Free-Impala — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$605

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

3,107

Trades

4,797

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 09-09 21:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% -$592

Other

0% 32% -$11

Sports

0% 25% -$2

Politics

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 22:10 UTC	4	$63	66	42	+23	Up	+$21	06-19 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$39	90	0	+90	Down	+$1	09-01 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$39	89	0	+89	Up	+$6	09-01 18:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:40 UTC	3	$24	64	0	+64	Up	-$6	07-28 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:20 UTC	3	$24	154	0	+154	Down	+$15	07-28 00:22
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	9	$23	20	20	+0	$80k	-$2	04-06 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	4	$23	94	0	+94	Down	+$7	09-01 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:35 UTC	2	$22	52	0	+52	Down	+$13	07-27 20:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 20:10 UTC	2	$22	52	0	+52	Up	-$4	07-27 20:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 21:20 UTC	2	$22	49	0	+49	Down	+$11	07-27 21:23
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 12:15 UTC	2	$22	31	0	+31	Down	-$9	07-28 12:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 22:10 UTC	2	$21	19	19	+0	Down	+$16	08-02 22:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	3	$21	52	0	+52	Down	+$5	09-01 16:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	3	$21	46	0	+46	Down	+$4	09-01 19:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	1	$20	45	0	+45	Down	-$20	09-01 20:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$20	48	0	+48	Up	+$1	09-01 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$20	46	0	+46	Down	-$20	09-01 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$20	43	0	+43	Down	+$3	09-01 19:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$20	95	0	+95	Up	+$6	09-01 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$20	45	0	+45	Up	+$4	09-01 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	2	$20	46	0	+46	Down	+$2	09-01 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	2	$20	53	0	+53	Down	+$4	09-01 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$20	44	0	+44	Down	+$2	09-01 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$20	50	0	+50	Up	+$6	09-01 19:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	2	$19	40	0	+40	Up	+$1	09-01 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	2	$19	48	0	+48	Down	+$5	09-01 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$19	46	0	+46	Down	+$4	09-01 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	6	$19	64	12	+52	Down	+$5	05-22 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 00:40 UTC	2	$19	42	0	+42	Down	-$8	07-28 00:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 01:45 UTC	2	$19	29	0	+29	Up	-$7	07-28 01:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-09 21:53:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0xb2c906…
09-09 21:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x0115f1…
09-09 21:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x109545…
09-09 21:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x3ac214…
09-09 21:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x962632…
09-09 21:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	11¢	$2	0x3fddb0…
09-09 21:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf48257…
09-09 21:11:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	10¢	$2	0x6f2d3d…
09-09 21:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6d5ee4…
09-09 21:00:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x363050…
09-09 20:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x82b8b9…
09-09 20:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xbd9969…
09-09 20:50:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0xe6ba99…
09-09 20:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x268d86…
09-09 20:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xfb92fe…
09-09 20:25:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc1fbc0…
09-09 20:25:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb35881…
09-09 20:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xe90344…
09-09 20:22:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc7baee…
09-09 20:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x874dd4…
09-09 20:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x912175…
09-09 20:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb041e9…
09-09 20:13:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x47c182…
09-09 20:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd55856…
09-09 20:05:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x158dd3…
09-09 19:56:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x205e47…
09-09 19:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xcd8a0e…
09-09 19:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbdfcf5…
09-09 19:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x16b367…
09-09 19:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x8fc17f…
09-09 19:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x35a6cb…
09-09 19:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xb11588…
09-09 19:44:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x0a254c…
09-09 19:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x0832c4…
09-09 19:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xac630d…
09-09 19:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x660711…
09-09 19:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x4b994a…
09-09 19:30:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd08f2e…
09-09 19:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	41¢	$3	0xab02e6…
09-09 19:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x913851…
09-09 19:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x54e0c9…
09-09 19:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x74e5ce…
09-09 19:16:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x21bba0…
09-09 19:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9a0b47…
09-09 19:12:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7a5d19…
09-09 18:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x46f3de…
09-09 18:55:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x9fdd2f…
09-09 18:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xf510d8…
09-09 18:23:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x453043…
09-09 18:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x615c70…
09-09 18:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x59b5b9…
09-09 18:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb8b064…
09-09 18:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xafcb15…
09-09 17:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5db966…
09-09 17:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xdeefc8…
09-09 17:37:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$2	0x0ace0b…
09-09 17:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xdb17e7…
09-09 17:26:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x452097…
09-09 17:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$3	0x3f5b7e…
09-09 17:20:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x0467de…
09-09 17:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xd62724…
09-09 17:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x668f1b…
09-09 16:56:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3ab3fb…
09-09 16:37:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbfd0b6…
09-09 16:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xc292e8…
09-09 16:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x2f7f1e…
09-09 16:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7a77b7…
09-09 16:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x79fdb8…
09-09 16:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x170f31…
09-09 16:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x1c8bda…
09-09 16:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x367359…
09-09 16:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0x8f3e05…
09-09 16:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x647b34…
09-09 16:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	29¢	$2	0x011b7d…
09-09 16:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf726a6…
09-09 16:06:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xce09c3…
09-09 16:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x245201…
09-09 15:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$3	0x637565…
09-09 15:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x082df9…
09-09 15:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x1ca9ff…
09-09 15:51:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xfbda57…
09-09 15:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xfdcbf4…
09-09 15:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xdf2678…
09-09 15:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x8b0ae2…
09-09 15:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8fbdd4…
09-09 15:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf32201…
09-09 15:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xc23f77…
09-09 15:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3ccdfe…
09-09 15:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x44bb05…
09-09 15:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x3c7fd5…
09-09 15:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf85ec4…
09-09 15:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xc1bdb5…
09-09 15:00:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf0dc64…
09-09 14:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x58609f…
09-09 14:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x040e18…
09-09 14:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xdc3c75…
09-09 14:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcfbe83…
09-09 14:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfaed4d…
09-09 14:42:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xda2b4d…
09-09 14:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa17d9e…