Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

88.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$191

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$29

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-26 14:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

55% 86% -$3

Politics

21% 50% -$9

Crypto

16% 100% +$8

Tech

7% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	Yes		+20	$14	86¢	$17	+$3	10-26 14:01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 15%-18%?	No		+12	$10	98¢	$12	+$2	10-25 09:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will lighter reach 3pt50 in january	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	01-30 14:40
will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$21	21	+21	Yes	+$0	01-30 15:48
will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in january 2026	1	$19	19	+19	No	+$0	01-30 13:20
will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$15	15	+15	No	+$0	01-31 13:41
Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	1	$14	20	+20	open	—	10-26 14:01
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$13	20	+20	No	+$7	10-02 07:20
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,800 on September 23?	2	$12	20	+20	No	+$8	09-21 23:05
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more?	1	$11	13	+13	open	—	10-25 23:30
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	1	$11	17	+17	Yes	-$11	09-19 22:24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 15%-18%?	1	$10	12	+12	open	—	10-25 09:51
Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 50 million views on day 3?	1	$9	11	+11	No	+$2	09-21 22:15
Will India A win?	1	$9	11	+11	No	+$2	10-25 00:29
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	1	$8	10	+10	No	+$2	10-23 22:47
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 27?	2	$7	11	+11	Yes	-$7	10-26 11:00
will lighter dip to 1pt00 in january	1	$5	5	+5	No	+$0	01-31 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 14:01:03	Will Elon Musk post 1000+ tweets in November 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x027d20…
10-26 11:00:17	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 27?	No	BUY	11	60¢	$7	0x4c0ed6…
10-26 08:36:35	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 27?	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xb8cdd0…
10-25 23:30:02	Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more?	No	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0x641761…
10-25 09:51:18	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 15%-18%?	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xd0d259…
10-25 00:29:33	Will India A win?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x7088ba…
10-23 22:47:21	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 2%?	No	BUY	10	84¢	$8	0x2d7f8e…
10-02 07:20:06	Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0x86da15…
09-21 23:05:12	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,800 on September 23?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xcaa863…
09-21 23:05:12	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,800 on September 23?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x881f2c…
09-21 22:15:57	Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 50 million views on day 3?	No	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x047810…
09-19 22:24:34	Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	No	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x54e5ce…
01-31 13:52:30	will lighter dip to 1pt00 in january	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe83b45…
01-31 13:41:48	will amazon be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x498565…
01-30 15:48:14	will apple be the third largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x7376df…
01-30 14:40:58	will lighter reach 3pt50 in january	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x15df23…
01-30 13:20:38	will dogecoin dip to 0pt05 in january 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x44f6b8…