Giving-Pancake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.9%

Resolved

Trades

156

lifetime

Volume

$3.14K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-27 08:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-25

Politics

44% 100% +$2

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	8	$489	700	700	+0	open	—	03-09 23:55
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	6	$484	400	400	+0	open	—	03-09 15:13
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$252	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 23:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	9	$193	170	170	+0	open	—	05-11 12:41
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$192	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 14:35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$178	100	100	+0	Up	$-2	05-11 08:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$166	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	01-22 09:26
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	4	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	05-11 13:13
will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	2	$96	50	50	+0	open	—	06-23 11:52
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$90	100	100	+0	open	—	03-09 14:19
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	12	$84	140	140	+0	open	—	05-11 12:21
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	6	$80	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 23:55
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$74	100	0	+100	open	—	02-26 11:46
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	3	$64	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 06:58
gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	8	$47	80	80	+0	open	—	06-23 13:57
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$46	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 14:10
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	1	$42	0	50	-50	open	—	02-24 08:18
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	8	$37	107	107	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 11:04
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	06-27 07:03
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	1	$31	50	0	+50	open	—	05-11 11:54
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	3	$30	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 13:32
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	2	$27	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 13:33
The American Rodeo Championship: Rocker Steiner Repeat?	2	$25	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 07:48
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	2	$23	50	50	+0	open	—	06-27 08:08
gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	2	$22	20	20	+0	open	—	06-23 11:38
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$20	50	50	+0	Up	$-8	05-11 12:26
will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	4	$19	40	40	+0	open	—	06-23 13:43
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	2	$19	50	50	+0	open	—	06-27 08:08
will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	5	$17	40	40	+0	open	—	06-27 08:08
will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	3	$17	20	20	+0	open	—	06-23 11:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 08:08:29	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x78623a…
06-27 08:08:19	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x1c0f6f…
06-27 08:08:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0xfe087a…
06-27 07:53:46	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x4e1254…
06-27 07:48:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 29	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x258a81…
06-27 07:23:40	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	Yes	SELL	50	8¢	$4	0x682fcb…
06-27 07:03:44	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x0b6e76…
06-27 07:03:05	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 17	Yes	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0x812bfe…
06-27 06:59:32	us announces withdrawal from al udeid air base by sep 30 20260626182408440	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0xcc2faa…
06-27 06:55:26	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x70d692…
06-23 15:45:47	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x6435f2…
06-23 15:45:22	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x89feba…
06-23 15:45:16	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xdd0464…
06-23 14:50:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622191733844	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$1	0xf42266…
06-23 14:45:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622191733844	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x3af78b…
06-23 13:57:26	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0x526277…
06-23 13:47:23	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x718a38…
06-23 13:43:50	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xc28a33…
06-23 13:40:25	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xa20515…
06-23 13:40:16	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	No	SELL	23	12¢	$3	0x6f54e6…
06-23 13:40:04	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0x75263d…
06-23 13:39:41	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	No	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x5102fb…
06-23 13:39:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	No	SELL	23	12¢	$3	0x8775b0…
06-23 13:32:25	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x30aaa9…
06-23 13:25:05	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0xc1653d…
06-23 13:20:50	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x5f14c9…
06-23 13:15:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31	No	BUY	23	12¢	$3	0x952470…
06-23 12:47:26	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x7f17a3…
06-23 12:41:05	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xb0fc04…
06-23 12:38:22	wti closes above 72 on june 23 2026	No	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x93e898…
06-23 12:01:26	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872	No	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xf4057a…
06-23 11:52:25	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	SELL	50	96¢	$48	0xdf8287…
06-23 11:48:41	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 31 20260622183223872	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8efc9d…
06-23 11:48:23	will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x07e2e7…
06-23 11:42:41	wti closes above 72 on june 23 2026	No	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf521ef…
06-23 11:39:26	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xd655f9…
06-23 11:39:16	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	No	SELL	20	42¢	$8	0x91b6f1…
06-23 11:38:50	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x50f266…
06-23 11:34:08	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	No	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0xe2e4d4…
06-23 11:34:01	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by july 19 20260622183223871	No	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0x5ff59b…
06-23 11:30:26	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xcc42b9…
06-23 11:30:25	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0x62827d…
06-23 11:08:47	gpt 5pt6 released by july 3 2026	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x0110e7…
06-23 10:38:32	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x987771…
06-23 10:05:25	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xa06724…
06-23 10:05:13	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x13e7af…
06-23 10:00:55	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	No	SELL	40	5¢	$2	0x0b9f90…
06-23 10:00:44	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x982378…
06-23 10:00:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0x3bbdbe…
06-23 10:00:08	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x981334…
06-23 09:59:23	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	No	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb143ed…
06-23 09:59:05	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x02ecee…
06-23 09:58:14	will the next uk prime minister be appointed by september 30 20260622183223873	No	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x7f7f6e…
06-23 09:57:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0x7974c7…
06-23 09:56:28	gpt 5pt6 released by june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x8a7a1f…
06-23 09:55:17	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x31ec70…
06-23 09:53:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x1b5463…
06-23 09:52:02	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x4e75e9…
06-23 09:51:41	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0xcee474…
06-23 09:50:28	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0xe1639a…
06-23 09:49:20	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	Yes	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0xc4366e…
06-23 09:43:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xc97d6f…
06-23 09:33:44	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc900ef…
06-23 09:19:29	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0xa862ff…
06-23 09:19:29	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0x0584e8…
06-23 09:17:02	will starmer officially leave office by july 31 20260622151504654	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x8149e2…
06-23 09:13:41	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x6d4a0b…
06-23 09:12:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 26 2026 20260622191708358	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xd604da…
05-11 14:10:16	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x3a08ec…
05-11 13:47:38	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $76 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x59511a…
05-11 13:46:35	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x01b391…
05-11 13:36:50	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $76 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x7fbdc0…
05-11 13:33:10	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xce3352…
05-11 13:32:47	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x803fe2…
05-11 13:31:56	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0xa590a3…
05-11 13:31:39	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x716843…
05-11 13:30:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xce47e9…
05-11 13:13:09	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xff48e0…
05-11 13:12:08	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xd42bbf…
05-11 12:41:52	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x1442e6…
05-11 12:41:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0xe4289f…
05-11 12:41:22	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x6d96cc…
05-11 12:33:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xcc53f9…
05-11 12:28:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x5e164a…
05-11 12:26:05	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xf04013…
05-11 12:26:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x9e733a…
05-11 12:25:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xf41752…
05-11 12:21:18	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xf455ec…
05-11 12:19:40	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xa82fe7…
05-11 11:54:44	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$31	0xb1921d…
05-11 11:12:30	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x174c7a…
05-11 11:07:25	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5f164c…
05-11 11:04:28	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x3da564…
05-11 11:01:12	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x164a29…
05-11 11:01:12	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x013c12…
05-11 11:00:58	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x091cd8…
05-11 10:59:45	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x411036…
05-11 10:46:04	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x5978e7…
05-11 08:29:38	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0x74f404…
05-11 08:20:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x205bdb…