Mad-Premise — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$271

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.8%

Resolved

897

Trades

2,951

lifetime

Volume

$4.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-21 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 52 days

Categories

Other

100% 16% -$271

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or higher on May 6?	19	$78	105	105	+0	Yes	+$71	05-06 19:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 19?	11	$75	180	130	+51	No	-$22	06-19 15:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 1?	6	$74	61	61	+0	Yes	+$47	06-02 01:37
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 26?	4	$71	56	24	+32	Yes	+$4	05-25 17:45
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on May 24?	13	$65	96	96	+0	Yes	+$39	05-24 13:05
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?	7	$62	56	51	+5	Yes	+$27	05-22 14:51
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 3?	15	$58	86	86	+0	Yes	+$26	06-03 03:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on May 26?	29	$55	150	150	+0	No	$0	05-26 16:22
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 19°C on May 5?	14	$54	55	55	+0	Yes	+$51	05-05 00:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 9?	8	$48	53	45	+8	Yes	+$36	06-09 16:44
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?	16	$47	88	24	+64	Yes	+$62	06-05 15:25
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on May 22?	11	$41	60	40	+21	Yes	-$15	05-22 04:04
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 19?	5	$41	74	0	+74	Yes	-$6	06-19 13:37
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 18?	25	$40	137	0	+137	No	-$40	06-18 07:43
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on May 23?	6	$39	57	56	+2	Yes	+$27	05-23 19:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?	7	$35	36	36	+0	Yes	+$17	05-21 14:53
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 18?	31	$33	248	0	+248	No	-$33	06-18 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on May 29?	5	$31	23	23	+0	Yes	-$8	05-29 04:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?	9	$31	61	61	+0	No	-$16	06-21 12:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 16?	6	$29	35	35	+0	Yes	+$12	06-16 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C or higher on May 17?	21	$28	75	75	+0	No	-$1	05-17 03:15
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 5?	5	$27	20	20	+0	Yes	+$13	05-06 00:50
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 12?	23	$27	120	113	+8	Yes	-$12	06-12 21:03
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	20	$27	103	103	+0	Yes	-$16	05-26 16:10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 16?	5	$27	24	24	+0	Yes	+$12	05-16 19:23
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?	5	$26	43	43	+0	No	-$13	06-21 09:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 1?	7	$26	22	21	+1	No	-$1	05-01 06:16
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?	4	$26	21	19	+2	Yes	+$12	06-05 05:43
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?	6	$25	95	95	+0	Yes	-$6	06-12 10:58
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 22?	17	$24	146	146	+0	No	-$3	05-22 13:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 12:30:08	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xeb7f60…
06-21 12:15:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0x3f9835…
06-21 12:12:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	39	14¢	$5	0x7d7290…
06-21 11:47:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe1947d…
06-21 11:47:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x405aa4…
06-21 11:47:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x921a41…
06-21 11:26:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0x582ce5…
06-21 11:26:05	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 21?	No	SELL	19	10¢	$2	0xaaa329…
06-21 11:12:47	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	9	18¢	$2	0x12ad17…
06-21 11:12:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 21?	No	BUY	12	18¢	$2	0x9fb83e…
06-21 10:55:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 21?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x6fb232…
06-21 10:37:32	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 21?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xbb2a76…
06-21 10:37:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 21?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xf26fb3…
06-21 10:34:26	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	26	15¢	$4	0x4d6f7f…
06-21 10:32:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xccbca0…
06-21 10:32:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xbe79e6…
06-21 10:32:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xbdbc24…
06-21 10:32:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x8c375d…
06-21 10:32:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xde8465…
06-21 10:32:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xca9e30…
06-21 10:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	13	22¢	$3	0x6084ba…
06-21 10:26:23	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc55517…
06-21 10:13:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb47185…
06-21 10:12:50	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0x7565d8…
06-21 10:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	7	12¢	$1	0xe3508f…
06-21 10:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x35868b…
06-21 10:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x04152a…
06-21 10:07:20	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x2b471e…
06-21 10:07:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	35	44¢	$15	0x87996e…
06-21 10:07:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x49fec5…
06-21 10:07:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x09cf93…
06-21 09:58:38	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	28	14¢	$4	0xec2898…
06-21 09:33:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	45	5¢	$2	0x4f03a4…
06-21 09:33:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	SELL	43	16¢	$7	0x7d6813…
06-21 09:32:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	No	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x6f8387…
06-21 08:58:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x8bd6d6…
06-21 08:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	25	45¢	$11	0x1e273c…
06-21 08:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x1669e2…
06-21 08:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x09a62e…
06-21 08:57:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xbd0986…
06-21 08:41:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0x388bec…
06-21 08:23:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x10029d…
06-21 07:35:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	No	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x55e6ab…
06-21 00:54:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4766e0…
06-21 00:46:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x5f9459…
06-21 00:46:32	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb459ff…
06-21 00:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xfd22f6…
06-21 00:46:25	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x42d6ef…
06-21 00:45:29	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x1aedde…
06-21 00:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6a0df5…
06-21 00:45:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3a7c11…
06-21 00:45:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4c5b06…
06-21 00:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x79ba7e…
06-21 00:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3c4dc1…
06-21 00:20:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x37d5c0…
06-21 00:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x64289e…
06-20 21:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C or higher on June 21?	Yes	BUY	14	20¢	$3	0xc6f0a9…
06-20 20:58:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 21?	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x7d163c…
06-20 18:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 20?	No	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xb62b6f…
06-20 18:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 20?	No	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0xe122ec…
06-20 18:28:46	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 20?	No	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x481959…
06-20 16:48:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	0	13¢	$0	0x6f6f7f…
06-20 16:33:01	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xc621cc…
06-20 16:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x3a2f0c…
06-20 16:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xd159b8…
06-20 16:32:32	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x0e303a…
06-20 16:32:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x200c61…
06-20 16:32:23	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xed1c5b…
06-20 16:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa49013…
06-20 16:02:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?	No	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x3a1b40…
06-20 16:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xc88805…
06-20 15:19:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0x2b1fe0…
06-20 15:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on June 20?	No	BUY	10	24¢	$2	0xbf8a2a…
06-20 14:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 20?	No	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xb4421c…
06-20 13:57:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$2	0xfb0c26…
06-20 13:47:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x8f4428…
06-20 13:43:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x07dbea…
06-20 11:48:49	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 20?	Yes	SELL	59	10¢	$6	0x66d72a…
06-20 11:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x529b15…
06-20 11:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on June 20?	Yes	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x8ea808…
06-20 08:00:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	19	17¢	$3	0x86a16d…
06-20 07:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0x6817fe…
06-20 07:47:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xcc61a8…
06-20 07:38:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x17ec37…
06-20 07:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xb2d443…
06-20 01:44:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1f6b87…
06-20 01:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xbb177e…
06-20 01:38:35	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x864994…
06-20 01:38:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x956e9d…
06-20 01:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x2e4137…
06-20 01:04:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x91e8a6…
06-20 01:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x209a90…
06-20 00:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xe87db2…
06-20 00:54:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xba5e6e…
06-20 00:53:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x5f8fe4…
06-20 00:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x1093ec…
06-20 00:03:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0x0f67d1…
06-19 22:39:34	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 20?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x504a18…
06-19 15:54:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 19?	No	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xde3c83…
06-19 15:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on June 19?	Yes	BUY	2	12¢	$0	0x471cbe…