Giving-Pancake — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

39.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.75K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 05-11 14:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-25

Politics

46% 100% +$2

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	8	$489	700	700	+0	open	—	03-09 23:55
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	6	$484	400	400	+0	open	—	03-09 15:13
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$252	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 23:18
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	9	$193	170	170	+0	open	—	05-11 12:41
Iran leadership change by April 30?	2	$192	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 14:35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$178	100	100	+0	Up	$-2	05-11 08:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$166	200	200	+0	Yes	+$2	01-22 09:26
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	4	$99	100	100	+0	open	—	05-11 13:13
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$90	100	100	+0	open	—	03-09 14:19
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	12	$84	140	140	+0	open	—	05-11 12:21
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	6	$80	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 23:55
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	1	$74	100	0	+100	open	—	02-26 11:46
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	3	$64	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 06:58
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$46	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 14:10
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	1	$42	0	50	-50	open	—	02-24 08:18
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	8	$37	107	107	+0	Up	$-0	05-11 11:04
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	1	$31	50	0	+50	open	—	05-11 11:54
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	3	$30	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 13:32
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	2	$27	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 13:33
The American Rodeo Championship: Rocker Steiner Repeat?	2	$25	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 07:48
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$20	50	50	+0	Up	$-8	05-11 12:26
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	1	$16	19	0	+19	open	—	02-03 14:47
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?	1	$15	50	0	+50	Yes	$-15	05-11 12:25
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $76 in May?	2	$14	50	50	+0	open	—	05-11 13:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 14:10:16	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0x3a08ec…
05-11 13:47:38	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $76 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x59511a…
05-11 13:46:35	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x01b391…
05-11 13:36:50	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $76 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x7fbdc0…
05-11 13:33:10	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0xce3352…
05-11 13:32:47	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x803fe2…
05-11 13:31:56	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	34	36¢	$12	0xa590a3…
05-11 13:31:39	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	16	36¢	$6	0x716843…
05-11 13:30:45	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xce47e9…
05-11 13:13:09	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xff48e0…
05-11 13:12:08	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0xd42bbf…
05-11 12:41:52	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	SELL	50	53¢	$26	0x1442e6…
05-11 12:41:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	65¢	$32	0xe4289f…
05-11 12:41:22	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $580 in May?	No	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x6d96cc…
05-11 12:33:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xcc53f9…
05-11 12:28:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x5e164a…
05-11 12:26:05	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xf04013…
05-11 12:26:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	No	BUY	50	31¢	$16	0x9e733a…
05-11 12:25:32	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $84 in May?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xf41752…
05-11 12:21:18	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xf455ec…
05-11 12:19:40	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xa82fe7…
05-11 11:54:44	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$31	0xb1921d…
05-11 11:12:30	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x174c7a…
05-11 11:07:25	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5f164c…
05-11 11:04:28	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x3da564…
05-11 11:01:12	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x164a29…
05-11 11:01:12	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x013c12…
05-11 11:00:58	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x091cd8…
05-11 10:59:45	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x411036…
05-11 10:46:04	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x5978e7…
05-11 08:29:38	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	40	19¢	$8	0x74f404…
05-11 08:20:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	67¢	$34	0x205bdb…
05-11 08:16:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x689000…
05-11 08:14:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0x50e7d8…
05-11 08:11:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0xc8a488…
05-11 08:03:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x63397c…
05-11 08:01:46	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	40	20¢	$8	0x21e90d…
05-11 07:59:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	71¢	$8	0xafefe8…
05-11 07:59:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	9	71¢	$7	0x424236…
05-11 07:48:44	The American Rodeo Championship: Rocker Steiner Repeat?	Yes	SELL	50	25¢	$12	0x14754e…
05-11 07:48:27	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	20	77¢	$15	0x397f90…
05-11 07:42:54	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xa4d794…
05-11 07:34:44	The American Rodeo Championship: Rocker Steiner Repeat?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0x5ea0ea…
05-11 07:28:17	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	24	19¢	$5	0x482f30…
05-11 07:27:44	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0x2e9093…
05-11 07:16:25	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 11?	Down	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x7c1873…
05-11 07:13:37	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0xb778df…
05-11 07:12:11	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x6acc6b…
05-11 06:59:02	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x397236…
05-11 06:58:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	Yes	SELL	50	64¢	$32	0xeeabf1…
05-11 06:58:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	Yes	BUY	35	64¢	$22	0x288abc…
05-11 06:57:01	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,550 in May?	Yes	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0xf9589f…
05-11 06:54:54	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x4ca211…
03-09 23:55:51	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	194	15¢	$29	0xfcbf42…
03-09 23:55:19	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	56	41¢	$23	0x95a96c…
03-09 23:31:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	100	42¢	$42	0x7433cf…
03-09 23:26:41	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	44	42¢	$18	0x6308ca…
03-09 23:23:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0x795e8e…
03-09 23:18:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	142	63¢	$89	0x6a9da1…
03-09 23:17:09	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	50	63¢	$32	0x0d1d22…
03-09 23:15:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xc7cb8d…
03-09 23:15:27	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0x5e0eda…
03-09 23:15:23	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x566d38…
03-09 23:14:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	200	63¢	$126	0xa69a7a…
03-09 23:09:23	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x283688…
03-09 16:18:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	300	32¢	$96	0xbc13ea…
03-09 16:15:01	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	300	32¢	$96	0x0bfbbe…
03-09 16:06:59	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	79	25¢	$20	0x7ba260…
03-09 16:05:03	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	75	25¢	$19	0xbf56dc…
03-09 16:04:55	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	21	25¢	$5	0x3c5e71…
03-09 16:04:49	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	26	25¢	$6	0x187528…
03-09 15:13:37	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	200	59¢	$118	0x4ab7be…
03-09 15:05:43	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	200	60¢	$120	0xe4fa95…
03-09 14:52:43	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	200	61¢	$122	0x10f6ab…
03-09 14:42:51	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	55	62¢	$34	0x4bf18f…
03-09 14:42:49	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xf8eb18…
03-09 14:42:49	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	140	62¢	$87	0x0ba057…
03-09 14:35:31	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	SELL	200	48¢	$96	0xddf80c…
03-09 14:35:11	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	200	33¢	$66	0xb4b96c…
03-09 14:30:07	Iran leadership change by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$96	0x06fbc4…
03-09 14:23:09	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x1c49ba…
03-09 14:19:35	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0x110f34…
03-09 14:18:37	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x3f3d43…
02-26 11:46:30	Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0xed8bde…
02-24 08:18:02	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0x054b86…
02-03 14:47:38	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	19	84¢	$16	0x7a571a…
01-22 09:26:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	42¢	$84	0x53beb0…
01-18 16:04:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	41¢	$82	0x9eb6ca…