Dark-Follower — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$123

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.0%

Resolved

Trades

263

lifetime

Volume

$33.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$128

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-01 15:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% 0% $-131

Crypto

25% 50% +$50

Other

24% 0% $-41

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	15	$3.7K	3,002	3,002	+0	open	—	05-15 19:27
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	8	$2.8K	3,100	2,230	+870	open	—	04-07 22:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	6	$2.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	01-17 14:02
btc updown 15m 1770855300	5	$2.5K	1,748	1,722	+26	open	—	02-12 00:30
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	8	$2.1K	1,700	1,700	+0	open	—	04-07 23:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$1.8K	2,100	2,100	+0	open	—	05-23 22:16
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	25	$1.7K	6,308	7,308	-1,000	open	—	05-12 17:14
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$1.4K	2,723	2,723	+0	open	—	04-03 16:13
btc updown 5m 1770955500	1	$1.4K	3,785	0	+3,785	open	—	02-13 04:09
will hannah spencer win the gorton and denton by election	5	$1.3K	2,022	2,022	+0	open	—	02-25 17:33
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	14	$1.3K	1,501	2,401	-900	open	—	05-11 20:50
btc updown 15m 1770521400	5	$1.2K	1,580	1,558	+22	open	—	02-08 03:38
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	6	$1.1K	3,190	3,190	+0	open	—	03-25 18:08
btc updown 15m 1770430500	2	$1.0K	870	863	+7	open	—	02-07 02:30
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	7	$940	3,267	3,267	+0	open	—	04-13 13:59
btc updown 5m 1770942900	4	$914	2,148	2,124	+24	open	—	02-13 00:39
will matt goodwin reform win the gorton and denton by election	5	$693	355	655	-300	open	—	02-24 20:47
will angeliki stogia win the gorton and denton by election	27	$581	2,960	2,661	+299	open	—	02-24 21:52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	2	$431	400	400	+0	open	—	06-01 15:39
will pumpfun be accused of insider trading	1	$410	500	0	+500	open	—	02-23 21:40
btc updown 15m 1770429600	3	$394	339	334	+5	open	—	02-07 02:13
uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	7	$338	595	548	+47	open	—	02-07 22:51
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	19	$329	3,161	3,161	+0	open	—	04-21 13:48
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	12	$303	3,300	1,300	+2,000	open	—	05-23 21:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	4	$299	354	354	+0	open	—	04-20 14:24
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	2	$281	500	500	+0	open	—	01-14 11:50
btc updown 5m 1770942600	2	$181	210	207	+3	open	—	02-13 00:30
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?	2	$169	413	413	+0	No	$-131	04-13 00:49
btc updown 5m 1772040600	2	$159	195	192	+3	open	—	02-25 17:31
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	2	$157	476	476	+0	open	—	03-01 15:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 15:39:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	53¢	$214	0x57246a…
06-01 15:20:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	54¢	$218	0xa6719c…
05-28 17:24:45	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$41	0xa8fc43…
05-28 13:08:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$17	0x9652e9…
05-26 15:24:53	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0x8fa36c…
05-26 15:14:36	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x2eb367…
05-23 22:16:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,100	54¢	$1,134	0x14874d…
05-23 21:37:35	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	2,000	3¢	$60	0x2f42f4…
05-23 20:46:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	SELL	1,300	3¢	$39	0x684592…
05-23 20:30:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,463	35¢	$510	0x6fa460…
05-23 20:26:01	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	31¢	$93	0xe9f266…
05-23 20:10:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	337	30¢	$100	0xa3de04…
05-21 04:02:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	140	15¢	$21	0xca4e0f…
05-21 03:49:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xb13d5c…
05-21 03:31:25	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x16bfec…
05-21 03:30:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xa83fbb…
05-21 03:21:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xce31ee…
05-21 03:20:20	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0x031a7e…
05-21 03:09:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	625	15¢	$94	0x80ee59…
05-21 02:52:10	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	150	15¢	$22	0xa5674a…
05-21 02:27:29	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	15	15¢	$2	0x17d1cc…
05-20 22:35:56	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	300	18¢	$54	0xb0b8c3…
05-19 14:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	69	28¢	$19	0x29712d…
05-19 14:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	53	33¢	$18	0x5bbb82…
05-19 14:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x0fdbb3…
05-19 14:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xbcffe0…
05-15 19:27:29	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	SELL	375	14¢	$52	0xe71e6d…
05-15 18:25:53	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	SELL	375	9¢	$34	0xc11e17…
05-14 18:11:03	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	SELL	750	63¢	$473	0xaf3e92…
05-14 18:10:42	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,501	63¢	$946	0x16db0d…
05-14 17:58:57	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd2de82…
05-14 17:58:55	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	63¢	$32	0xde7e1b…
05-14 17:58:52	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0x87ad7a…
05-14 17:58:48	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	144	62¢	$89	0x0c2cef…
05-14 17:28:14	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x1d181b…
05-14 17:27:24	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	300	66¢	$198	0xedae47…
05-14 16:39:37	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	250	83¢	$207	0xc9f374…
05-14 16:39:02	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	82¢	$820	0x1c4d73…
05-14 16:38:11	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x8f9ab9…
05-14 16:18:51	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	587	68¢	$400	0x63ce23…
05-14 16:18:46	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	Yes	BUY	448	67¢	$300	0x5c0e6c…
05-14 12:09:02	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	SELL	788	0¢	$1	0xbd3c45…
05-13 22:55:34	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x214b7d…
05-13 22:55:16	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x6d96d2…
05-13 22:33:13	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	230	17¢	$39	0xe84319…
05-13 22:30:23	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	150	16¢	$24	0x2e9f83…
05-13 22:29:55	Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??	No	BUY	300	16¢	$48	0xfac280…
05-13 21:58:22	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x9454ea…
05-12 17:14:40	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,308	9¢	$406	0xed19e4…
05-12 16:38:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	600	10¢	$61	0x0c17b1…
05-12 15:59:08	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	87	10¢	$9	0x954c09…
05-12 15:58:24	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	700	10¢	$71	0x743549…
05-12 15:58:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	10¢	$204	0x028dac…
05-12 14:21:50	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	11¢	$55	0x52caf3…
05-12 11:59:23	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0x8a035e…
05-12 11:57:38	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xf262f7…
05-12 11:55:44	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$10	0x6148df…
05-11 20:51:34	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	43¢	$50	0x0f2035…
05-11 20:50:05	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	946	31¢	$293	0xe40aa1…
05-11 20:49:07	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	35¢	$3	0x5f0560…
05-11 20:47:24	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xfac96f…
05-11 20:47:22	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	35¢	$5	0xbd3a0e…
05-11 20:47:15	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	21	35¢	$7	0xb08a05…
05-11 20:47:15	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	23	35¢	$8	0x375c79…
05-11 20:47:13	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	35¢	$10	0x69b715…
05-11 20:43:19	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	33¢	$15	0x450fe0…
05-11 20:43:15	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	34¢	$340	0x424d51…
05-11 20:27:13	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xdef66c…
05-11 20:22:59	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	22¢	$110	0xe4e48e…
05-11 20:22:26	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	358	26¢	$93	0x5cc427…
05-11 19:59:29	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	310	55¢	$170	0xa8084e…
05-11 19:50:44	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	310	55¢	$170	0xf7a9d4…
05-10 23:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	117	2¢	$3	0x0db200…
05-10 23:28:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	47	53¢	$25	0xc57940…
05-10 23:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	76¢	$25	0xe89191…
05-10 23:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0xb818e2…
05-10 23:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0xf1d9d3…
05-08 22:04:30	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	63¢	$57	0x2d9653…
05-08 05:42:09	Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	279	4¢	$11	0xa36c7a…
05-08 05:20:00	Will the Labour Party win at least 400 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x88bb27…
05-08 05:09:09	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x7e179c…
05-08 04:49:46	Will the Labour Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	No	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x5337ad…
05-08 03:52:32	Will Reform UK win at least 2000 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x41eb56…
04-27 16:48:10	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,500	15¢	$225	0xc2e064…
04-27 15:55:46	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,500	15¢	$225	0xb9bc69…
04-25 09:33:34	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	52	15¢	$8	0x16e3c8…
04-25 08:51:08	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	15¢	$15	0x4db7ff…
04-25 08:49:48	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	15¢	$45	0xfba5c9…
04-25 08:36:08	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0xf5a7ca…
04-25 08:33:34	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	118	15¢	$18	0xeb57b0…
04-25 08:31:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x4dd972…
04-25 08:21:26	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	109	15¢	$16	0x60a57a…
04-25 07:58:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xf53aed…
04-25 07:58:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xbfb13e…
04-25 07:48:22	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x0460ee…
04-25 06:11:44	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xf82fff…
04-25 06:02:12	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	137	15¢	$21	0x5a68a6…
04-24 16:17:56	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	18¢	$180	0xc886d6…
04-21 13:48:34	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,359	4¢	$105	0xe3648c…
04-20 14:39:08	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	786	8¢	$62	0x0eea49…