Fine-Variation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

722

Trades

2,700

lifetime

Volume

$20.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-05 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 98% $-53

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$114	120	+120	open	—	05-27 08:04
doge updown 5m 1779868500	4	$112	120	+120	open	—	05-27 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	8	$79	81	+81	Down	$-79	05-06 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$79	81	+81	Up	+$2	05-06 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$64	66	+66	open	—	05-02 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	1	$62	63	+63	Down	+$1	05-05 16:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$53	54	+54	open	—	05-01 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$50	51	+51	Up	+$1	05-05 09:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-02 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-02 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	05-02 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	1	$41	42	+42	Up	+$1	05-06 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$33	36	+36	open	—	05-27 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	1	$32	33	+33	open	—	05-01 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$32	33	+33	open	—	05-01 12:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$32	33	+33	open	—	05-02 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$32	33	+33	open	—	05-01 12:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$32	33	+33	open	—	05-01 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	1	$32	33	+33	open	—	05-01 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	1	$32	33	+33	open	—	05-01 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$32	33	+33	open	—	05-01 12:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$26	27	+27	open	—	05-01 10:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$24	24	+24	Down	+$0	05-11 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	3	$24	24	+24	Up	+$0	05-11 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$24	24	+24	Up	+$0	05-11 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$24	24	+24	Up	+$0	05-10 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$24	24	+24	Up	+$0	05-10 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$24	24	+24	Up	+$0	05-11 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	1	$24	24	+24	Down	+$0	05-11 00:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$24	24	+24	Up	+$0	05-11 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 15:56:43	lol hrts ucam1 2026 06 05 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x91c8af…
06-05 15:21:36	lol bar koia 2026 06 05	Barça eSports	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x21ebf2…
06-03 17:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x28abe0…
06-03 16:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x54d4d5…
06-03 16:43:48	Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie Swan	Ajla Tomljanovic	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xa39b55…
06-03 16:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5c95bb…
06-03 16:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x768c01…
06-03 16:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x9574ab…
06-03 16:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x1da761…
06-03 16:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x10b81f…
06-03 16:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x6dc3c4…
06-03 16:01:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x05be7d…
06-03 15:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9ae7cf…
06-03 15:06:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7ba88d…
06-03 14:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcd6e1d…
06-03 14:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x8503d9…
06-03 14:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x559532…
06-03 14:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xfad7c5…
06-03 13:49:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0xc1c7c0…
06-03 12:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xd33692…
06-03 11:59:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0d399d…
06-03 11:29:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0xd1ff77…
06-03 11:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa83ee8…
06-03 11:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x4dd716…
06-03 11:03:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x2a21fd…
06-03 10:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x513b49…
06-03 09:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x2bacce…
06-03 09:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x220a24…
06-03 09:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xf51e83…
06-03 09:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x899427…
06-03 09:03:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x507690…
06-03 09:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcfdcd4…
06-03 08:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x5cc2e5…
06-03 08:18:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa94b04…
06-03 07:54:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x656a8f…
06-03 07:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfcbae8…
06-03 07:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	0	93¢	$0	0x5192cc…
06-03 07:29:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$4	0x3cb3be…
06-03 07:29:37	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xc59598…
06-03 07:23:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x45592d…
06-03 07:13:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1ed2b3…
06-03 07:09:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xe69286…
06-03 07:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x35cc79…
06-03 07:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5c242f…
06-03 07:04:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xd24491…
06-03 06:58:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xa7d059…
06-03 06:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xb981c6…
06-03 06:53:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x9feeea…
06-03 06:48:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x284fe2…
06-03 06:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xecea64…
06-03 06:43:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	0	94¢	$0	0x6c066c…
06-03 06:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x0cda14…
06-03 06:38:45	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x47207b…
06-03 06:33:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x633fc7…
06-03 06:24:26	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x6e06e9…
06-03 06:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x63b1a8…
06-03 06:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x331081…
06-03 06:19:27	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x3962a9…
06-03 05:10:33	Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie Swan	Ajla Tomljanovic	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6207ea…
06-03 05:09:32	Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie Swan	Ajla Tomljanovic	BUY	1	23¢	$0	0x180004…
06-03 04:59:56	Birmingham: Ugo Blanchet vs Felix Gill	Ugo Blanchet	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0x7511ea…
06-03 04:53:00	Birmingham: Ugo Blanchet vs Felix Gill	Ugo Blanchet	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x5159b7…
06-03 04:31:04	ITF Wuning: Yexin Ma vs Ya Yi Yang	Ya Yi Yang	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x72837f…
06-03 04:29:48	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xb4b894…
06-02 17:35:52	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	1	41¢	$1	0x5c596f…
06-02 17:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x119546…
06-02 17:32:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xcc870a…
06-02 17:29:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x466184…
06-02 17:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9343c8…
06-02 16:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0ad0d7…
06-02 16:29:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd7ab1d…
06-02 16:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xcf450b…
06-02 16:07:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xcbf29d…
06-02 16:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xa17136…
06-02 16:02:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xf16df4…
06-02 15:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x0b4d36…
06-02 15:53:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xb356f4…
06-02 15:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x12f333…
06-02 15:47:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xef2774…
06-02 15:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xac0b7d…
06-02 15:42:35	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe5df52…
06-02 15:37:44	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0xbc7a97…
06-02 15:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x16dc95…
06-02 15:32:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xca3d9f…
06-02 15:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x967038…
06-02 15:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x7a605b…
06-02 15:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x7d2135…
06-02 15:23:07	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xbfeb39…
06-02 14:53:31	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb9c1cd…
06-02 14:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x7a676d…
06-02 14:29:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xb9a4ae…
06-02 14:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0x9b601b…
06-02 14:29:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x154fb1…
06-02 14:17:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2edeb6…
06-02 14:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xbd50e6…
06-02 14:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x9e6f0f…
06-02 14:07:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xb946c0…
06-02 14:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x70dac4…
06-02 14:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x097849…
06-02 13:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x75c46d…