Realized P&L
-$2.18K
Unrealized P&L
—
Hit rate
30.9%
Resolved
289
Trades
2,761
lifetime
Volume
$31.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
—
0 positions
First seen
2026-01-13
last 03-17 01:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Politics
59%
28%
+$23
Other
27%
28%
-$1,602
Crypto
13%
20%
-$483
Tech
2%
25%
-$122
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-17).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound. | ||||||||
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 92 | $4.2K | 18,502 | 18,502 | +0 | Yes | +$3,592 | 02-28 19:33 |
| will the iranian regime fall by march 31 | 106 | $3.8K | 13,167 | 13,167 | +0 | No | -$800 | 03-17 01:53 |
| will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282 | 90 | $3.0K | 32,722 | 32,722 | +0 | No | -$1,053 | 03-11 18:33 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 46 | $2.2K | 1,728 | 1,728 | +0 | Yes | +$621 | 02-28 19:33 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | 44 | $1.5K | 5,117 | 5,117 | +0 | No | -$133 | 03-14 21:55 |
| us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519 | 32 | $945 | 1,913 | 1,913 | +0 | No | -$133 | 03-02 23:38 |
| us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913 | 25 | $886 | 4,559 | 1,085 | +3,474 | No | -$496 | 01-15 00:15 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? | 40 | $647 | 6,710 | 6,710 | +0 | No | -$120 | 03-14 19:02 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31 | 45 | $544 | 4,887 | 3,576 | +1,311 | No | -$174 | 01-24 22:27 |
| will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929 | 32 | $533 | 1,487 | 1,487 | +0 | No | +$149 | 03-02 21:12 |
| bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026 | 23 | $450 | 4,763 | 4,763 | +0 | No | -$34 | 03-07 19:31 |
| will the us invade iran by march 31 | 15 | $444 | 2,137 | 2,137 | +0 | No | +$30 | 03-09 04:01 |
| us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498 | 61 | $429 | 21,592 | 138 | +21,454 | No | -$321 | 01-17 00:37 |
| will the iranian regime fall by january 31 | 30 | $427 | 4,199 | 4,199 | +0 | No | -$27 | 01-22 18:45 |
| us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155 | 40 | $376 | 2,865 | 1,522 | +1,343 | No | -$169 | 01-21 07:38 |
| us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625 | 37 | $366 | 7,722 | 3,465 | +4,257 | No | -$253 | 01-17 21:36 |
| us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991 | 78 | $358 | 16,523 | 1,899 | +14,623 | No | -$204 | 01-19 03:31 |
| will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985 | 50 | $312 | 7,387 | 7,942 | -555 | Yes | -$59 | 01-26 16:11 |
| BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 01:00 UTC | 28 | $308 | 749 | 609 | +140 | Up | +$363 | 01-20 01:16 |
| us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612 | 19 | $307 | 24,946 | 324 | +24,622 | No | -$96 | 01-16 03:42 |
| us forces enter iran by march 7 | 29 | $298 | 5,478 | 1,097 | +4,381 | No | -$168 | 03-07 19:55 |
| will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 | 35 | $289 | 3,563 | 3,351 | +212 | No | -$6 | 01-21 23:08 |
| us forces enter iran by march 14 337 | 18 | $271 | 946 | 600 | +346 | No | -$50 | 03-14 19:46 |
| odds of khamenei out by february over 30 in january | 25 | $239 | 2,182 | 211 | +1,971 | No | -$180 | 01-24 22:43 |
| israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418 | 11 | $238 | 957 | 709 | +249 | No | +$26 | 01-16 21:55 |
| will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323 | 26 | $236 | 894 | 894 | +0 | Yes | -$38 | 03-02 23:46 |
| will germany strike iran by march 31 | 18 | $236 | 1,962 | 1,743 | +219 | No | -$85 | 03-14 19:03 |
| us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999 | 18 | $219 | 7,723 | 1,983 | +5,739 | No | -$191 | 03-03 09:58 |
| will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026 | 7 | $216 | 28,250 | 28,250 | +0 | No | -$10 | 01-15 07:37 |
| will the us conduct a cyberattack on iran by march 31 | 5 | $215 | 355 | 355 | +0 | No | -$12 | 03-02 23:34 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||