Optimal-Rubric — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.0%

Resolved

679

Trades

1,252

lifetime

Volume

$2.54K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 07-08 00:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 81 days

Categories

Other

70% 68% -$84

Sports

24% 70% +$8

Crypto

6% 46% -$3

Tech

1% 100% +$7

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-08).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show	2	$95	55	55	+0	Yes	+$15	02-09 01:38
spx opens up or down on february 9 2026	6	$85	101	101	+0	Down	-$5	02-09 14:38
nba det cha 2026 02 09	2	$54	34	34	+0	Pistons	+$14	02-10 03:03
will kenneth walker iii win the super bowl lx mvp	2	$48	28	28	+0	Yes	+$8	02-09 04:00
will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$44	28	28	+0	Yes	+$0	02-09 12:07
lol tes we 2026 02 10	4	$43	40	40	+0	Top Esports	-$7	02-09 10:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 10:30 UTC	4	$42	28	28	+0	Down	$0	02-11 10:47
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-11 10:45 UTC	2	$40	20	20	+0	Down	+$0	02-11 11:00
lol ig1 nip 2026 02 10	3	$39	27	27	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$15	02-09 14:57
highest temperature in miami on march 8 2026 86 87f	18	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$1	03-08 22:32
nba chi bkn 2026 02 09	3	$31	55	32	+23	Nets	-$19	02-10 02:07
highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 22c	1	$30	32	0	+32	No	-$30	04-24 15:27
highest temperature in shenzhen on march 30 2026 27c	15	$28	14	14	+0	Yes	+$0	03-30 14:59
nba uta mia 2026 02 09	2	$25	15	15	+0	Jazz	+$5	02-10 03:16
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 17c	2	$21	11	11	+0	No	+$1	04-05 04:01
nba cle den 2026 02 09	1	$20	23	0	+23	Cavaliers	-$20	02-10 04:24
highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 26c	2	$19	10	10	+0	No	+$1	04-05 12:12
highest temperature in beijing on march 26 2026 25c	6	$15	11	11	+0	Yes	-$1	03-26 09:53
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$15	21	0	+21	Yes	+$6	05-01 15:11
lol ig1 nip 2026 02 10 game3	2	$15	10	10	+0	Ninjas in Pyjamas	+$5	02-09 14:04
nba det phi 2026 04 04	2	$14	9	9	+0	Pistons	+$4	04-05 01:38
highest temperature in seattle on march 11 2026 52 53f	13	$13	10	10	+0	No	-$1	03-11 21:56
lol drxc t1a 2026 02 09	2	$13	8	8	+0	T1 Academy	+$3	02-09 13:12
nba lac hou 2026 02 10	2	$12	7	7	+0	Rockets	+$2	02-11 04:34
lol gz dcg 2026 02 15	2	$11	6	6	+0	Deep Cross Gaming	+$1	02-15 12:01
highest temperature in san francisco on march 28 2026 72 73f	2	$11	9	9	+0	Yes	+$7	03-29 07:40
highest temperature in beijing on april 1 2026 19c	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	04-01 07:09
lol edg omg 2026 02 11	1	$10	16	0	+16	Oh My God	-$10	02-10 10:14
highest temperature in san francisco on march 25 2026 66 67f	1	$10	27	0	+27	No	-$10	03-25 15:12
nba okc lal 2026 02 09	1	$10	26	0	+26	Thunder	-$10	02-10 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 00:17:37	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x83b047…
06-06 03:16:12	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xefde74…
06-06 01:51:40	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05	Knicks	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x79c0ab…
05-23 02:58:49	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0xd93618…
05-23 00:54:37	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9a0822…
05-01 15:11:52	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	21	70¢	$15	0x2182e5…
04-27 14:14:54	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x020f57…
04-26 06:27:04	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x139373…
04-26 06:26:58	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 26?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd2c8cf…
04-26 06:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 26?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x8e7f4b…
04-26 02:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on April 26?	No	SELL	3	94¢	$3	0x0aef30…
04-26 02:15:14	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 27?	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xaf24f1…
04-26 01:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 27?	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0xa74f08…
04-26 01:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on April 26?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xa9bfc2…
04-26 00:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 27?	No	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x921ba8…
04-26 00:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 26?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x31a0a1…
04-25 23:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xe7bf67…
04-25 22:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on April 26?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x9ca11e…
04-25 22:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 26?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x6a6981…
04-25 22:10:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 26?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5621cf…
04-25 19:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 26?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xcb0bc7…
04-25 19:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 26?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xe31e03…
04-25 18:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 26?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x72d8ce…
04-25 17:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on April 27?	No	SELL	3	89¢	$3	0xdbeb09…
04-25 17:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 27?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xfdceeb…
04-25 16:50:14	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on April 25?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xa62df2…
04-25 16:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on April 26?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x1b8b7f…
04-25 15:55:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 25?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x55b452…
04-25 15:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 27?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xd1b0f9…
04-25 15:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on April 26?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x624fb8…
04-25 10:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on April 27?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x4c2149…
04-25 09:15:16	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 25?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x4a3210…
04-25 08:10:58	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on April 27?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x06359b…
04-25 08:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x95b14a…
04-25 08:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 26?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xd31d42…
04-25 08:05:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 26?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb9d4c8…
04-25 05:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 20°C on April 27?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xacb07a…
04-25 03:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 26?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc9e672…
04-25 03:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 18°C on April 26?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1a6880…
04-25 02:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 26?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x494f67…
04-25 00:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on April 26?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x7633c6…
04-24 19:10:12	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on April 25?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x73ca8d…
04-24 16:45:14	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 19c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x92213c…
04-24 16:40:14	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 26c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x7a15fd…
04-24 16:10:14	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 21c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x60219d…
04-24 16:00:14	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 76 77f	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xf1b434…
04-24 15:39:42	highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 23c	No	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x9b05b4…
04-24 15:29:06	highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x490f95…
04-24 15:27:14	highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 22c	Yes	BUY	32	94¢	$30	0xc6dbc6…
04-24 15:20:44	highest temperature in chicago on april 24 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x54c529…
04-24 15:10:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on April 26?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdb0bb4…
04-24 14:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 26?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf94082…
04-24 14:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on April 26?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xb0d771…
04-24 14:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 26?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf58f00…
04-24 14:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 54-55°F on April 25?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x5b5ef7…
04-24 14:05:14	highest temperature in panama city on april 24 2026 28c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe0c19b…
04-24 13:05:16	highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 74 75f	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x6fdc59…
04-24 12:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 25?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2b0629…
04-24 11:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 26?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x59464e…
04-24 10:25:16	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 20corhigher	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x32ac90…
04-24 10:10:16	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 12c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xfb6343…
04-24 09:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on April 26?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcae7b0…
04-24 09:18:42	highest temperature in panama city on april 24 2026 27c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0e63d1…
04-24 09:18:34	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 22c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xdb35a5…
04-23 07:10:46	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on April 25?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x776586…
04-23 06:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 28°C on April 25?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x901e5f…
04-23 06:10:48	highest temperature in panama city on april 23 2026 30c	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x724fb7…
04-22 21:10:50	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 19c	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf775b7…
04-22 21:10:46	highest temperature in miami on april 24 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x476f31…
04-22 21:10:40	highest temperature in panama city on april 23 2026 29c	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x9d7fe2…
04-22 18:10:44	highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 21c	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xc881ed…
04-22 18:10:40	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 12c	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x8142df…
04-22 17:35:14	highest temperature in sao paulo on april 22 2026 26c	No	SELL	3	88¢	$3	0x4142cd…
04-22 16:10:52	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 76 77f	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x060718…
04-22 16:10:46	highest temperature in atlanta on april 23 2026 78 79f	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe4d279…
04-22 15:30:22	highest temperature in panama city on april 22 2026 30c	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x2f0806…
04-22 15:11:08	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 15c	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe43fa6…
04-22 15:11:04	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 26c	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf6dc15…
04-22 15:11:00	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 24 2026 20corhigher	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcce713…
04-22 15:10:54	highest temperature in panama city on april 24 2026 27c	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x46f196…
04-22 15:10:48	highest temperature in panama city on april 22 2026 30c	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0fc1df…
04-22 12:10:44	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 14c	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xfcb12a…
04-22 11:45:14	highest temperature in ankara on april 22 2026 18c	No	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x5c08d5…
04-22 09:10:56	highest temperature in amsterdam on april 23 2026 12c	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdf96c0…
04-22 09:10:50	highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 16c	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x02ccdd…
04-22 09:10:46	highest temperature in panama city on april 24 2026 28c	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x048e8f…
04-22 09:10:40	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 24 2026 22c	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x28c7ef…
04-22 03:10:20	highest temperature in busan on april 22 2026 17c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc9c3e3…
04-22 02:10:38	highest temperature in milan on april 23 2026 25corhigher	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa4f0e8…
04-22 01:40:20	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 16c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x75a183…
04-22 01:35:14	highest temperature in seoul on april 22 2026 13c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbd96f5…
04-22 01:10:46	highest temperature in mexico city on april 22 2026 22c	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xaeab06…
04-22 01:10:40	highest temperature in houston on april 22 2026 70 71f	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe2a05f…
04-22 00:10:42	highest temperature in buenos aires on april 23 2026 19c	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xbc9409…
04-22 00:10:38	highest temperature in tel aviv on april 23 2026 19c	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x8c723f…
04-21 23:50:14	highest temperature in nyc on april 21 2026 56 57f	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x18dca1…
04-21 22:30:20	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 15c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xc816a9…
04-21 21:10:40	highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 18c	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xad0d44…
04-21 19:00:16	highest temperature in mexico city on april 21 2026 24c	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbb5b43…
04-21 18:10:40	highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 16c	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x31e873…