Exalted-Downfall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

304

Trades

305

lifetime

Volume

$3.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-28 04:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 223 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$5

Politics

6% 90% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

77 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	27	+27	No	-$26	05-15 05:05
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 15:05
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:53
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:37
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:03
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:42
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:47
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:10
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 15:16
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:09
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:23
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:20
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 12:45
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:29
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:22
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:10
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$23	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:47
highest temperature in busan on april 18 2026 25corhigher	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-18 08:14
highest temperature in moscow on april 17 2026 12c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:55
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:41
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:56
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 07:43
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 14:54
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 06:57
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:46
highest temperature in ankara on april 14 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 15:39
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-14 05:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:55:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x306df8…
10-27 15:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x3129fe…
10-27 07:51:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf3fa43…
10-26 04:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x15cbab…
10-24 06:45:08	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x260470…
10-22 09:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 13°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb6edaf…
10-20 04:32:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x805fc1…
10-19 06:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7e0ae0…
10-18 05:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4ea30f…
10-17 07:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x60d82c…
10-16 04:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x89b83a…
10-15 05:38:16	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd4aa10…
10-14 06:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcbe329…
10-13 13:26:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc759b8…
10-13 01:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xcced0b…
10-12 01:06:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9bcab1…
10-11 01:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7ea946…
10-08 04:44:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on October 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x13af89…
10-07 08:46:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on October 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd9f8a7…
10-06 14:59:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0e569a…
10-06 05:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x3800ff…
10-04 07:51:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x904dc1…
10-03 00:47:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9a302…
10-02 07:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x036b04…
10-02 03:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb56e93…
10-01 05:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x23be38…
09-30 07:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6edd33…
09-29 06:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe19a20…
09-28 07:38:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x644dd2…
09-27 10:41:56	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd6129…
09-26 08:23:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39815b…
09-25 07:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c8550…
09-24 06:35:20	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xefa60e…
09-23 05:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4e1f9…
09-22 01:06:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x160ba3…
09-21 08:09:17	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ca045…
09-20 02:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad114e…
09-19 05:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32134c…
09-18 09:49:01	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xda438a…
09-18 01:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfd8889…
09-17 00:55:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x963e2f…
09-16 07:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc31257…
09-15 23:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54c000…
09-15 01:03:51	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C or below on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8c33ae…
09-14 00:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x41720f…
09-13 12:46:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec02e9…
09-12 03:31:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b1ba8…
09-11 01:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe2b72d…
09-10 01:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ea52a…
09-09 00:51:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x471c73…
09-08 01:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d2c58…
09-07 01:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x510e18…
09-06 07:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x104427…
09-06 01:06:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9cf98…
09-05 09:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x61ee36…
09-04 08:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f6ccf…
09-03 01:08:18	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd457f…
09-02 11:03:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13edf3…
09-01 01:18:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5222b3…
08-30 00:10:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3cc86…
08-29 05:46:10	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13ed86…
08-28 01:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e6aec…
08-27 01:08:01	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32af0e…
08-26 01:57:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0bc0d2…
08-25 01:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x832c90…
08-24 07:10:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a4cdf…
08-23 01:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b1d65…
08-22 01:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa77a46…
08-21 01:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ddadc…
08-20 05:29:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40ed3a…
08-19 00:23:37	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29bb61…
08-18 00:10:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46d4e3…
08-17 05:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1b342f…
08-16 01:37:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24f0bd…
08-15 02:29:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb48a71…
08-14 01:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2314ff…
08-13 00:11:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10b664…
08-12 00:22:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe93822…
08-11 00:12:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a482c…
08-10 00:16:58	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe0320…
08-09 00:18:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6115db…
08-08 00:15:34	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x273861…
08-07 00:13:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa40908…
08-06 00:18:47	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4bb139…
08-05 00:25:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 4?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x657b8a…
08-04 00:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89d1ab…
08-03 00:10:47	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x291924…
08-02 07:00:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf46833…
08-02 00:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbdb9b7…
08-01 00:08:53	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b3133…
07-31 00:59:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13eb39…
07-30 00:12:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb1ed7d…
07-29 00:12:05	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x797d19…
07-28 00:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x60f54f…
07-27 01:17:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5cbfb…
07-26 08:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfb4393…
07-26 00:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08c8fd…
07-25 00:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xada328…
07-24 01:13:52	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb52cf1…
07-23 00:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd2f31b…