Forsaken-Shipyard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$867

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.5%

Resolved

Trades

436

lifetime

Volume

$34.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 05-11 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 26% $-867

Politics

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 15 2026 3pm et	2	$3.4K	4,712	4,638	+74	open	—	03-15 19:24
btc updown 5m 1773603000	4	$2.1K	1,835	1,807	+28	open	—	03-15 19:32
btc updown 15m 1773736200	2	$1.6K	1,261	1,243	+19	open	—	03-17 08:35
bitcoin up or down march 3 11am et	5	$1.1K	5,872	5,872	+0	open	—	03-03 16:37
btc updown 15m 1772994600	4	$1.1K	824	813	+11	open	—	03-08 18:41
btc updown 15m 1773600300	1	$1000	3,555	0	+3,555	open	—	03-15 18:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	6	$908	1,535	1,535	+0	Down	+$308	05-07 15:13
sol updown 15m 1772991900	6	$821	1,729	401	+1,327	open	—	03-08 17:51
sol updown 5m 1772201400	2	$699	407	403	+4	open	—	02-27 14:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	19	$575	4,258	0	+4,258	Up	$-575	05-11 17:40
btc updown 5m 1772989800	3	$492	298	295	+4	open	—	03-08 17:15
btc updown 15m 1773588600	3	$447	537	530	+7	open	—	03-15 15:44
btc updown 15m 1773092700	3	$419	315	312	+3	open	—	03-09 22:00
sol updown 15m 1773597600	5	$402	755	744	+10	open	—	03-15 18:09
btc updown 15m 1772780400	5	$401	351	348	+3	open	—	03-06 07:13
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	1	$400	1,481	0	+1,481	open	—	02-27 15:17
btc updown 5m 1772613600	3	$400	7,126	0	+7,126	open	—	03-04 08:42
btc updown 15m 1773170100	4	$400	1,112	0	+1,112	open	—	03-10 19:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	3	$334	250	250	+0	Down	+$132	05-06 20:49
btc updown 15m 1772390700	2	$330	246	242	+4	open	—	03-01 18:58
bitcoin up or down march 3 2pm et	2	$309	250	250	+0	open	—	03-03 19:53
btc updown 15m 1772748900	3	$305	230	227	+3	open	—	03-05 22:30
btc updown 5m 1772202000	1	$300	662	0	+662	open	—	02-27 14:21
btc updown 5m 1773580800	3	$300	2,454	0	+2,454	open	—	03-15 13:23
sol updown 5m 1772920200	2	$300	464	0	+464	open	—	03-07 21:53
btc updown 5m 1773599100	2	$286	190	187	+3	open	—	03-15 18:30
btc updown 15m 1772643600	2	$282	185	182	+3	open	—	03-04 17:16
sol updown 5m 1772979300	2	$281	488	485	+3	open	—	03-08 14:18
btc updown 5m 1772922300	3	$279	173	171	+2	open	—	03-07 22:30
btc updown 5m 1773583200	3	$279	158	157	+1	open	—	03-15 14:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 17:40:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	202	5¢	$10	0x510922…
05-11 17:40:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	239	4¢	$10	0x0e023e…
05-11 17:40:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	271	4¢	$10	0xfbb588…
05-11 17:40:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	364	3¢	$10	0x8c8638…
05-11 17:39:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	210	5¢	$10	0xed1af5…
05-11 17:39:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	247	4¢	$10	0xb67a6a…
05-11 17:39:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	667	12¢	$79	0x6db59e…
05-11 17:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	824	9¢	$71	0x5f38f5…
05-11 17:38:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	211	14¢	$29	0x405799…
05-11 17:37:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	270	17¢	$47	0x7e9d09…
05-11 17:37:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xb0e866…
05-11 17:37:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x1b563b…
05-11 17:36:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x9d4a68…
05-11 17:36:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x16e42c…
05-11 17:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xbba75f…
05-11 17:35:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x77b3cb…
05-11 17:35:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	232	43¢	$100	0x8a4e16…
05-11 17:35:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xb0039b…
05-11 17:34:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xf782a9…
05-10 15:47:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	705	14¢	$100	0x14c42d…
05-10 15:46:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x443103…
05-10 15:36:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0xb8a44e…
05-10 15:30:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	219	43¢	$94	0xc31ec5…
05-10 15:22:03	XRP Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	214	47¢	$100	0x8bbe67…
05-10 15:11:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	252	4¢	$10	0x8e81a6…
05-10 15:07:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	176	6¢	$10	0x4a8722…
05-10 15:06:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	107	9¢	$10	0x6ed04e…
05-10 15:04:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	89	11¢	$10	0xf187ba…
05-10 15:03:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xeb7e49…
05-07 16:14:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	80	29¢	$23	0xce839a…
05-07 16:13:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x23adf5…
05-07 16:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0x9171f9…
05-07 16:08:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x3cc4c8…
05-07 16:08:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x26fd39…
05-07 16:08:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	11¢	$4	0x584ee3…
05-07 16:07:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	19¢	$3	0x4e3c43…
05-07 16:07:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	19¢	$1	0x36c3dc…
05-07 16:07:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	19¢	$6	0x2a7bf0…
05-07 16:06:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	99	27¢	$27	0xd9475d…
05-07 16:06:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	37	24¢	$9	0xded6c9…
05-07 16:06:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	56	24¢	$13	0x72ace1…
05-07 16:06:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0xbfa75d…
05-07 16:04:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x614586…
05-07 16:00:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	222	45¢	$100	0x8bc3de…
05-07 15:57:06	Solana Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x131490…
05-07 15:13:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	329	63¢	$209	0xa8a54e…
05-07 15:12:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	969	34¢	$334	0x79d9ba…
05-07 15:12:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	236	28¢	$65	0x1606a2…
05-07 15:09:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	711	14¢	$100	0x83247e…
05-07 15:08:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	578	17¢	$100	0x7858d0…
05-07 15:07:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	246	41¢	$100	0xfba993…
05-06 20:49:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	250	93¢	$233	0x4c9bf0…
05-06 20:46:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	34¢	$1	0xe75add…
05-06 20:45:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	247	40¢	$100	0x8238d0…
05-06 20:40:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x569405…
05-06 19:55:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0x169f8b…
05-06 19:54:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x3968ba…
05-06 19:51:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x64b120…
05-06 19:50:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x763678…
05-06 19:50:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xe96e81…
05-06 19:47:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xa4775d…
05-06 19:46:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xd61691…
05-06 19:43:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	231	4¢	$10	0x2bf98c…
05-06 19:42:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x3f87f7…
05-06 19:42:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x869492…
05-06 19:41:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x0b7148…
05-06 19:40:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x2f6f95…
05-06 19:39:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	196	3¢	$5	0x7bf29d…
05-06 19:38:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xab0567…
05-06 19:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0xc716dd…
05-06 19:23:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x7b26b6…
05-06 19:22:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xef93c1…
05-06 19:22:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x97678f…
05-06 19:22:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x1fb96d…
05-06 19:20:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x572864…
05-06 19:17:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	197	51¢	$100	0x0ee1ca…
05-06 16:21:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb6b3b8…
05-06 16:17:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0x9b0af5…
05-06 16:17:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	81	49¢	$40	0x062f82…
05-06 16:16:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x57975a…
05-06 16:15:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xe7fe3d…
05-06 16:15:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xc87b32…
05-06 16:15:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	25	49¢	$12	0x7d26c2…
05-06 16:15:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xdf90ba…
05-06 16:15:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0xae3905…
05-06 16:15:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	78	49¢	$38	0x503e60…
05-06 16:15:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	49¢	$1	0xebbfb8…
05-06 16:15:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd8515a…
05-06 16:15:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x8c9019…
05-06 16:14:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0xb4ec37…
05-06 16:14:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x1ff143…
05-06 16:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0xb3a887…
05-06 16:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x97f8b7…
05-06 16:14:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0x930742…
05-06 16:13:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x8ebeb6…
05-06 16:13:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xb3bc3e…
05-06 16:13:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xd2b4af…
05-06 16:11:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	188	53¢	$100	0xf225b3…
05-06 16:11:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xbd9db5…
05-06 16:08:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	95	32¢	$30	0x70fdbc…