Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$450

Unrealized P&L

+$9

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

292

lifetime

Volume

$1.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$220

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-21

last 10-27 08:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 13 days

Categories

Politics

54% 50% -$64

Other

46% 79% +$515

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	+185	$119	70¢	$130	+$11	10-21 19:56
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	+106	$52	59¢	$62	+$11	10-18 23:41
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	+68	$41	41¢	$28	-$13	10-23 16:21

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	28	$128	312	312	+0	Yes	-$37	09-23 23:42
US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	7	$119	185	0	+185	open	—	10-21 19:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	20	$109	719	395	+324	Yes	-$64	10-23 03:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	14	$107	158	53	+106	open	—	10-18 23:41
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	40	$95	144	76	+68	open	—	10-23 16:21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	5	$93	102	23	+79	No	+$31	10-01 03:16
Iran full airspace closure by August 31?	25	$91	203	160	+43	No	-$54	08-26 14:16
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	2	$81	92	92	+0	No	+$2	08-18 21:20
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	3	$80	124	0	+124	No	+$44	08-13 01:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	4	$77	104	0	+104	No	+$27	08-25 20:11
Will Iran target Kuwait by September 30, 2026?	8	$71	61	61	+0	Yes	+$39	09-02 05:52
Will USD be between 1.9M and 2.0M Iranian rials on August 31?	14	$68	73	53	+20	No	-$7	08-27 11:49
Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by September 30, 2026?	7	$67	58	58	+0	Yes	+$38	09-02 18:36
Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	13	$60	277	0	+277	open	—	10-27 08:01
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	4	$59	110	0	+110	No	+$51	08-05 16:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	8	$59	198	0	+198	No	+$140	08-05 20:01
Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	13	$54	86	22	+64	open	—	10-23 17:11
Will USD be between 2.1M and 2.2M Iranian rials on August 31?	12	$53	129	17	+113	Yes	+$67	08-30 23:11
Will USD be between 2.5M and 2.8M Iranian rials on September 30?	14	$46	128	41	+87	Yes	+$57	09-29 02:47
Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	7	$41	93	5	+88	Yes	+$57	09-29 02:52
untitled market 1 20260803235754057	8	$40	90	1	+89	No	+$51	08-13 01:40
us iran hormuz agreement by august 31 20260804000051471	1	$40	61	0	+61	No	+$21	08-11 13:57
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	5	$28	35	35	+0	open	—	08-17 04:52
Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	8	$26	212	0	+212	open	—	10-16 20:16
Will USD be between 1.8M and 1.9M Iranian rials on July 31?	2	$24	27	0	+27	No	+$3	07-30 22:58
Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.1M Iranian rials on August 31?	6	$20	27	27	+0	No	+$1	08-25 08:22
Will USD be between 2.2M and 2.5M Iranian rials on September 30?	10	$15	14	14	+0	No	-$3	09-13 19:33
Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	2	$12	50	27	+23	Yes	-$8	10-19 12:32
Will USD be between 2.8M and 3.1M Iranian rials on September 30?	2	$1	12	12	+0	No	-$1	09-29 20:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:01:50	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x70b2c9…
10-27 08:01:27	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7c3846…
10-23 17:11:21	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	15	37¢	$5	0x3c0678…
10-23 16:43:18	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	36	37¢	$13	0xc7b39d…
10-23 16:21:45	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x9ee086…
10-23 16:14:21	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	14	41¢	$6	0xbbca01…
10-23 16:14:21	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0x9f5ad2…
10-23 15:24:41	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0xf664e5…
10-23 15:24:41	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x784552…
10-23 12:40:23	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x1876a3…
10-23 12:40:15	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x119d68…
10-23 12:40:14	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xcb6d48…
10-23 12:40:05	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x784f43…
10-23 12:40:03	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x523dbb…
10-23 12:39:54	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x44fa80…
10-23 12:39:53	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x9b1911…
10-23 12:39:45	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xba4679…
10-23 12:39:42	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xc7cdd7…
10-23 12:39:33	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x8ff316…
10-23 12:39:32	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x0b796e…
10-23 12:39:23	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xfa2abb…
10-23 12:39:21	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x900493…
10-23 12:39:12	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x7c90b4…
10-23 12:39:11	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x58134b…
10-23 12:38:51	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x6ba64c…
10-23 12:38:48	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xe7e249…
10-23 12:38:39	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xcddb8b…
10-23 12:38:39	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x2f2b0f…
10-23 12:38:18	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x20411d…
10-23 12:38:17	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0x71c74c…
10-23 11:11:39	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	40¢	$0	0xc9daec…
10-23 11:02:29	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x70c553…
10-23 06:33:14	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x91ddd9…
10-23 03:06:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xfacc48…
10-23 03:06:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	51	2¢	$1	0xcbe06a…
10-23 00:53:54	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	114	2¢	$2	0xba412e…
10-23 00:29:00	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xf93828…
10-22 22:48:00	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	123	2¢	$2	0xb678be…
10-22 19:52:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	138	2¢	$2	0x209efe…
10-22 13:23:41	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x348e35…
10-22 13:11:02	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x495c5f…
10-22 00:32:05	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	92	10¢	$9	0xc104ca…
10-21 23:51:15	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	69	13¢	$9	0x8c76a4…
10-21 22:31:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	71	16¢	$11	0x34d37c…
10-21 22:31:21	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	SELL	34	16¢	$6	0xcbc709…
10-21 22:22:20	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	25	33¢	$8	0x2ca68d…
10-21 20:41:39	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0x468766…
10-21 20:41:14	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0x5702bf…
10-21 20:40:59	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x7582cd…
10-21 20:40:20	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	3	12¢	$0	0x0e246a…
10-21 20:39:53	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xb25bda…
10-21 20:39:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x59d7f3…
10-21 20:35:51	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	95	12¢	$11	0xbb53f8…
10-21 20:29:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	60	14¢	$9	0x12cd4e…
10-21 20:04:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xd7a3ae…
10-21 20:04:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	45	21¢	$10	0xd7f8ed…
10-21 20:04:32	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?	No	BUY	91	22¢	$20	0xc364bb…
10-21 19:56:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	27	76¢	$21	0x234b1b…
10-21 19:56:11	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	0	76¢	$0	0x4d711d…
10-21 19:56:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x231c35…
10-20 15:52:51	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x4b422e…
10-19 12:32:50	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	No	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0x81b741…
10-19 09:25:02	Will Iran target an Arab country by October 22, 2026?	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x6d9b92…
10-18 23:41:05	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x24c11a…
10-18 22:50:36	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	8	52¢	$4	0xda81a9…
10-18 18:54:11	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x6761fa…
10-18 18:21:24	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x548bce…
10-18 18:04:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x784f7b…
10-18 10:22:09	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0xa2bab2…
10-17 00:13:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x4ae996…
10-16 20:16:15	Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$1	0xc08181…
10-16 20:15:24	Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xf5c936…
10-16 06:47:13	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	0	54¢	$0	0x0f1b62…
10-16 02:48:39	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	4	54¢	$2	0x3fbf4c…
10-16 01:20:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x322b55…
10-15 22:24:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?	No	SELL	7	51¢	$3	0x137e50…
10-15 21:05:20	Iran full airspace closure by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$3	0xe81e0c…
10-15 00:41:55	Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x7ca252…
10-13 20:11:40	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x95125b…
10-13 01:42:29	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0xcef75d…
10-12 14:05:00	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	57¢	$0	0xc13c6f…
10-12 14:05:00	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x5dda9b…
10-08 21:20:57	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9ff2fe…
10-05 07:53:50	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$0	0xaa1c03…
10-04 14:52:10	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0x511452…
10-04 09:01:14	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	SELL	8	74¢	$6	0xb84824…
10-02 04:21:06	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0xfa0db2…
10-01 22:30:56	Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?	Yes	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0x4410f4…
10-01 03:16:45	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xba71c0…
09-30 20:18:24	Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x33a8a9…
09-30 11:48:02	Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	42	11¢	$5	0x45e6a4…
09-29 20:23:57	Will USD be between 2.8M and 3.1M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	SELL	12	0¢	$0	0x32b1af…
09-29 16:06:15	Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x3910c8…
09-29 16:05:38	Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x517032…
09-29 04:11:47	Will USD be between 3.5M and 4.0M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0x287912…
09-29 02:53:11	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x850c10…
09-29 02:53:11	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0x2b8e8e…
09-29 02:52:53	Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xca2982…
09-29 02:51:51	Will USD be at least 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?	Yes	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x4c81c6…
09-29 02:49:12	Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?	Yes	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x2b291b…