Favorite-Exasperation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$321

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.3%

Resolved

234

Trades

1,000

lifetime

Volume

$3.07K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 10-31 08:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 38% -$309

Other

4% 38% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET	37	$138	178	166	+12	Up	+$9	05-28 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7AM ET	30	$99	123	102	+22	Up	+$12	05-28 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	16	$83	178	167	+11	Down	+$15	05-19 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7AM ET	36	$81	115	59	+56	Down	-$18	05-29 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	26	$74	190	79	+111	Down	+$10	05-27 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6AM ET	24	$73	290	92	+198	Down	-$6	05-29 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	17	$61	80	55	+25	Down	+$11	05-26 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	13	$53	122	33	+89	Up	-$6	05-19 10:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	17	$49	55	55	+0	Up	+$9	05-25 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	10	$48	98	98	+0	Down	+$20	05-20 07:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	16	$46	51	39	+12	Down	-$3	05-26 06:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	11	$42	45	37	+8	Down	+$2	05-19 09:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	23	$42	512	15	+497	Down	-$27	05-20 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	12	$42	155	39	+116	Up	+$0	05-27 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	19	$41	703	27	+675	Down	-$20	05-20 11:53
India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	5	$40	90	20	+70	India	-$18	10-27 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	19	$37	44	39	+5	Down	+$5	05-25 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4AM ET	18	$37	42	31	+11	Up	-$3	05-20 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	5	$32	30	20	+10	Down	+$5	10-29 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	9	$31	38	38	+0	Up	+$1	05-19 10:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	10	$29	27	17	+10	Down	+$11	05-19 11:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4AM ET	6	$29	88	38	+50	Down	-$1	05-19 08:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	7	$27	56	36	+20	Down	-$1	06-15 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	8	$27	39	39	+0	Up	-$3	05-26 05:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 11:05 UTC	9	$27	200	50	+150	Up	-$3	07-11 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$27	37	30	+7	Up	+$4	05-25 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	12	$27	289	12	+278	Down	-$13	05-27 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	6	$25	25	25	+0	Down	+$5	05-19 10:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 12:40 UTC	1	$25	26	0	+26	Up	+$1	08-22 12:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 04:45 UTC	10	$25	133	50	+83	Up	-$5	07-10 04:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 08:15:01	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xbff6ac…
10-31 08:03:07	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x75b1df…
10-31 07:08:09	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0xcd9dad…
10-31 07:02:42	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xd4d516…
10-31 07:02:42	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x4a3dd8…
10-31 06:32:24	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xd5baec…
10-30 09:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf10659…
10-30 09:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0xabf4df…
10-30 09:22:06	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0xad1ddc…
10-30 09:01:34	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x5820ce…
10-29 14:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x36bcd7…
10-29 12:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9d97e9…
10-29 12:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x1ef56b…
10-29 12:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0xcae408…
10-29 12:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xbdc391…
10-29 12:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x67ff42…
10-29 12:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x646c67…
10-29 12:39:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x3130cb…
10-29 12:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x6e949b…
10-29 12:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xbb5180…
10-29 12:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x39e9ff…
10-29 12:29:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xcaa76a…
10-29 11:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0x8c188c…
10-29 11:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x397697…
10-29 11:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xafc2fd…
10-29 10:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x367c71…
10-29 10:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x12bcf5…
10-29 10:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x58381b…
10-29 10:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x270a63…
10-29 10:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x84bbf5…
10-29 10:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x67855f…
10-29 10:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	0	45¢	$0	0x1fbc91…
10-29 10:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x458928…
10-29 10:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	0	30¢	$0	0xe00a47…
10-29 10:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	30¢	$2	0xb5b871…
10-29 10:09:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x12e22b…
10-29 10:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x8b7b4a…
10-29 10:03:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfc3ef3…
10-29 10:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xeb656e…
10-29 09:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x21d792…
10-29 09:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x3f973e…
10-29 09:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x029836…
10-29 09:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$1	0xd2ec0a…
10-29 09:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x447525…
10-29 09:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x9cb22d…
10-29 09:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xc5aadf…
10-29 09:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xed9022…
10-29 09:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x6fb946…
10-29 08:30:29	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x7cb8ed…
10-29 08:11:20	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x689852…
10-29 05:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x4594da…
10-29 04:54:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xe07fcb…
10-29 04:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5e30aa…
10-29 04:44:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x739177…
10-29 04:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1d18ad…
10-29 04:22:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x66e241…
10-29 04:20:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0xdc6964…
10-29 04:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xbc2e6f…
10-28 10:49:20	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	Sri Lanka	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xd6d455…
10-28 09:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x5af722…
10-27 13:35:02	Will South Africa win?	Yes	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x322d71…
10-27 11:05:53	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	75	0¢	$0	0x832570…
10-27 10:48:41	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	59	3¢	$2	0x6c81ed…
10-27 10:43:48	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	141	3¢	$4	0x7a3c60…
10-27 10:41:24	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	150	3¢	$5	0xba9bfc…
10-27 10:40:36	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xfeaece…
10-27 09:09:11	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x2ddb32…
10-27 08:59:45	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x2ec9e9…
10-27 08:38:15	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x5309e8…
10-27 08:03:03	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x01260e…
10-27 07:52:27	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x86435e…
10-21 10:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x19ff61…
10-21 10:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x50f1f0…
10-21 09:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x72b1d4…
10-21 09:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x6f6eb8…
10-20 12:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x055d81…
10-20 09:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0x401819…
10-20 09:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xfe18b2…
10-20 09:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	8	56¢	$4	0x3f9b34…
10-19 10:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x60d7d2…
10-19 10:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0xfac498…
10-19 10:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xcee13f…
10-19 08:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x8b3cc9…
10-19 08:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x0c2ca2…
10-15 12:55:07	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x888e42…
10-15 12:54:56	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x4bf033…
10-15 12:50:41	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	4	77¢	$3	0x2a4d47…
10-15 12:29:25	Solana Up or Down - October 15, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x4520df…
10-14 14:19:47	bitcoin up or down on october 14 2026	Up	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x64ae3c…
10-14 10:21:22	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0x1ef901…
10-14 10:19:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x97c334…
10-14 10:19:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x68ba94…
10-14 10:19:01	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x66a06b…
10-14 10:18:22	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x5f356c…
10-14 10:18:14	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x97e130…
10-14 10:18:14	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	23¢	$2	0x3b78be…
10-14 10:03:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	Up	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0x68ac6d…
10-14 10:03:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	17	26¢	$4	0x7d57b6…
10-14 10:03:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0xbda8a1…
10-14 09:20:47	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-14 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	35¢	$5	0xadf6fc…