Agonizing-Selfconfidence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$854

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.9%

Resolved

3,508

Trades

5,426

lifetime

Volume

$28.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 10-07 10:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 65% -$906

Other

8% 61% +$63

Politics

1% 17% -$10

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 157 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 17:00 UTC	22	$469	389	389	+0	Down	+$101	08-22 17:02
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	124	$262	444	444	+0	No	-$4	03-16 09:05
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	87	$143	462	462	+0	No	-$5	03-16 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 16:45 UTC	5	$137	147	0	+147	Up	+$10	08-22 16:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 19:55 UTC	24	$120	99	43	+57	Up	-$47	07-24 19:59
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	96	$111	516	516	+0	No	-$5	03-16 09:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:20 UTC	9	$91	52	52	+0	Down	+$12	07-24 14:25
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	21	$89	265	0	+265	Up	-$79	05-28 19:21
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 14:50 UTC	9	$85	46	46	-0	Up	+$6	07-24 14:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-15 15:30 UTC	2	$83	43	43	+0	Up	+$2	03-15 15:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	5	$69	60	58	+2	Down	-$7	08-23 11:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 15:10 UTC	7	$69	39	39	+0	Up	+$9	07-24 15:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 18:05 UTC	15	$67	151	26	+125	Down	+$77	07-24 18:07
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:05 UTC	10	$62	36	35	+0	Down	+$3	04-09 13:10
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 03:00 UTC	11	$58	106	0	+106	Up	-$58	04-09 03:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 17:20 UTC	2	$50	72	0	+72	Down	+$22	08-22 17:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 16:55 UTC	3	$50	164	0	+164	Down	-$50	08-22 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 21:15 UTC	11	$49	66	0	+66	Up	-$49	07-24 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 00:40 UTC	13	$48	94	10	+84	Down	+$46	07-25 00:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-22 17:15 UTC	2	$48	239	0	+239	Up	-$48	08-22 17:16
will ethereum reach 2600 on august 22 2026	5	$44	518	518	+0	No	-$24	08-22 18:09
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:15 UTC	10	$44	48	10	+38	Up	+$7	07-24 23:17
Solana Up or Down - July 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	10	$44	61	0	+61	Down	-$44	07-25 08:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-17 04:30 UTC	9	$42	42	41	+1	Down	-$1	03-16 06:58
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 18:15 UTC	13	$42	47	47	+0	Down	+$23	07-28 18:29
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 13:55 UTC	2	$40	22	21	+0	Up	+$3	04-09 13:59
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-09 16:25 UTC	2	$40	22	22	+0	Down	+$4	04-09 16:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 07:10 UTC	6	$40	24	24	+0	Up	+$3	06-18 07:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 01:10 UTC	8	$39	53	0	+53	Down	+$14	07-25 01:12
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 00:20 UTC	8	$39	48	0	+48	Up	+$9	07-25 00:22

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-07 10:17:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x88af96…
10-07 10:01:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x4ea498…
10-07 09:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xab6c8c…
10-07 09:32:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x61ff3c…
10-07 09:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x0290ed…
10-07 08:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x02a664…
10-07 08:37:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xea86dc…
10-07 08:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x7b00e4…
10-06 16:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xe89ba6…
10-06 16:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe2d33a…
10-06 13:02:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x5f4508…
10-06 12:48:37	BNB Up or Down - October 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x60cdaa…
10-06 12:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xbfdb0d…
10-06 12:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x60f674…
10-06 12:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x5537f6…
10-06 12:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x3bdc67…
10-06 12:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x56ebd2…
10-05 14:16:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 14:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x917e71…
10-05 13:46:59	BNB Up or Down - October 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0x555845…
10-05 13:45:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x520624…
10-05 13:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xcdb795…
10-05 13:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x38b0bc…
10-05 13:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x18304d…
10-05 12:53:13	BNB Up or Down - October 5, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xe6d2ad…
10-05 12:53:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x712dcb…
10-05 12:10:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 12:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x76f50f…
10-05 11:30:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xe87295…
10-05 11:11:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:10 UTC	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x007d6a…
10-05 11:06:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 11:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd65dc7…
10-05 10:41:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x9c9b5f…
10-05 10:34:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xd8680e…
10-05 07:21:40	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x0d882f…
10-05 06:55:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x34ffc5…
10-05 06:50:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 06:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0349cc…
10-05 06:46:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa40140…
10-05 06:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5a7fa1…
10-05 06:20:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd5e9f3…
10-05 05:20:31	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x453f39…
10-05 05:20:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc50aeb…
10-05 05:05:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 05:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x0ac579…
10-05 04:55:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xeaf9e9…
10-05 04:45:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:45 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xec4a02…
10-05 04:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x30cd5d…
10-05 04:35:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:35 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x851372…
10-05 04:30:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x4b59e5…
10-05 04:20:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x3086ea…
10-05 04:10:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xad1e4e…
10-05 04:06:37	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x59987d…
10-05 04:00:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 04:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xbd3f3b…
10-05 02:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa4da31…
10-05 02:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x4b31dc…
10-05 02:16:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x1fd67b…
10-05 01:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8a6760…
10-05 01:15:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-05 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x24c1e2…
10-05 00:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x7e3cba…
10-05 00:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x7a6c07…
10-05 00:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x51f10e…
10-05 00:18:49	BNB Up or Down - October 4, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xad6c7e…
10-05 00:10:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x32d8fd…
10-05 00:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x01dfb4…
10-04 23:59:01	BNB Up or Down - October 4, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x10ecfc…
10-04 23:46:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbae2b1…
10-04 23:15:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x760f96…
10-04 23:11:26	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xf94040…
10-04 23:10:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xf5ea37…
10-04 23:07:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x7b4e4f…
10-04 23:02:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbae923…
10-04 22:59:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0x3b75f3…
10-04 22:51:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x65f5bd…
10-04 22:40:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:40 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x65338d…
10-04 22:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x106514…
10-04 22:25:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xe1da07…
10-04 22:20:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xefff27…
10-04 22:10:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 22:10 UTC	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x40334a…
10-04 21:56:14	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:55 UTC	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x7a1991…
10-04 21:40:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 21:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x6ac789…
10-04 21:15:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x0ea17c…
10-04 21:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xa4c729…
10-04 20:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x455ec8…
10-04 20:46:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd3ec4c…
10-04 19:51:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa191d7…
10-04 19:22:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x6786b3…
10-04 19:07:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 19:05 UTC	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x51a600…
10-04 18:20:28	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 18:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xec7b68…
10-04 17:58:47	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 17:55 UTC	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xe2ba6e…
10-04 17:23:20	BNB Up or Down - October 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x2a9554…
10-04 16:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xd59381…
10-04 16:05:31	BNB Up or Down - October 4, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0xf11a47…
10-04 15:07:04	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x1cda88…
10-04 14:40:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa2b9be…
10-04 14:33:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:30 UTC	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xf78566…
10-04 14:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x03ba59…
10-04 13:46:14	BNB Up or Down - October 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf40dd1…
10-04 13:36:49	BNB Up or Down - October 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x09dc6c…
10-04 13:33:17	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 13:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc5b094…
10-04 13:16:05	BNB Up or Down - October 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x73fff0…
10-04 13:12:16	BNB Up or Down - October 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x4a9a1b…
10-04 12:45:29	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xae4f21…
10-04 12:26:50	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1cb6b2…
10-04 12:11:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf3c055…