Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$37

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.77K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$109

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-30

last 10-24 03:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Politics

66% 97% -$61

Other

24% 100% +$17

Tech

4% 100% +$3

Crypto

3% 100% +$0

Sports

3% 100% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	2	$261	132	132	+0	Yes	+$3	10-23 00:32
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	2	$218	109	109	+0	No	+$0	07-17 06:43
iran closes its airspace by june 8	1	$213	213	0	+213	Yes	+$0	06-08 08:37
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	1	$204	213	0	+213	No	+$9	06-04 11:12
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$204	204	0	+204	No	+$0	06-01 17:12
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	2	$197	99	99	+0	Yes	+$0	05-31 12:44
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$196	197	0	+197	No	+$0	05-23 02:17
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	1	$194	196	0	+196	No	+$3	05-21 03:09
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$192	192	0	+192	Yes	+$0	05-12 16:27
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$191	192	0	+192	No	+$1	04-30 02:41
Will Trump dance today?	1	$190	191	0	+191	Yes	+$1	04-27 06:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$190	191	0	+191	Yes	+$0	04-29 03:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	1	$190	190	0	+190	No	+$0	04-25 17:14
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	1	$185	186	0	+186	No	+$1	04-21 01:48
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$183	183	0	+183	Yes	+$0	04-09 14:41
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$182	183	0	+183	Yes	+$1	04-07 17:55
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	1	$178	179	0	+179	No	+$1	03-24 13:29
mlbb tlph ar 2026 03 20 game1	2	$177	178	0	+178	Team Liquid PH	+$1	03-20 11:00
will trump say jesus this week march 8	1	$177	177	0	+177	Yes	+$0	03-11 13:18
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	1	$176	177	0	+177	Yes	+$1	03-01 11:14
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	1	$176	176	0	+176	Yes	+$0	01-30 15:59
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	1	$129	129	0	+129	Yes	+$0	08-15 01:57
Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	1	$128	128	0	+128	Yes	+$0	08-21 01:47
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	3	$127	128	0	+128	No	+$1	08-04 03:00
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	1	$127	127	0	+127	Yes	+$0	07-28 01:29
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	1	$127	127	0	+127	No	+$0	08-01 03:16
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	1	$117	117	0	+117	Yes	+$1	07-20 01:53
iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	1	$110	110	0	+110	No	+$0	07-11 02:21
over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	1	$109	116	0	+116	Yes	+$8	07-17 06:44
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ismael saibari gte2	1	$109	109	0	+109	No	+$0	07-09 12:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 03:16:50	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	67	98¢	$66	0x45e77d…
10-24 03:16:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	70	94¢	$66	0x318922…
10-23 00:32:42	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x132d1a…
08-27 06:51:57	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	132	97¢	$129	0x778bd3…
08-21 01:47:00	Will James Fishback win 10–15% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0xa5b2bf…
08-15 01:57:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	BUY	129	100¢	$129	0x871f7e…
08-04 03:00:15	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xe637e5…
08-04 02:47:24	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0xd56ce0…
08-04 02:39:57	will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x710265…
08-01 03:16:53	will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	No	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x87f1e4…
07-28 01:29:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 27	Yes	BUY	127	100¢	$127	0x1e93c3…
07-24 03:01:37	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	No	BUY	63	93¢	$59	0x000ad8…
07-24 03:01:01	israel closes its airspace by july 24	No	BUY	64	92¢	$59	0x2d95bc…
07-20 01:53:58	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	Yes	BUY	117	99¢	$117	0x7e6418…
07-17 06:44:04	over 30m committed to the credible public sale 20260708134325652	Yes	BUY	116	94¢	$109	0x20f9b3…
07-17 06:43:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0xc817d6…
07-13 12:52:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x9aebf5…
07-11 02:21:20	iran successfully targets shipping on july 8 20260625225210249	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x8c5e9a…
07-09 12:13:47	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals ismael saibari gte2	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xc73f6c…
07-02 04:45:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$108	0x71350f…
06-19 11:41:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xd1c472…
06-19 11:41:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x572c7b…
06-19 11:03:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	BUY	55	88¢	$48	0x565289…
06-19 11:00:37	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	109	98¢	$107	0xdb97ed…
06-08 08:37:48	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0x1a9db3…
06-04 11:12:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	213	96¢	$204	0x8cfe2c…
06-01 17:12:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$204	0x5829cb…
05-31 13:30:06	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x924f18…
05-31 12:47:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	102	98¢	$101	0xbad49f…
05-31 12:44:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	SELL	99	100¢	$99	0x48bb95…
05-31 02:50:46	Will Trump say "Bahrain" this week?	Yes	BUY	103	98¢	$101	0xa668f1…
05-25 04:18:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	99	100¢	$98	0xa50ff0…
05-25 04:13:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	101	97¢	$98	0x9c0235…
05-23 02:17:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	197	100¢	$196	0xc47025…
05-21 03:09:17	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	196	99¢	$194	0x90a841…
05-18 15:06:32	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	98	98¢	$96	0x4abfda…
05-12 16:27:55	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x0fb7e7…
04-30 02:41:10	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x555ca9…
04-30 02:39:32	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	180	100¢	$179	0x85b357…
04-29 03:15:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0xcacf7d…
04-27 06:16:36	Will Trump dance today?	Yes	BUY	191	100¢	$190	0xa94507…
04-25 17:14:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	190	100¢	$190	0x3c5107…
04-23 07:32:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0x61832e…
04-23 07:31:08	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x6b9620…
04-23 07:29:04	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	12	96¢	$11	0xf478d6…
04-23 07:28:30	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by april 23 2026	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x958964…
04-21 01:48:54	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	BUY	186	100¢	$185	0x8c9093…
04-14 14:38:51	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	No	BUY	78	98¢	$77	0xd7cffb…
04-14 14:38:23	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xe19869…
04-14 14:38:01	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	No	BUY	92	99¢	$92	0x664768…
04-09 14:41:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0x5bea09…
04-07 17:55:37	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0x2a89fa…
03-27 13:08:27	will tennessee win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	43	99¢	$42	0xc13843…
03-27 12:52:07	will michigan state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	92	97¢	$89	0xcecfda…
03-27 12:28:09	will tennessee win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	47	99¢	$47	0x6867eb…
03-24 13:29:07	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	179	100¢	$178	0x76e48d…
03-20 11:00:25	mlbb tlph ar 2026 03 20 game1	Team Liquid PH	BUY	168	99¢	$167	0xbcf51c…
03-20 11:00:09	mlbb tlph ar 2026 03 20 game1	Team Liquid PH	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa46afb…
03-11 13:18:55	will trump say jesus this week march 8	Yes	BUY	177	100¢	$177	0xef10ad…
03-01 11:14:19	will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	Yes	BUY	177	100¢	$176	0xa00658…
01-30 15:59:00	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	Yes	BUY	176	100¢	$176	0x8652f1…