Spotted-Chairlift — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

+$573

Unrealized P&L

+$251

Hit rate

77.9%

Resolved (90d)

Trades (90d)

106

805 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$4.40K

$23.1K lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$259

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 10-24 11:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 61 days

Categories

Other

63% 54% +$2,339

Politics

23% 60% -$223

Sports

5% 69% +$309

Tech

5% 0% -$55

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$35

Crypto

1% 33% +$116

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	+373	-$3	58¢	$217	+$220	10-21 14:15
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	+300	$51	14¢	$42	-$9	09-14 09:22
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+0	-$40	2¢	$0	+$40	07-26 05:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cs2 washed msc 2026 06 13	27	$1.1K	2,281	0	+2,281	Washed	+$316	06-13 19:34
cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07 game1 round handicap bb3 3pt5	5	$682	1,345	0	+1,345	BetBoom Team	+$663	06-07 14:15
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	8	$611	800	427	+373	open	—	10-21 14:15
another gta vi trailer released by july 31 20260629155922032	9	$595	770	290	+480	No	+$394	07-24 13:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	5	$532	700	700	+0	open	—	10-01 10:12
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	8	$522	650	400	+250	Yes	-$116	07-23 16:19
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	2	$511	350	350	+0	open	—	08-11 10:43
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	6	$511	330	330	+0	Yes	+$97	07-27 19:36
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage	2	$486	1,015	0	+1,015	Walczaki	+$529	05-06 09:03
another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	13	$484	1,533	1,500	+33	No	+$185	08-13 12:29
will drake have a 1 hit in the us in june	2	$465	505	0	+505	No	+$35	07-01 15:41
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$448	330	330	+0	Yes	+$87	09-11 18:19
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	10	$447	257	257	+0	No	+$16	07-10 09:30
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	6	$387	957	957	+0	No	+$187	08-31 19:14
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	4	$372	250	200	+50	Yes	+$52	09-20 20:43
iran leadership change by july 31 20260629143932628	3	$367	385	0	+385	No	+$18	07-24 07:42
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	4	$334	225	225	+0	No	+$39	07-15 17:36
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	11	$334	9,300	280	+9,020	Yes	+$134	07-08 18:14
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	65	$320	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	07-26 05:11
Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	15	$318	300	300	+0	No	+$126	09-26 07:29
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	4	$308	200	200	+0	Yes	+$56	08-05 02:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$272	400	150	+250	No	+$13	07-11 22:41
will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	5	$268	300	300	+0	Yes	+$124	08-19 15:50
israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	9	$267	190	190	+0	No	+$56	08-05 17:36
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	6	$262	879	629	+250	No	-$61	08-06 08:10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$235	150	150	+0	open	—	08-02 21:52
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	2	$212	200	200	+0	No	+$12	07-10 07:10
Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	11	$210	1,088	0	+1,088	open	—	10-24 11:53
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$200	500	500	+0	No	+$10	07-07 10:17
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	2	$196	150	150	+0	Yes	+$47	08-05 17:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 11:53:05	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	218	15¢	$33	0x2cdd2f…
10-23 18:34:14	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xe2f226…
10-23 14:45:09	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	24	15¢	$4	0x2653bf…
10-23 14:42:06	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	12	15¢	$2	0x39315f…
10-23 14:40:12	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0xef8527…
10-23 14:38:09	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	35	15¢	$5	0xd3b4e9…
10-23 14:32:05	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	59	15¢	$9	0xe27d2e…
10-21 14:15:03	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	400	72¢	$288	0x98da45…
10-21 14:14:26	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	SELL	27	73¢	$19	0x3ec9fa…
10-02 13:02:11	Game Handicap: VLR (-1.5) vs MAGAZA (+1.5)	MAGAZA	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x8bfac3…
10-02 12:58:08	Game Handicap: VLR (-1.5) vs MAGAZA (+1.5)	MAGAZA	BUY	36	49¢	$17	0xa342dd…
10-01 10:12:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	48	46¢	$22	0xdffb04…
10-01 10:12:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	50	46¢	$23	0xb6ae46…
10-01 10:12:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	594	46¢	$273	0x72e311…
10-01 10:12:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x5d2cde…
10-01 08:30:14	wta ribera rakhimo 2026 09 30 match total 21pt5	Under	BUY	46	49¢	$23	0xaebb8b…
09-26 07:29:29	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	171	71¢	$121	0xd8a6d1…
09-26 07:29:29	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	18	70¢	$12	0xc8f7c6…
09-26 07:29:27	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x3b22ce…
09-26 07:28:53	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0xc9dff6…
09-26 07:28:21	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	7	78¢	$5	0x13cad8…
09-26 07:26:45	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	43	80¢	$34	0xd6d848…
09-26 07:26:44	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xf51356…
09-26 07:26:44	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0x6702e6…
09-26 07:26:44	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x08c203…
09-26 07:26:08	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x25ea05…
09-26 07:25:56	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x219f00…
09-20 20:43:52	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	SELL	123	94¢	$115	0x480995…
09-20 19:18:43	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	SELL	77	94¢	$72	0xac9c64…
09-17 14:51:24	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	364	6¢	$22	0x4849b0…
09-17 14:51:24	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0x13804d…
09-17 13:32:21	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	76	6¢	$5	0xb932f3…
09-15 08:35:37	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	200	32¢	$64	0x30ead9…
09-15 03:51:24	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x994c75…
09-14 22:12:18	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	700	30¢	$210	0xf7b409…
09-14 17:49:58	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	70	32¢	$22	0x073c5e…
09-14 09:22:43	Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	17¢	$51	0xcb6ec9…
09-13 14:23:40	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	188	74¢	$139	0x23769a…
09-13 13:22:37	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?	Yes	BUY	62	74¢	$46	0x52322d…
09-13 12:45:33	Will Meta be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xb86b98…
09-11 18:19:07	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	330	81¢	$267	0x6d59a2…
09-08 07:39:13	Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x14af0a…
09-08 01:21:21	Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?	Yes	BUY	212	15¢	$32	0x5ff327…
09-05 02:36:15	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	148	21¢	$31	0x5cf196…
09-04 19:05:03	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0x8261fb…
09-04 17:14:46	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	152	21¢	$32	0x98b86c…
09-04 11:33:18	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Game of the Year at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	BUY	238	22¢	$52	0x6fb1ba…
09-02 19:36:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x57bf35…
09-02 15:10:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xd2931b…
09-02 15:10:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xb566bc…
09-02 15:10:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x62d922…
09-02 15:10:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	170	6¢	$9	0x5094d9…
09-02 14:28:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xe5338c…
09-02 14:28:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xdc51e1…
09-02 14:28:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x6429a2…
09-02 14:28:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	5¢	$9	0x3c8afc…
09-02 14:28:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	81	6¢	$4	0x1e80f0…
09-02 14:28:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x1aa2a2…
09-02 14:28:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x1a388b…
09-02 14:27:49	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x03bef9…
09-02 14:27:48	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x9340fb…
09-02 14:27:43	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0xc1bff5…
09-01 13:51:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	5¢	$1	0xe46cf9…
09-01 13:51:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0xdbeb46…
09-01 13:51:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x881e3f…
09-01 13:51:24	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x6ffd23…
09-01 03:55:03	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	6¢	$4	0x00e4bf…
09-01 03:55:00	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	5¢	$9	0xeb435d…
08-31 19:14:19	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	488	30¢	$146	0xfbf053…
08-31 19:00:13	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x0a4c53…
08-31 17:33:03	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	250	30¢	$75	0x408032…
08-31 16:35:46	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	SELL	200	30¢	$60	0x4b2e92…
08-30 15:11:13	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	200	12¢	$24	0x4495b0…
08-30 13:37:54	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	757	10¢	$76	0x9f6909…
08-30 08:51:25	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	715	38¢	$272	0xcb5f71…
08-29 15:50:34	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	38¢	$6	0xfc9d8d…
08-29 14:53:55	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xe61d2c…
08-29 14:53:15	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0xcf51c0…
08-29 14:42:55	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	38¢	$18	0x1d6aa6…
08-29 09:01:09	Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x456cde…
08-19 15:50:18	will bitcoin reach 70k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	300	65¢	$196	0xe2c150…
08-13 12:29:43	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0x8c405b…
08-13 12:17:22	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1d25f6…
08-13 12:15:40	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x4bb06b…
08-11 10:43:45	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	SELL	350	77¢	$270	0x87a366…
08-06 08:14:47	Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	75	8¢	$6	0x310d60…
08-06 08:14:27	Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x81cd80…
08-06 08:14:00	Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x5bc4aa…
08-06 08:10:17	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	250	16¢	$40	0xd79d7f…
08-05 17:36:38	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	185	85¢	$157	0x690508…
08-05 17:24:05	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0x9bf30d…
08-05 17:22:53	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	Yes	SELL	150	81¢	$122	0x4c7ee5…
08-05 17:20:42	will xauusd reach 4400 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	100	52¢	$52	0x46f8d1…
08-05 06:17:11	Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	110	72¢	$79	0x7203c2…
08-05 02:11:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	190	91¢	$173	0x53e195…
08-05 00:16:02	Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0xf92942…
08-04 22:29:50	will there be at least 2550 measles cases in the us by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	150	70¢	$105	0xe9d9f8…
08-04 20:33:17	Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xf440b5…
08-04 18:39:02	Will there be fewer than 1 North Korea test in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0xfe72b3…
08-04 17:28:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	Yes	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x8a854d…