Svelte-Parenthesis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$753

Unrealized P&L

-$565

Hit rate

31.3%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$5.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$50

Open exposure

$207

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 10-29 17:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

87% 7% +$1,168

Crypto

6% 29% -$64

Other

5% 0% -$278

Sports

1% 20% -$34

Tech

1% 0% -$40

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 37 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+10,070	$350	1¢	$101	-$249	10-29 17:36
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	+2,339	$200	3¢	$64	-$136	10-29 17:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	+1,350	$100	2¢	$25	-$75	10-29 17:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	No	+1,483	$100	1¢	$14	-$86	10-29 17:35
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+339	$22	1¢	$3	-$19	10-29 17:55

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	6	$1.2K	4,831	1,230	+3,601	Yes	+$2,928	02-27 20:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$410	2,432	0	+2,432	Yes	-$410	05-21 17:47
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	2	$384	1,239	1,239	+0	Yes	-$12	02-22 10:46
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	2	$361	1,093	1,093	+0	Yes	-$11	02-27 17:50
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	3	$350	10,070	0	+10,070	open	—	10-29 17:36
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	3	$303	1,809	0	+1,809	No	-$303	01-09 23:07
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	2	$268	2,160	0	+2,160	No	-$268	10-28 00:21
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	2	$201	721	0	+721	No	-$201	03-01 12:26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	1	$200	2,339	0	+2,339	open	—	10-29 17:40
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	3	$189	2,811	0	+2,811	No	-$189	01-15 01:08
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	1	$150	600	0	+600	Yes	-$150	09-20 05:03
cs2 vit mglz 2026 02 15	3	$131	661	0	+661	Vitality	-$131	02-15 19:08
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	24	$110	105	105	+0	Up	+$16	09-20 05:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:05 UTC	2	$106	113	112	+2	Up	+$12	02-15 18:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	1	$100	1,350	0	+1,350	open	—	10-29 17:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	1	$100	1,483	0	+1,483	open	—	10-29 17:35
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	1	$100	549	0	+549	Yes	-$100	09-20 05:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$96	357	357	+0	Yes	-$4	02-15 18:28
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	2	$82	1,639	1,639	+0	open	—	10-29 17:39
will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	2	$75	1,587	0	+1,587	No	-$75	01-14 23:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	11	$58	994	0	+994	Up	-$58	09-20 05:13
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	1	$50	2,180	0	+2,180	Yes	-$50	05-21 15:09
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	1	$50	500	0	+500	Yes	-$50	05-21 15:02
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$39	1,250	1,250	+0	Yes	-$1	10-29 17:54
will openai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$30	2,102	0	+2,102	No	-$30	01-09 16:04
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	1	$22	339	0	+339	open	—	10-29 17:55
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	2	$20	78	78	+0	No	+$0	01-14 23:39
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	1	$20	499	0	+499	No	-$20	01-09 16:49
will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	2	$20	95	95	+0	No	$0	01-14 23:39
will deepseek have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$15	2,640	0	+2,640	No	-$15	01-09 16:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 17:55:17	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	339	6¢	$22	0xb57dd5…
10-29 17:54:22	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1,250	1¢	$19	0x4bf140…
10-29 17:40:40	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 3?	No	BUY	2,339	9¢	$200	0xa90b94…
10-29 17:39:55	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	No	SELL	1,639	1¢	$15	0xfdd422…
10-29 17:36:26	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	2,778	4¢	$100	0x912a71…
10-29 17:36:19	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	4,167	4¢	$150	0x191a40…
10-29 17:35:43	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2?	No	BUY	1,350	7¢	$100	0xac0f21…
10-29 17:35:20	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 1?	No	BUY	1,483	7¢	$100	0x3262c0…
10-29 17:34:53	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 30?	No	BUY	1,639	4¢	$67	0xe9384b…
10-29 17:34:46	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	BUY	3,125	3¢	$100	0xfb053c…
10-28 00:22:21	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,250	2¢	$20	0x422997…
10-28 00:21:56	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	895	9¢	$80	0xfc7a1d…
10-28 00:13:00	Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority?	Yes	BUY	1,265	15¢	$188	0x6573c3…
09-20 05:13:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x33f61d…
09-20 05:13:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcae8ad…
09-20 05:13:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x7a277d…
09-20 05:13:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x75e5fb…
09-20 05:13:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x6a3d75…
09-20 05:13:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc68e06…
09-20 05:13:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x8fc0a3…
09-20 05:13:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x39d897…
09-20 05:13:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2f1d1b…
09-20 05:12:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	357	7¢	$25	0x15705d…
09-20 05:12:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	366	7¢	$25	0x055618…
09-20 05:11:24	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	SELL	105	60¢	$63	0x2749e6…
09-20 05:11:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc6d935…
09-20 05:11:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x8c25ba…
09-20 05:11:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x752942…
09-20 05:11:07	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x42b445…
09-20 05:11:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xe85303…
09-20 05:11:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xcff388…
09-20 05:11:06	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x71512a…
09-20 05:11:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf81962…
09-20 05:11:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x49ec3d…
09-20 05:11:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0375e5…
09-20 05:11:03	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xe096d7…
09-20 05:10:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfba426…
09-20 05:10:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb8f276…
09-20 05:10:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb5d363…
09-20 05:10:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5b4ae2…
09-20 05:10:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcfbee1…
09-20 05:10:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x6792f3…
09-20 05:10:45	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5d0a4f…
09-20 05:10:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7f735f…
09-20 05:10:42	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4dabd6…
09-20 05:10:40	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb3754f…
09-20 05:10:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa3806f…
09-20 05:10:33	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 05:10 UTC	Up	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x79929e…
09-20 05:03:46	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	600	25¢	$150	0x96be32…
09-20 05:03:36	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 25 20260917	No	BUY	549	18¢	$100	0x7c5ddc…
07-01 00:38:32	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7e9311…
07-01 00:38:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:35 UTC	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xda07b3…
07-01 00:38:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7c7273…
05-21 17:47:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	429	14¢	$60	0xdd0ca2…
05-21 15:09:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	2,180	2¢	$50	0xf785e2…
05-21 15:02:40	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	No	BUY	2,003	17¢	$350	0xcbbff1…
05-21 15:02:16	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	500	10¢	$50	0x3710f3…
03-01 12:26:25	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	Yes	BUY	538	28¢	$151	0xde4ea2…
03-01 12:17:47	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	Yes	BUY	183	27¢	$50	0xbf4b29…
02-27 20:10:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 20:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	31¢	$3	0xc977d5…
02-27 20:08:51	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,053	19¢	$200	0xa22be1…
02-27 17:51:13	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	875	20¢	$175	0x85b0fc…
02-27 17:50:59	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	SELL	1,093	16¢	$175	0x6dd609…
02-27 17:50:43	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,264	19¢	$246	0x8879d6…
02-27 17:14:13	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	410	20¢	$82	0xab09e8…
02-27 17:14:05	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	820	20¢	$164	0xc8cfce…
02-24 20:40:18	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,640	18¢	$298	0x89e035…
02-22 10:46:28	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	1,093	17¢	$186	0xe76d4e…
02-22 10:46:14	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	1,239	15¢	$186	0xddba23…
02-17 12:37:37	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	1,239	16¢	$198	0x1c9116…
02-15 19:08:47	cs2 vit mglz 2026 02 15	TheMongolz	BUY	116	23¢	$27	0x3f7ee7…
02-15 18:41:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-15 18:30 UTC	Up	BUY	109	9¢	$10	0x12d3e2…
02-15 18:30:51	will trump say cocaine this week february 15	Yes	BUY	230	4¢	$10	0xb9d09b…
02-15 18:28:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	357	13¢	$46	0x6d5f5a…
02-15 18:20:33	cs2 vit mglz 2026 02 15	TheMongolz	BUY	318	17¢	$54	0xd389de…
02-15 18:13:31	cs2 rbls vpp 2026 02 15	Rebels Gaming	BUY	1,659	0¢	$3	0xa66ad9…
02-15 18:06:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:05 UTC	Up	SELL	112	52¢	$58	0x862cdc…
02-15 18:06:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-15 18:05 UTC	Up	BUY	113	42¢	$48	0xbc33e4…
02-15 18:04:53	cs2 vit mglz 2026 02 15	TheMongolz	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0xba768b…
02-15 18:03:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	357	14¢	$50	0x75e1e2…
01-15 01:08:54	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	BUY	994	5¢	$50	0xb77e6e…
01-15 00:39:26	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	BUY	1,414	7¢	$99	0xdd3011…
01-15 00:32:10	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	BUY	403	10¢	$40	0xf0af69…
01-14 23:50:02	will xai have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	554	4¢	$20	0xaa117c…
01-14 23:40:46	will the chicago bears win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0x470bf5…
01-14 23:40:40	will the san francisco 49ers win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	238	4¢	$10	0x87c15b…
01-14 23:39:40	will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	Yes	SELL	95	10¢	$10	0xd5152f…
01-14 23:39:34	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	Yes	SELL	78	13¢	$10	0x3aa7d3…
01-13 21:58:34	will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x5dc353…
01-12 19:21:15	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 520 539	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x7844ee…
01-10 15:23:28	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 190 214	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x7e5a53…
01-10 15:22:22	will the denver broncos win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	95	10¢	$10	0xc0f77b…
01-10 15:22:16	will the philadelphia eagles win super bowl 2026	Yes	BUY	127	11¢	$14	0x11d621…
01-10 13:16:22	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 140 164	Yes	BUY	2,960	0¢	$3	0xb31118…
01-10 10:10:50	elon musk tweets january 8 january 10 140 164	Yes	BUY	86	14¢	$12	0x4cec55…
01-09 23:07:04	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	789	19¢	$150	0xfb59fe…
01-09 17:07:22	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x322330…
01-09 16:49:38	will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	499	4¢	$20	0xd3ff51…
01-09 16:21:24	elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 580plus	Yes	BUY	152	9¢	$14	0x599a49…
01-09 16:06:54	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0xfee641…