Mean-Clockwork — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.2%

Resolved

Trades

178

lifetime

Volume

$289

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-25 23:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 25% $-13

Other

5% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (11) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1775218500	2	$15	20	19	+1	open	—	04-03 12:17
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	3	$14	10	5	+5	open	—	02-12 23:24
btc updown 15m 1775221200	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	04-03 13:01
btc updown 15m 1775219400	1	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	04-03 12:30
btc updown 15m 1775220300	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-03 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	2	$6	600	0	+600	Up	$-6	05-09 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$6	600	0	+600	Up	$-6	05-09 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	05-15 01:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$5	500	0	+500	open	—	05-15 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$5	31	0	+31	Down	$-5	05-05 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	1	$5	366	0	+366	open	—	05-15 00:44
will bad bunny say fuck ice at the super bowl	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	02-09 01:11
btc updown 15m 1774908000	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-30 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-20 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-19 20:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	05-19 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-05 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	+$2	05-08 05:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-08 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-08 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	4	$3	11	11	+0	open	—	05-18 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	2	$2	200	0	+200	Up	$-2	05-08 22:13
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$1	150	0	+150	open	—	02-12 23:25
btc updown 15m 1775301300	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	04-04 11:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-08 22:59
btc updown 15m 1775046600	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	04-01 12:33
btc updown 15m 1774962900	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-31 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	1	$1	272	0	+272	Up	$-1	05-08 23:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-08 00:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 23:15:29	btc updown 5m 1782429300	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xbd119e…
05-20 23:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x074496…
05-20 22:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x407bfb…
05-20 21:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x84b74a…
05-20 20:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x738159…
05-20 19:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xd3b7c2…
05-20 15:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xd5e793…
05-20 11:40:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1b3844…
05-20 10:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x182ba3…
05-20 10:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x3b0c71…
05-19 23:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x259059…
05-19 22:27:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x9b589a…
05-19 22:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x30bbf0…
05-19 20:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x553818…
05-19 14:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x01ee34…
05-19 14:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x5faea2…
05-18 23:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xf1d611…
05-18 23:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x798367…
05-18 23:14:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x420443…
05-18 23:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x0cd370…
05-18 21:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa9393a…
05-18 20:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x06a56d…
05-15 03:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x11290a…
05-15 01:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x235ddb…
05-15 00:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	366	1¢	$5	0x4f58ea…
05-09 02:44:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd4120c…
05-09 01:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xfe8934…
05-09 01:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1338e0…
05-09 00:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xa13e2f…
05-09 00:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x4e8d9f…
05-09 00:43:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x31ee53…
05-08 23:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	272	0¢	$1	0xf9d1eb…
05-08 23:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xb9c937…
05-08 22:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8c1f94…
05-08 22:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x10024d…
05-08 22:13:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc006fe…
05-08 21:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x74e44b…
05-08 20:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xe4ed1a…
05-08 08:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xf69b4a…
05-08 06:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xf8cbda…
05-08 06:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xc1a650…
05-08 05:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x4259f2…
05-08 05:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xd641f0…
05-08 04:28:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x7f2b8a…
05-08 00:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1b3fdf…
05-07 22:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x345d03…
05-05 23:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x73ec6c…
05-05 22:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1b749f…
04-05 09:30:47	btc updown 15m 1775381400	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xd6f24e…
04-05 09:00:11	btc updown 15m 1775379600	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf285f8…
04-05 08:45:23	btc updown 15m 1775378700	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x63b452…
04-05 08:45:23	btc updown 15m 1775377800	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6144f2…
04-05 07:45:05	btc updown 15m 1775375100	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x6d5781…
04-05 07:17:11	btc updown 15m 1775373300	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x82bb4e…
04-05 07:00:15	btc updown 15m 1775372400	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcfa62b…
04-05 06:46:09	btc updown 15m 1775371500	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf9dcce…
04-05 06:30:35	btc updown 15m 1775370600	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x61b97f…
04-05 06:01:51	btc updown 15m 1775368800	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x79d411…
04-05 05:50:05	btc updown 15m 1775367900	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xdef61e…
04-05 05:36:03	btc updown 15m 1775367000	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x294b36…
04-05 05:20:21	btc updown 15m 1775366100	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xefd417…
04-05 04:48:39	btc updown 15m 1775364300	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x1050e3…
04-05 04:34:19	btc updown 15m 1775363400	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x9d13b0…
04-05 04:18:27	btc updown 15m 1775362500	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcae6ec…
04-05 04:00:05	btc updown 15m 1775361600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xaf145b…
04-05 03:46:59	btc updown 15m 1775360700	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x687524…
04-05 03:15:19	btc updown 15m 1775358900	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x6b225f…
04-05 03:02:07	btc updown 15m 1775358000	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb9a8f4…
04-05 02:01:11	btc updown 15m 1775354400	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x8c3175…
04-05 01:45:17	btc updown 15m 1775353500	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x34f6bf…
04-05 01:36:09	btc updown 15m 1775352600	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2e51fc…
04-05 01:16:11	btc updown 15m 1775351700	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb61dc6…
04-05 01:04:01	btc updown 15m 1775350800	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x6d1a03…
04-05 00:30:27	btc updown 15m 1775349000	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x852e33…
04-05 00:17:07	btc updown 15m 1775348100	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xfa9a50…
04-05 00:06:37	btc updown 15m 1775347200	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x304227…
04-04 23:45:05	btc updown 15m 1775346300	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc41c17…
04-04 15:34:59	btc updown 15m 1775316600	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x9a3118…
04-04 15:15:05	btc updown 15m 1775315700	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x843300…
04-04 15:01:07	btc updown 15m 1775314800	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x5fc3f9…
04-04 14:34:09	btc updown 15m 1775313000	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x168eb6…
04-04 14:15:49	btc updown 15m 1775312100	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcd4b4c…
04-04 13:45:17	btc updown 15m 1775310300	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x6cf84a…
04-04 13:15:25	btc updown 15m 1775308500	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x24d57b…
04-04 13:02:27	btc updown 15m 1775307600	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc1ed56…
04-04 12:45:17	btc updown 15m 1775306700	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x42f33e…
04-04 12:35:49	btc updown 15m 1775305800	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa21805…
04-04 12:24:35	btc updown 15m 1775304900	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0180f2…
04-04 12:00:07	btc updown 15m 1775304000	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x38aed1…
04-04 11:45:13	btc updown 15m 1775303100	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf7b533…
04-04 11:32:15	btc updown 15m 1775302200	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xadc545…
04-04 11:15:21	btc updown 15m 1775301300	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xd45634…
04-04 03:37:21	btc updown 15m 1775273400	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe59d55…
04-04 03:00:05	btc updown 15m 1775271600	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x04d056…
04-04 02:48:11	btc updown 15m 1775270700	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0babbb…
04-04 02:45:03	btc updown 15m 1775269800	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf6418d…
04-04 02:15:05	btc updown 15m 1775268900	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x852cbc…
04-04 02:12:13	btc updown 15m 1775268000	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x232fbe…
04-04 01:30:23	btc updown 15m 1775266200	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8fdb7e…
04-04 01:23:45	btc updown 15m 1775265300	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x175d2a…