Hopeful-Ox — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$47

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.8%

Resolved

Trades

448

lifetime

Volume

$7.59K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 06-09 18:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 48% $-47

Other

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776571800	2	$351	190	189	+2	open	—	04-19 04:12
btc updown 5m 1776571200	2	$288	176	172	+4	open	—	04-19 04:04
btc updown 5m 1776572100	2	$255	302	293	+9	open	—	04-19 04:17
btc updown 5m 1776570900	2	$198	124	121	+3	open	—	04-19 03:58
btc updown 5m 1776570600	2	$151	80	79	+1	open	—	04-19 03:55
btc updown 5m 1776565500	2	$150	106	102	+4	open	—	04-19 02:30
btc updown 5m 1776572400	3	$132	185	125	+60	open	—	04-19 04:22
btc updown 5m 1776570300	2	$119	76	74	+2	open	—	04-19 03:50
btc updown 5m 1776557700	2	$119	71	69	+1	open	—	04-19 00:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10AM ET	2	$102	65	65	+0	open	—	05-18 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	3	$89	122	88	+34	Down	$-12	05-12 16:21
btc updown 5m 1776715200	2	$74	43	42	+1	open	—	04-20 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$73	44	43	+1	open	—	04-25 18:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	2	$65	41	40	+1	open	—	04-25 03:34
btc updown 5m 1776716400	2	$65	35	35	+0	open	—	04-20 20:25
Dota 2: by Owl Club vs Ramzes Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	2	$62	44	44	+0	open	—	06-01 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9AM ET	2	$60	38	38	+0	open	—	05-18 13:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$57	41	41	+0	Down	+$18	05-11 15:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$54	37	36	+0	open	—	05-21 11:29
btc updown 5m 1776567600	2	$53	36	35	+1	open	—	04-19 03:04
btc updown 5m 1776715500	2	$51	51	50	+1	open	—	04-20 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$50	32	32	+0	open	—	05-21 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	5	$50	61	61	+0	Up	$-18	05-11 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET	3	$50	33	33	+0	open	—	05-23 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$49	32	32	+0	Up	+$11	05-12 15:51
btc updown 5m 1776658800	2	$49	33	32	+1	open	—	04-20 04:25
btc updown 5m 1776687300	2	$48	47	46	+1	open	—	04-20 12:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$47	74	0	+74	open	—	04-25 03:52
btc updown 5m 1776716700	2	$47	63	61	+2	open	—	04-20 20:26
Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs	2	$47	36	36	+0	open	—	05-31 12:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 18:10:10	btc updown 5m 1781028600	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x255290…
06-09 12:06:45	btc updown 5m 1781006700	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x2365b1…
06-09 12:01:43	cs2 bca am 2026 06 09	Betclic Apogee Esports	SELL	12	23¢	$3	0xacef1b…
06-09 11:36:33	cs2 bca am 2026 06 09	Betclic Apogee Esports	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xf9e6fe…
06-09 10:22:42	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 6am et	Down	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x81eb9a…
06-09 00:38:15	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8pm et	Down	SELL	20	96¢	$20	0x8509f3…
06-09 00:09:25	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8pm et	Down	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x309865…
06-02 19:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0xd52d0f…
06-02 19:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x899130…
06-02 18:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0xe17669…
06-02 18:15:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3ac43a…
06-02 18:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xc8bd1e…
06-02 06:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xb5c1d2…
06-02 05:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x29a367…
06-02 05:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	66¢	$12	0x2974ac…
06-02 05:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xe68f93…
06-02 05:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	48¢	$6	0xc39110…
06-02 00:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xcbf090…
06-02 00:34:42	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0x812055…
06-01 20:10:40	Dota 2: Enjoy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Rune Eaters	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1f2c21…
06-01 18:58:07	LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs	KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas	BUY	21	49¢	$10	0x960401…
06-01 18:37:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x3bd203…
06-01 18:36:03	Dota 2: Enjoy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Rune Eaters	SELL	21	40¢	$9	0x004461…
06-01 18:35:14	Dota 2: Enjoy vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Rune Eaters	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x498f7b…
06-01 18:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x927533…
06-01 18:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xe13426…
06-01 18:05:11	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	Lavked	SELL	40	24¢	$10	0x7c8937…
06-01 17:32:38	Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	Lavked	BUY	40	32¢	$13	0x904273…
06-01 17:25:42	Dota 2: by Owl Club vs Ramzes Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	Ramzes Club	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0x3bde4b…
06-01 14:52:29	Dota 2: by Owl Club vs Ramzes Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Group A	Ramzes Club	BUY	44	41¢	$18	0x84a26a…
06-01 14:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x603c65…
06-01 14:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x59cc23…
06-01 14:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	17	26¢	$5	0x2f8bc9…
06-01 14:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	17	46¢	$8	0x59ec43…
06-01 14:01:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	21	39¢	$8	0xf0414c…
06-01 14:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa82a44…
06-01 13:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x5c03d4…
06-01 13:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0x2380ad…
06-01 13:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	18	39¢	$7	0xfe9408…
06-01 13:00:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x488b22…
06-01 12:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xa35da7…
05-31 13:35:38	Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffs	Gentle Mates	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xa230e1…
05-31 13:09:23	Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage	Leo Team	SELL	51	21¢	$11	0x4cfd51…
05-31 12:41:43	Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs	TDK	SELL	36	75¢	$27	0x7c3b56…
05-31 12:17:32	Counter-Strike: TDK vs OG (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Playoffs	TDK	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x2245c8…
05-31 12:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1AM ET	Down	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x83f84a…
05-31 05:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x46433e…
05-30 18:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x4c217c…
05-28 19:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0xf898ac…
05-28 19:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	16	67¢	$11	0x9f641d…
05-28 19:28:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x3fe592…
05-28 19:25:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x61b7ec…
05-27 16:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	60¢	$17	0x7069a2…
05-27 16:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x7d18f8…
05-27 16:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	64¢	$11	0x8f0078…
05-26 23:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xa4b1ee…
05-26 22:41:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	11	26¢	$3	0xcbf08a…
05-26 22:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4abb09…
05-26 20:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4PM ET	Down	SELL	48	40¢	$19	0x6978de…
05-26 20:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4PM ET	Down	BUY	48	52¢	$25	0x0998d7…
05-26 20:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x597bc8…
05-26 19:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x6486c5…
05-26 18:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	16	98¢	$15	0x0bec13…
05-26 18:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0x060a83…
05-26 18:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	22	42¢	$9	0xd1c3bf…
05-26 18:20:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xd872ec…
05-25 16:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xf68b1a…
05-25 15:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0x300669…
05-23 17:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	44	30¢	$13	0xcac53d…
05-23 16:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x234ea0…
05-23 16:45:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	52	16¢	$8	0x8b94ec…
05-23 16:30:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	52	62¢	$32	0x6b49e2…
05-23 16:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x804754…
05-23 15:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x704e6b…
05-23 15:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	14	46¢	$7	0x6e217c…
05-21 22:40:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	39	50¢	$19	0x82e2f1…
05-21 22:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	49¢	$13	0x4be093…
05-21 21:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	23	97¢	$22	0xcd5e9e…
05-21 21:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x77846a…
05-21 20:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0x171913…
05-21 19:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xfc4b95…
05-21 19:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x9ee0b6…
05-21 19:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x0d6089…
05-21 18:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	36	42¢	$15	0x8a32f9…
05-21 18:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	55	32¢	$18	0x719f30…
05-21 18:10:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x0cde28…
05-21 13:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0c8f21…
05-21 11:43:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	37	50¢	$18	0xe307b5…
05-21 11:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	41¢	$14	0x3bc99d…
05-21 11:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	36	95¢	$35	0xc2bab0…
05-21 11:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	53¢	$19	0xe6dee5…
05-21 11:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x49d10f…
05-21 11:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x6eacb4…
05-21 11:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	60¢	$19	0x7de7bf…
05-21 11:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xdf5e3a…
05-21 10:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x01f7cd…
05-21 10:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	32	52¢	$16	0x380d78…
05-21 01:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	43	37¢	$16	0x225616…
05-21 01:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	SELL	25	14¢	$3	0x07c199…
05-21 01:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	56¢	$14	0xd74039…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	285	$239.3K	7,959	06-09 18:14
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	281	$88.5K	14,192	06-09 18:14
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	272	$148.5K	10,123	06-02 19:43
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	266	$558.3K	28,370	06-09 18:15
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	265	$85.1K	23,902	06-09 18:14
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	265	$79.4K	22,633	06-09 18:14
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	265	$77.0K	12,141	06-09 18:13
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	262	$50.7K	2,562	06-09 18:13