Frightened-Encouragement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$34

Unrealized P&L

-$10

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

169

Trades

212

lifetime

Volume

$490

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-29

last 09-02 20:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

79% 78% -$28

Politics

16% 80% +$0

Sports

3% 50% $0

Tech

1% 0% -$5

Crypto

1% 67% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes		+2,404	$12	0¢	$2	-$10	09-02 20:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	1	$12	2,404	0	+2,404	open	—	09-02 20:09
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 29?	2	$12	14	0	+14	Yes	-$12	06-28 17:55
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 12?	2	$9	10	0	+10	No	+$1	07-11 19:12
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 20?	2	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$2	07-20 12:32
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 16?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	$0	08-16 07:42
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	-$1	08-08 08:36
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 15?	2	$7	5	5	+0	No	-$1	08-15 09:41
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 22?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	-$1	08-22 11:23
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 24?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	07-23 06:07
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 15?	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	-$1	08-15 09:23
will trump meet with vladimir putin in june 2026	2	$6	3	3	+0	No	+$0	06-26 06:52
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 16?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	-$3	08-16 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 15?	2	$6	5	5	+0	Yes	-$2	08-15 12:11
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 24?	3	$6	5	5	+0	No	-$1	07-24 05:59
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 16?	4	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	-$3	08-16 21:13
will mrbeast say thank you during his next video	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	-$5	04-12 16:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	05-04 11:59
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-18 15:20
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-18 15:19
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 28?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	07-28 12:30
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 1?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	07-30 08:32
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-14 21:02
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	05-04 11:59
Will Trump say "Shakespeare" during King Charles visit?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	04-28 06:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	04-12 15:55
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	-$5	06-01 06:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-04 11:59
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	05-18 15:19
Starmer out by June 15, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-01 06:25
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	06-01 06:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 20:09:12	Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	2,404	0¢	$12	0x92e1a4…
08-22 11:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 22?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0xdfc607…
08-22 05:48:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on August 22?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xeea827…
08-22 03:30:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x64f0b9…
08-21 19:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 21?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd4d12f…
08-20 00:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 20?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xec4886…
08-19 23:51:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xb1d622…
08-19 22:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 20?	No	BUY	0	78¢	$0	0xc9e250…
08-19 21:57:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 19?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0xc82097…
08-19 21:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 20?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xcbce64…
08-19 21:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on August 20?	No	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x8bc892…
08-17 14:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x0f60ba…
08-17 05:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xff080c…
08-17 02:52:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 18?	No	BUY	0	79¢	$0	0x1167b5…
08-17 02:52:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 18?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xfcfc1c…
08-16 22:13:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 16?	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x2b6c1d…
08-16 21:13:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 16?	No	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xc71cbe…
08-16 19:35:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 16?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x7df414…
08-16 19:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 31°C on August 17?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x10b9b4…
08-16 18:05:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 16?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1144a8…
08-16 18:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 16?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xd4e741…
08-16 18:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 16?	No	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0xae714b…
08-16 10:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 16?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xc1dc4d…
08-16 07:42:51	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 16?	No	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x0ca5f7…
08-16 01:01:43	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on August 16?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x78d980…
08-15 16:17:21	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 16?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xcd6762…
08-15 12:17:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 15?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xa623dd…
08-15 12:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 15?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x470e61…
08-15 09:41:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 15?	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xfd2f15…
08-15 09:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 15?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xd1a511…
08-15 09:02:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 16?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xb056d0…
08-15 00:47:00	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 15?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x80ffbe…
08-14 01:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 26°C on August 14?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x32252e…
08-14 01:19:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 15?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xd83a42…
08-14 00:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on August 15?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa39c36…
08-14 00:46:07	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on August 15?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xee301f…
08-13 22:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x640cd3…
08-13 21:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 14?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x8723b6…
08-13 21:01:52	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 14?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x79929e…
08-13 20:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 14?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9ad2d4…
08-08 08:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8?	No	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x5d8c81…
08-08 00:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on August 9?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xea850c…
08-06 20:12:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xc1fa2e…
08-06 19:25:32	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x059195…
08-06 18:16:41	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 7?	No	BUY	3	84¢	$3	0x83d415…
08-06 18:16:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 7?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x537eee…
08-06 18:16:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 7?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x819dab…
08-06 05:59:50	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x0b1ce0…
07-31 08:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 1?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8efddf…
07-31 05:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on August 1?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x8e42f3…
07-30 08:32:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 1?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x0dce7b…
07-28 12:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 28?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xcadd2d…
07-25 11:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 27?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x57332e…
07-24 08:30:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on July 24?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xcd50bd…
07-24 08:29:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on July 25?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xacbaae…
07-24 08:28:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 26?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x29e4cf…
07-24 05:59:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 24?	No	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0xc33815…
07-24 02:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 24?	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x46cf2b…
07-24 02:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 24?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x350ab4…
07-23 06:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 24?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x5fa931…
07-23 02:22:27	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 24?	No	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0d30e0…
07-22 16:02:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?	No	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x6074bf…
07-21 18:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 23?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf1d269…
07-21 08:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 21?	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xe63170…
07-21 08:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 23?	No	BUY	0	66¢	$0	0x15d1d1…
07-21 08:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on July 23?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xbbb563…
07-21 05:07:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 22?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x18b38e…
07-21 03:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1e788a…
07-20 16:25:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 21?	No	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x659888…
07-20 12:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x31a163…
07-20 12:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 21?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x79bb7a…
07-20 08:13:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 20?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8b1ed9…
07-19 00:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on July 19?	No	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x7f6e43…
07-16 06:38:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	616	0¢	$1	0x9d7bdf…
07-16 02:40:53	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 17?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x934355…
07-15 19:33:56	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5c338a…
07-15 18:07:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 32°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xa51e31…
07-14 12:28:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x5a2025…
07-14 07:20:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on July 16?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x486b9d…
07-13 19:56:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 14?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xc19dd6…
07-12 14:58:28	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on July 13?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xf76985…
07-12 07:34:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 13?	No	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x22bb3f…
07-12 07:25:34	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 13?	No	BUY	3	90¢	$2	0x701096…
07-11 19:12:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 12?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$5	0xc2551c…
07-11 18:32:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 12?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb30327…
07-08 09:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on July 9?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x07067a…
07-08 09:00:23	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 10?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7170cf…
07-07 15:43:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 8?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9fb396…
07-06 19:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 7?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x411bc9…
07-06 08:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 6?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfac0ce…
07-06 08:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on July 8?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xb94b10…
07-06 08:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on July 8?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3ce97d…
07-05 19:25:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 6?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x43492c…
07-05 07:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 7?	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf64de5…
07-05 07:45:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 5?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xda6f5a…
07-05 07:45:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 7?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xab0f7b…
07-05 00:35:02	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on July 5?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xee60e7…
07-05 00:34:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on July 5?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xe4b9da…
07-04 13:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x081500…
07-04 13:26:50	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 4?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0b9796…