Sardonic-Car — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$271

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.1%

Resolved

Trades

531

lifetime

Volume

$23.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$44

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 06-05 03:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 25% $-0

Politics

15% 100% +$217

Other

11% — —

Sports

5% 100% +$54

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$1.6K	1,933	1,933	+0	open	—	02-13 16:15
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	5	$1.0K	566	1,154	-588	Yes	+$217	05-05 16:04
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	13	$759	32,696	0	+32,696	open	—	05-19 16:52
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$480	316	316	+0	open	—	03-13 04:36
btc updown 5m 1771097700	2	$326	340	336	+4	open	—	02-14 19:39
btc updown 5m 1770959400	4	$324	229	226	+3	open	—	02-13 05:15
btc updown 5m 1771544100	4	$305	231	228	+4	open	—	02-19 23:39
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$267	217	217	+0	open	—	03-02 00:07
nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	2	$250	171	171	+0	open	—	03-10 04:56
btc updown 5m 1771043700	2	$220	284	0	+284	open	—	02-14 04:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	3	$211	163	163	+0	open	—	05-18 05:05
btc updown 5m 1771563600	2	$203	156	154	+2	open	—	02-20 05:05
btc updown 5m 1771044600	2	$200	345	0	+345	open	—	02-14 04:52
btc updown 5m 1770970800	2	$185	148	146	+1	open	—	02-13 08:25
btc updown 5m 1770935700	2	$185	107	106	+1	open	—	02-12 22:40
btc updown 5m 1771073700	2	$179	141	140	+1	open	—	02-14 13:00
btc updown 5m 1771562400	3	$170	192	86	+106	open	—	02-20 04:45
btc updown 5m 1771072800	3	$160	359	0	+359	open	—	02-14 12:43
btc updown 5m 1770967500	3	$160	260	0	+260	open	—	02-13 07:28
btc updown 5m 1771429200	2	$160	195	0	+195	open	—	02-18 15:41
btc updown 5m 1771096800	2	$150	453	0	+453	open	—	02-14 19:23
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$150	540	0	+540	open	—	03-02 19:06
btc updown 5m 1771080000	4	$150	356	0	+356	open	—	02-14 14:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	6	$145	673	0	+673	open	—	05-18 11:59
btc updown 5m 1770960300	2	$144	107	105	+1	open	—	02-13 05:30
btc updown 5m 1771425600	3	$143	196	91	+105	open	—	02-18 14:44
btc updown 5m 1773482100	3	$142	84	83	+1	open	—	03-14 10:00
btc updown 5m 1771339500	2	$141	205	0	+205	open	—	02-17 14:46
btc updown 5m 1771072200	2	$140	402	0	+402	open	—	02-14 12:33
btc updown 5m 1770999600	4	$140	440	0	+440	open	—	02-13 16:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 03:51:36	btc updown 5m 1780631400	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3a3e4d…
06-05 03:51:00	btc updown 5m 1780631400	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb208ef…
06-04 20:51:46	btc updown 5m 1780606200	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xce165d…
06-04 20:51:09	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x87d8af…
06-04 20:47:34	btc updown 5m 1780605900	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x575db1…
06-04 20:45:45	btc updown 5m 1780605900	Up	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0x237660…
06-04 20:45:39	btc updown 5m 1780605900	Up	BUY	46	54¢	$25	0xb2844e…
06-04 20:44:51	btc updown 5m 1780605600	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0x674ec1…
06-04 20:42:22	btc updown 5m 1780605600	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x4a7775…
06-04 20:40:48	btc updown 5m 1780605600	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x67e494…
06-04 20:39:42	btc updown 5m 1780605300	Up	BUY	132	4¢	$5	0x93396e…
06-04 20:15:24	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x333788…
05-19 16:52:53	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,859	1¢	$37	0x72d1dc…
05-19 16:52:39	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,308	1¢	$30	0xc6314e…
05-18 21:52:49	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x3096ac…
05-18 19:35:16	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6,922	2¢	$143	0xef7875…
05-18 17:23:42	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	5,120	2¢	$97	0x32e00d…
05-18 17:22:34	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	Over	SELL	102	49¢	$50	0x0a5d8c…
05-18 14:22:10	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	3,752	2¢	$79	0xda7358…
05-18 13:29:01	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6,938	3¢	$200	0xe92328…
05-18 13:28:49	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,786	3¢	$50	0x339dff…
05-18 13:15:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2,370	3¢	$60	0x6f2231…
05-18 13:09:45	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,043	3¢	$30	0xccbdc4…
05-18 13:09:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,735	3¢	$50	0xa5c390…
05-18 13:08:42	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	702	3¢	$20	0x3e380c…
05-18 13:08:00	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	743	3¢	$20	0xee5897…
05-18 12:40:17	Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5	Over	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xc8e99c…
05-18 12:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	12¢	$25	0x86cad4…
05-18 12:10:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x09538f…
05-18 11:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	240	10¢	$25	0x53411c…
05-18 11:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	138	18¢	$25	0xe3a14a…
05-18 11:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	77	32¢	$25	0xfc2181…
05-18 11:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x5e8da5…
05-18 11:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0x76198b…
05-18 11:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x960e5e…
05-18 11:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x5d91f4…
05-18 11:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x4dc051…
05-18 05:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	163	99¢	$161	0x123217…
05-18 05:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	88	29¢	$25	0x06b770…
05-18 05:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0xe06727…
05-18 03:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	69	36¢	$25	0x2be937…
05-17 08:45:36	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	385	3¢	$10	0x786b61…
05-17 08:45:32	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	385	3¢	$10	0xaf2640…
05-17 08:44:08	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,154	3¢	$30	0x5630c2…
05-17 08:43:58	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,154	3¢	$30	0xbf31aa…
05-17 00:37:40	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	119	67¢	$80	0x69e227…
05-17 00:36:14	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0b70aa…
05-14 12:26:22	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xe7753e…
05-14 12:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	75	99¢	$74	0x5bd889…
05-14 12:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0x2529ad…
05-14 12:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xbfe199…
05-14 12:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8449f7…
05-14 12:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x22b187…
05-14 12:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x173c56…
05-07 22:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	68	4¢	$3	0xb1f670…
05-07 22:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0x225ac4…
05-07 22:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	179	17¢	$30	0x54cfb2…
05-07 22:49:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5a4df9…
05-07 22:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	154	3¢	$5	0x4b1384…
05-07 22:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x25cf15…
05-07 17:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	99	30¢	$30	0x5ebf17…
05-07 16:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	138	36¢	$50	0xd6bc28…
05-05 22:08:08	Wild vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x61fd33…
05-05 16:04:56	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	1,154	80¢	$922	0xc0f894…
04-18 16:28:46	nba tor cle 2026 04 18	Raptors	BUY	38	24¢	$9	0xfaf840…
04-16 21:33:52	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	BUY	9	59¢	$5	0xecfe1b…
04-16 21:32:38	btc updown 5m 1776375000	Down	BUY	13	43¢	$6	0x7c77ea…
03-29 11:51:04	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x5ed33a…
03-28 22:44:50	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0x50b4e6…
03-28 22:44:20	Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,129	1¢	$46	0xa9d3b2…
03-14 10:10:29	btc updown 5m 1773483000	Down	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0xd106cc…
03-14 10:08:53	btc updown 5m 1773482700	Down	BUY	95	31¢	$30	0x49ee45…
03-14 10:08:35	btc updown 5m 1773482700	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x22a99b…
03-14 10:08:13	btc updown 5m 1773482700	Down	BUY	141	21¢	$30	0x66cc8b…
03-14 10:02:37	btc updown 5m 1773482400	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x0f7aba…
03-14 10:01:43	btc updown 5m 1773482400	Down	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0x1eca00…
03-14 10:01:15	btc updown 5m 1773482400	Down	BUY	85	59¢	$50	0x646d31…
03-14 10:00:19	btc updown 5m 1773482100	Up	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0xa5cc30…
03-14 09:59:15	btc updown 5m 1773482100	Up	BUY	44	69¢	$30	0x8d3a92…
03-14 09:58:49	btc updown 5m 1773482100	Up	BUY	40	74¢	$30	0x45d66f…
03-14 09:35:53	btc updown 5m 1773480900	Down	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x4e3f25…
03-14 09:31:29	btc updown 5m 1773480600	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x38ac7d…
03-14 09:31:19	btc updown 5m 1773480600	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x84e88f…
03-14 09:31:05	btc updown 5m 1773480600	Up	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x1bd8c0…
03-14 09:30:07	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	1¢	$20	0x13f2b1…
03-14 09:27:11	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1,010	6¢	$60	0xb24c5a…
03-14 09:21:07	will iran strike turkey in march	Yes	BUY	129	15¢	$20	0x0cfb42…
03-13 05:36:53	btc updown 5m 1773380100	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x9f736c…
03-13 05:35:51	btc updown 5m 1773380100	Down	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0xffc0bf…
03-13 05:31:23	btc updown 5m 1773379800	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x6db1a5…
03-13 05:31:05	btc updown 5m 1773379800	Down	BUY	79	38¢	$30	0x09a886…
03-13 04:36:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	316	100¢	$316	0x0c8202…
03-10 04:58:33	nhl cal nyr 2026 03 10	Flames	BUY	109	47¢	$51	0xc563fc…
03-10 04:57:59	nhl cal nyr 2026 03 10	Flames	BUY	108	46¢	$50	0xab2548…
03-10 04:57:09	nhl ana wpg 2026 03 10	Jets	BUY	125	56¢	$70	0x177dac…
03-10 04:56:29	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	SELL	171	100¢	$171	0xfa788b…
03-09 22:09:39	nba nyk lac 2026 03 09	Clippers	BUY	171	46¢	$79	0x3af3c5…
03-08 18:27:59	nba nyk lal 2026 03 08	Lakers	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x523823…
03-08 18:27:43	nba nyk lal 2026 03 08	Lakers	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xddafe0…
03-07 23:25:33	btc updown 5m 1772925900	Down	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xaaa656…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x5487…a014	252	$34.7K	8,440	03-14 10:11
(anonymous) 0x0489…ee4d	248	$103.7K	46,541	03-14 10:13
(anonymous) 0xb9fc…da76	248	$30.6K	10,659	03-14 10:13
(anonymous) 0x297f…5103	243	$89.3K	38,092	03-14 10:13
(anonymous) 0x37c9…7e6d	242	$256.7K	18,434	03-14 10:14
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	241	$644.2K	56,253	04-16 21:33
(anonymous) 0xfdef…6006	241	$1.13K	563	03-14 10:08
(anonymous) 0x03c3…3a1d	237	$106.1K	21,901	03-07 23:30