Unrealistic-Wiretap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.30K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.6%

Resolved

6,518

Trades

76,464

lifetime

Volume

$178.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-26

last 10-26 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% -$7,287

Other

0% 53% -$14

Tech

0% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 1378 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	879	$2.2K	36,729	0	+36,729	Up	-$1,386	04-27 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	74	$517	508	330	+178	Up	+$2	05-24 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	68	$338	734	0	+734	Down	+$6	05-07 16:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	55	$314	620	0	+620	Down	-$1	05-07 16:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:15 UTC	87	$311	604	0	+604	Down	-$7	06-09 16:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 18:15 UTC	76	$308	590	0	+590	Down	-$18	08-05 18:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 18:45 UTC	82	$290	580	0	+580	Down	+$10	08-05 18:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-04 16:05 UTC	61	$288	468	0	+468	Down	-$11	07-04 16:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:10 UTC	66	$281	516	0	+516	Down	-$4	06-09 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	45	$271	532	0	+532	Down	+$5	05-07 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	58	$257	407	0	+407	Up	-$20	06-11 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	88	$247	507	0	+507	Up	-$19	05-25 15:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:35 UTC	63	$237	471	0	+471	Up	-$2	06-04 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	39	$228	427	0	+427	Down	+$51	05-07 16:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 03:40 UTC	95	$217	415	0	+415	Up	+$18	08-20 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 17:55 UTC	19	$216	259	20	+239	Up	-$51	06-11 17:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 04:35 UTC	106	$213	425	0	+425	Down	+$12	08-10 04:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-10 17:10 UTC	15	$213	129	120	+9	Up	+$22	08-10 17:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	75	$212	426	0	+426	Up	+$26	05-25 15:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 19:25 UTC	15	$212	125	120	+5	Up	+$24	08-07 19:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-11 05:15 UTC	58	$210	408	0	+408	Up	-$15	06-11 05:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 15:35 UTC	118	$210	410	0	+410	Down	-$5	08-31 15:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 04:00 UTC	85	$209	405	0	+405	Up	+$11	08-20 04:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 18:50 UTC	55	$209	399	0	+399	Down	-$9	06-04 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	61	$207	394	0	+394	Up	-$29	05-25 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	76	$204	477	0	+477	Down	+$31	05-25 15:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 17:30 UTC	94	$198	400	0	+400	Down	+$2	08-09 17:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 18:00 UTC	100	$198	400	0	+400	Up	+$2	08-09 18:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 19:30 UTC	101	$198	400	0	+400	Down	+$2	08-09 19:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-09 17:10 UTC	97	$198	400	0	+400	Up	+$2	08-09 17:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 19:00:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	67¢	$5	0x6f7ab8…
10-22 18:40:29	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or below on October 21?	No	BUY	49	3¢	$1	0x8caf56…
10-20 15:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C or below on October 20?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x03d70d…
10-20 05:11:47	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0xe68b71…
10-18 15:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C or higher on October 18?	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x4d4273…
10-17 18:17:11	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xdafb57…
10-17 17:18:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x1c04c9…
10-16 07:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on October 16?	No	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x890f7b…
10-16 00:04:21	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	47	84¢	$39	0xab34ee…
10-14 07:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x0f6ab8…
10-13 16:07:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 13?	No	BUY	371	2¢	$7	0x04c8c7…
10-13 07:26:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xbdcd51…
10-12 15:00:26	Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x534ce3…
10-10 07:12:01	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0xa37188…
10-10 07:03:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0xc39bc2…
10-10 03:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 10?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x196ea6…
10-09 18:05:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xc304fd…
10-09 07:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0xab47ff…
10-08 20:38:33	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 8?	No	BUY	81	2¢	$2	0x19a7db…
10-07 18:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	44	90¢	$40	0x4de833…
10-06 17:01:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1eff86…
10-05 19:53:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 5?	No	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x45ab59…
10-05 18:14:23	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on October 5?	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xff6216…
09-28 06:59:32	Will the lowest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on September 27?	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x9441e1…
09-24 18:11:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x4fbfd9…
09-24 06:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xe0ed46…
09-24 05:50:02	Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on September 23?	No	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0x65643c…
09-23 23:49:17	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 23?	Yes	SELL	7	57¢	$4	0xbcf18e…
09-23 23:40:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 23?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x0be59b…
09-23 23:37:14	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 23?	No	SELL	25	0¢	$0	0xff012c…
09-23 23:18:11	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C on September 23?	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0xa3c39e…
09-23 17:03:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x768d4b…
09-23 11:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x08bec7…
09-22 21:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	15	86¢	$13	0x200aa5…
09-22 21:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x895b3f…
09-22 21:14:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0xadbb79…
09-22 21:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	18	89¢	$16	0x43eda3…
09-22 21:03:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 22?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x8e774d…
09-21 17:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xd103ac…
09-21 17:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x43a522…
09-21 17:29:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x3a1220…
09-21 17:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	61	32¢	$19	0xb2c44f…
09-21 02:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xae46d4…
09-21 02:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3bd61f…
09-21 02:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x31d720…
09-21 02:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xcb453b…
09-21 02:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x60149c…
09-21 02:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xc394ab…
09-21 02:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x758015…
09-21 02:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x820723…
09-21 02:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd391b6…
09-21 02:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xe8b2fd…
09-21 02:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x75aeee…
09-21 02:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xa7ca49…
09-21 02:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x514ffe…
09-21 02:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x740c6b…
09-21 02:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xacfacf…
09-21 02:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7dff3f…
09-21 02:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbca74f…
09-21 02:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf8b46e…
09-21 02:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x900c70…
09-21 02:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xcb8a1d…
09-21 02:50:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x21ec91…
09-21 02:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2dc550…
09-21 02:50:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xf30303…
09-21 02:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdb08a8…
09-21 02:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x63d3b5…
09-21 02:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x697cd4…
09-21 02:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x41385e…
09-21 02:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x105209…
09-21 02:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x008cb6…
09-21 02:47:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xdb3dea…
09-21 02:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0xe3c670…
09-21 02:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xcc3c4c…
09-21 02:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x030bb4…
09-21 02:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	65¢	$4	0xa95361…
09-21 02:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xdf4ff2…
09-21 02:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x2bfbf6…
09-21 02:46:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x3ef5c5…
09-21 02:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x21bc75…
09-21 02:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x943add…
09-21 02:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x8ed2c0…
09-21 02:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6b3b03…
09-21 02:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x6a05f5…
09-21 02:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xd24b63…
09-21 02:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb52a25…
09-21 02:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xc9e02e…
09-21 02:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x7fc7de…
09-20 17:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x0cdd72…
09-20 17:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x879cd2…
09-20 17:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x986e91…
09-20 17:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xdf3139…
09-20 17:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0xe3f57a…
09-20 17:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xdda26f…
09-20 17:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x6e6f35…
09-20 17:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbbddfc…
09-20 17:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x974fe5…
09-20 17:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x0eede9…
09-20 17:05:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x32c055…
09-20 17:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x5cf85c…