Criminal-Watermelon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$166

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

82.4%

Resolved

817

Trades

1,323

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-22 03:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 102 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 74% +$98

Other

6% 51% +$57

Sports

1% 100% +$11

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No		+50	$20	34¢	$17	-$3	09-13 16:49
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	Yes		+5	$3	0¢	$0	-$3	08-11 02:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:45 UTC	8	$251	214	212	+2	Up	-$13	03-04 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 07:25 UTC	1	$245	253	0	+253	Down	+$8	03-05 07:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 05:20 UTC	5	$215	122	121	+1	Up	+$16	03-07 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 15:00 UTC	2	$205	106	106	+0	Up	+$5	03-04 15:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 13:55 UTC	14	$204	112	112	+0	Up	+$5	03-04 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 18:05 UTC	2	$203	105	104	+0	Up	+$3	03-05 18:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 17:55 UTC	4	$202	103	103	+0	Down	+$2	03-07 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 08:55 UTC	1	$130	133	0	+133	Up	+$3	03-05 08:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 05:15 UTC	2	$110	112	0	+112	Down	+$2	03-07 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 03:05 UTC	2	$108	65	64	+1	Up	+$8	03-05 03:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:05 UTC	4	$106	135	109	+27	Down	+$3	03-07 22:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 06:40 UTC	1	$100	111	0	+111	Down	+$11	03-05 06:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 14:15 UTC	1	$100	101	0	+101	Down	+$1	03-05 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 00:15 UTC	1	$100	110	0	+110	Up	+$10	03-05 00:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-06 04:00 UTC	1	$100	122	0	+122	Down	+$22	03-06 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 04:45 UTC	1	$100	106	0	+106	Down	+$6	03-09 04:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 17:10 UTC	1	$100	103	0	+103	Up	+$3	03-05 17:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:10 UTC	1	$97	100	0	+100	Up	+$3	03-04 14:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 21:55 UTC	3	$94	103	26	+76	Down	-$46	03-09 21:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 02:25 UTC	2	$91	46	46	+0	Down	+$0	03-05 02:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 10:20 UTC	3	$84	100	0	+100	Down	+$16	03-04 10:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 22:10 UTC	7	$68	86	20	+66	Down	+$7	03-07 22:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 12:25 UTC	7	$62	33	33	+0	Down	+$2	03-10 12:29
epl wol wes 2026 01 03 total 4pt5	3	$62	40	40	+0	Under	+$18	01-03 16:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 05:30 UTC	2	$60	65	0	+65	Down	+$5	03-07 05:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 20:10 UTC	2	$60	66	0	+66	Up	+$6	03-07 20:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 14:15 UTC	2	$59	72	0	+72	Down	+$2	03-04 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 22:30 UTC	4	$59	70	10	+60	Up	-$48	03-09 22:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 16:30 UTC	2	$58	65	0	+65	Up	+$7	03-04 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-04 16:50 UTC	3	$53	64	0	+64	Up	+$7	03-04 16:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 03:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2dbd4f…
10-22 02:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7979b7…
10-22 02:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xb7c516…
10-22 02:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x9f9d8a…
10-21 15:48:09	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xed2386…
10-21 15:47:51	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0f9563…
10-21 15:47:36	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x85b54a…
10-21 15:47:23	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x012e7d…
10-21 15:47:15	Exact Score: FC Bayern München 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xd0ad6a…
10-21 15:46:27	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x7b424e…
10-21 15:26:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x091c7a…
10-21 15:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa258c3…
10-21 15:25:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xcf80a3…
10-21 15:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x0e5c89…
10-21 15:16:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8aa5f2…
10-21 06:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xea1bd5…
10-20 17:47:17	Exact Score: Sabah FK 2 - 2 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x1f143e…
10-20 17:46:59	Exact Score: Sabah FK 1 - 3 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xd68a7a…
10-20 17:46:39	Exact Score: Sabah FK 1 - 2 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x0a25fe…
10-20 17:43:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x2ac3d1…
10-19 03:49:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf34f08…
10-19 03:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xc52035…
10-19 02:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xe80c87…
10-19 02:54:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xaa893e…
10-19 02:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x57820a…
10-19 02:52:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf649b1…
10-18 17:46:23	Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 2 Atalanta BC?	No	SELL	6	34¢	$2	0xb72544…
10-18 17:36:32	Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 2 Atalanta BC?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x19c684…
10-18 17:18:15	Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?	Yes	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x9b6206…
10-18 17:05:05	Exact Score: Nottingham Forest FC 1 - 0 Arsenal FC?	No	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xba50d9…
10-18 15:01:39	Exact Score: Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2 - 2 SC Freiburg?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x4a8e92…
10-18 14:58:47	Exact Score: ACF Fiorentina 2 - 3 Como 1907?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5a14d8…
10-18 05:03:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x00af65…
10-17 16:12:05	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	RC Strasbourg Alsace	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x404eed…
10-17 15:44:05	Exact Score: Brentford FC 2 - 2 Liverpool FC?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xfb918e…
10-17 15:22:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x391b05…
10-17 12:25:42	Exact Score: Everton FC 0 - 2 Chelsea FC?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x78d635…
10-17 12:25:29	Exact Score: Everton FC 0 - 1 Chelsea FC?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xdd4d94…
10-12 02:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xacbe88…
10-11 17:24:18	Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 2 - 0 CA Osasuna?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xab99b5…
10-11 17:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x72fd29…
10-11 17:16:45	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 3 Manchester City FC?	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0xe3615b…
10-11 16:54:25	Exact Score: Liverpool FC 0 - 1 Manchester City FC?	Yes	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xd426d9…
10-11 16:53:04	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x58f03f…
10-11 11:50:46	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-11?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xd19cdb…
10-11 11:43:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7c46d2…
10-11 11:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x9c8b50…
10-11 11:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x3cae05…
10-11 11:19:15	Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season	RRQ Hoshi	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xcd68d3…
10-10 13:54:52	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x3802f6…
10-06 06:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x86a6a7…
10-06 06:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x6ee4be…
10-05 02:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x814e8b…
09-29 17:33:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x615adf…
09-29 17:32:24	Exact Score: Finland 1 - 1 Belarus?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0d5ef5…
09-29 04:43:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-29 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xf4e542…
09-28 17:34:03	Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 1 France?	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xb9106a…
09-28 17:33:54	Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 2 France?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x6e1bbd…
09-28 17:27:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 17:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x67f84e…
09-27 15:24:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x72acc0…
09-27 15:19:08	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x11a251…
09-27 15:17:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2cd2b9…
09-27 07:39:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-27 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc88b2c…
09-27 07:38:48	lol sly koia 2026 09 27	Solary	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x01aec3…
09-27 07:38:21	will manchester city be relegated from the premier league in 2026 27	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xa74995…
09-26 14:41:44	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-27?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xf9e5bf…
09-26 14:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0xc2bc63…
09-26 14:03:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-26 14:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7acd9b…
09-24 12:27:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x6e3b42…
09-24 09:11:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-24 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xddc406…
09-23 10:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x50499e…
09-22 09:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe17e36…
09-22 09:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xd405a9…
09-22 09:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb22bdb…
09-22 09:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf04bf1…
09-22 09:04:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6dbbd3…
09-22 08:52:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:50 UTC	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xa0c81e…
09-22 08:48:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf1295a…
09-22 08:47:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:45 UTC	Down	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0xb42836…
09-22 08:44:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x02f1c9…
09-22 08:38:43	dota2 nem gl 2026 09 22	Team Nemesis	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa1828c…
09-22 08:31:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:30 UTC	Up	SELL	11	42¢	$4	0xd7d36d…
09-22 08:31:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 08:30 UTC	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xae00d9…
09-22 07:53:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-22 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xdd920b…
09-22 07:52:37	Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sofia Costoulas	Sofia Costoulas	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x1b36b9…
09-20 06:57:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 06:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x485917…
09-15 08:37:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x61e4a2…
09-15 08:37:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:35 UTC	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x92abea…
09-15 08:29:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:25 UTC	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe09484…
09-15 08:23:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x2f81aa…
09-15 08:23:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:20 UTC	Down	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x862044…
09-15 08:21:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdd5ea4…
09-15 08:18:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xf10049…
09-15 08:18:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:15 UTC	Up	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x4f886d…
09-15 08:16:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x11c237…
09-15 08:13:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:10 UTC	Down	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0x14f3ab…
09-15 08:12:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3aa8a2…
09-15 08:08:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:05 UTC	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x71fe18…
09-15 08:07:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:05 UTC	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xb964c7…
09-15 08:04:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-15 08:00 UTC	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xaf97aa…