Roasted-Rainstorm — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.5%

Resolved

Trades

361

lifetime

Volume

$952

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-22 18:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 33% $-17

Other

8% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 96k on january 14	2	$46	109	109	+0	open	—	01-14 03:46
btc updown 15m 1768666500	6	$41	55	31	+24	open	—	01-17 16:29
btc updown 5m 1774640100	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	03-27 19:31
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$25	101	0	+101	open	—	04-12 16:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$25	41	0	+41	open	—	05-30 18:21
cl up or down on march 2 2026	1	$19	190	0	+190	open	—	02-28 19:28
btc updown 15m 1767258900	6	$18	25	21	+3	open	—	01-01 09:27
btc updown 5m 1774550700	1	$16	31	0	+31	open	—	03-26 18:44
btc updown 5m 1773582600	4	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	03-15 13:55
bitcoin above 88k on january 27	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	01-27 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 18:31
btc updown 5m 1774980900	2	$13	25	23	+2	open	—	03-31 18:19
btc updown 15m 1767727800	2	$13	0	14	-14	open	—	01-06 19:38
btc updown 15m 1767267900	4	$12	68	3	+65	open	—	01-01 11:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$12	28	0	+28	Up	$-12	05-06 17:37
btc updown 15m 1767348900	5	$11	19	10	+9	open	—	01-02 10:26
btc updown 15m 1767349800	3	$11	41	5	+36	open	—	01-02 10:38
eth updown 15m 1767285000	5	$11	14	9	+5	open	—	01-01 16:34
btc updown 15m 1767268800	7	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	01-01 12:14
btc updown 5m 1774980000	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	03-31 18:03
btc updown 15m 1767361500	2	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	01-02 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	+$11	05-13 17:43
bitcoin above 70k on march 6	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	03-05 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$10	29	0	+29	Up	$-10	05-13 17:53
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	1	$10	174	0	+174	open	—	03-06 18:45
btc updown 15m 1767267000	5	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	01-01 11:44
btc updown 15m 1767686400	1	$9	52	0	+52	open	—	01-06 08:04
btc updown 5m 1773426900	6	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	03-13 18:40
btc updown 5m 1774466400	1	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	03-25 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$8	194	0	+194	open	—	05-15 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 19:38:16	btc updown 5m 1782243300	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x5a5f4d…
06-23 19:14:38	btc updown 5m 1782242100	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x74362a…
06-23 19:10:26	btc updown 5m 1782241500	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xfbd206…
06-23 19:05:59	btc updown 5m 1782241500	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc1c7c6…
06-22 18:37:38	btc updown 5m 1782153300	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x1655d1…
06-21 18:52:47	btc updown 5m 1782067800	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0xff6659…
06-21 18:50:11	btc updown 5m 1782067800	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x277a4c…
06-21 18:38:46	btc updown 5m 1782066900	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc34b7c…
06-20 19:16:29	btc updown 5m 1781982900	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xed1b03…
06-20 19:06:38	btc updown 5m 1781982300	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf4d1b3…
06-20 19:02:47	btc updown 5m 1781982000	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x9199d3…
06-19 18:18:32	btc updown 5m 1781892900	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x680080…
06-19 18:04:14	btc updown 5m 1781892000	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x871cb8…
06-18 17:45:29	btc updown 5m 1781804700	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa873fe…
06-18 17:36:50	btc updown 5m 1781804100	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x9ce061…
06-18 17:29:50	btc updown 5m 1781803800	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x6285f1…
06-17 17:53:01	btc updown 5m 1781718600	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2b33fd…
06-17 17:43:56	btc updown 5m 1781718000	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf50248…
06-16 17:52:14	btc updown 5m 1781632200	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xb65903…
06-16 17:41:53	btc updown 5m 1781631600	Up	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x965822…
06-08 18:37:16	btc updown 5m 1780943700	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x229bfc…
06-08 18:33:36	btc updown 5m 1780943400	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5873e2…
06-08 18:28:51	btc updown 5m 1780943100	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7bea1d…
06-06 18:10:58	btc updown 5m 1780769400	Down	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0xf77543…
06-06 17:59:58	btc updown 5m 1780768800	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x631f15…
06-06 17:36:28	btc updown 5m 1780767300	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xa12ec0…
06-06 17:30:42	btc updown 5m 1780767000	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x4627fb…
06-05 18:19:37	btc updown 5m 1780683600	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x84932b…
06-05 17:53:46	btc updown 5m 1780681800	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x7669b5…
06-05 17:53:06	btc updown 5m 1780681800	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x0b933f…
06-05 17:43:58	btc updown 5m 1780681200	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x13ce47…
06-05 17:33:07	btc updown 5m 1780680600	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x3f2b8e…
06-04 18:14:34	btc updown 5m 1780596900	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x9f7b45…
06-04 17:52:33	btc updown 5m 1780595400	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5be965…
06-04 17:45:51	btc updown 5m 1780595100	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xdfc56d…
06-04 17:37:00	btc updown 5m 1780594500	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x22ddfd…
05-30 18:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0x38319b…
05-25 17:57:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	37¢	$6	0xc09950…
05-21 18:02:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	18	12¢	$2	0x4ef1c7…
05-21 17:44:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x17b083…
05-21 17:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9b14c0…
05-21 17:38:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x1d605b…
05-18 17:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x301e64…
05-15 17:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	194	4¢	$8	0xadbca0…
05-15 17:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdbe0ab…
05-14 18:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x9c6d1d…
05-14 17:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfc084b…
05-14 17:46:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x06fa64…
05-14 17:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x86ece2…
05-13 18:25:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x90b4e8…
05-13 18:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc684b4…
05-13 18:06:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x7cfed6…
05-13 17:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x10b07f…
05-13 17:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xdd9a63…
05-06 18:18:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xf64c03…
05-06 17:37:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc3f246…
05-06 17:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x9dc7b7…
05-06 17:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa9a7a4…
05-05 18:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x7d5815…
05-05 18:31:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x010cef…
05-05 18:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x68d7c3…
05-05 18:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x3248b5…
05-05 17:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xba3c1e…
05-01 09:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0xd72c36…
04-30 18:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x21d82c…
04-30 18:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x2eab3a…
04-30 17:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8e42dd…
04-30 17:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x95c7ad…
04-30 17:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x29a65e…
04-29 17:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6628f1…
04-29 17:38:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa02076…
04-29 17:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xe54fb4…
04-28 18:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfeb3f1…
04-28 18:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0f7e57…
04-28 17:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4b4521…
04-28 17:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xb205be…
04-24 17:35:30	btc updown 5m 1777052100	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x16fc09…
04-12 16:28:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	40	19¢	$8	0x201a87…
04-11 16:48:59	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	62	29¢	$18	0x84ed70…
04-10 18:33:19	btc updown 5m 1775845800	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x622a5b…
04-10 18:16:21	btc updown 5m 1775845200	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc759b7…
04-10 17:48:51	btc updown 5m 1775843400	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4130fe…
04-10 17:37:27	btc updown 5m 1775842800	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb56c4b…
04-10 17:28:37	btc updown 5m 1775841900	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe561b5…
04-09 18:15:01	btc updown 5m 1775758500	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x990fb3…
04-09 17:58:35	btc updown 5m 1775757300	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x47737f…
04-09 17:30:41	btc updown 5m 1775755800	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xd18459…
04-08 18:22:19	btc updown 5m 1775672700	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xb74be3…
04-08 17:59:57	btc updown 5m 1775671200	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x729a79…
04-08 17:45:07	btc updown 5m 1775670300	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x021cd0…
04-08 17:44:23	btc updown 5m 1775670000	Up	SELL	9	39¢	$4	0x393b54…
04-08 17:42:33	btc updown 5m 1775670000	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x2afb17…
04-07 18:22:05	btc updown 5m 1775586000	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x62f938…
04-07 18:01:47	btc updown 5m 1775584800	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x161930…
04-07 18:01:05	btc updown 5m 1775584800	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xfcf629…
04-07 18:00:27	btc updown 5m 1775584800	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x11ce8c…
04-07 17:43:07	btc updown 5m 1775583600	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x30c896…
04-07 17:28:49	btc updown 5m 1775583000	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0c51a8…
04-07 17:26:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0xc96535…
04-06 18:21:09	btc updown 5m 1775499600	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe708f5…