(anonymous) 0x3c3f6b…28a5ee
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$200
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
87.1%
Resolved (90d)
11
Trades (90d)
47
53 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.47K
$1.64K lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$461
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-21
last 10-27 19:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Politics
77% 80% +$322
Other
20% 33% -$24
Sports
2% 0% -$35
Crypto
1% 33% -$10
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +140 $84 70¢ $97 +$13 09-18 18:53
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +130 $85 70¢ $92 +$6 10-27 11:21
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +155 $72 59¢ $91 +$19 10-13 23:51
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +80 $55 75¢ $60 +$5 10-26 20:35
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +80 $51 72¢ $57 +$6 10-26 20:53
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +70 $50 69¢ $48 -$2 10-27 01:06
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +100 $25 10¢ $10 -$16 09-25 06:23
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +100 $21 5¢ $5 -$16 09-25 05:08
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +70 $49 1¢ $1 -$48 10-26 20:38