 05:06:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x991e6a…
05-28 05:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	133	87¢	$116	0x8e2b0d…
05-28 02:29:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	SELL	50	73¢	$36	0x370b78…
05-28 02:29:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x0d1f1e…
05-28 00:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xec8add…
05-28 00:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0x874c9c…
05-28 00:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0x82b593…
05-28 00:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	22	76¢	$17	0x0eb017…
05-28 00:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	182	91¢	$166	0xd58343…
05-27 21:06:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd550a7…
05-27 21:06:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x902e76…
05-27 21:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xbeec0c…
05-27 21:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	248	87¢	$216	0xe75c9c…
05-27 20:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0xd865c2…
05-27 20:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x8eda44…
05-27 20:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	79	93¢	$74	0x347a30…
05-27 17:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xfe7df3…