Harmless-Xylophone — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$193.8K

Unrealized P&L

+$22

Hit rate

56.6%

Resolved

1,007

Trades

11,029

lifetime

Volume

$3.87M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$351

Open exposure

$302

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-20

last 10-28 00:45

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 138 days

Categories

Other

86% 41% -$207,142

Sports

14% 52% +$13,007

Politics

0% 11% -$144

Crypto

0% 46% +$522

Tech

0% 0% -$15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 421 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes		+400	$240	68¢	$272	+$32	10-20 14:48
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes		+20,000	$40	0¢	$30	-$10	10-22 09:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 spread home 1pt5	25	$100.9K	139,600	60,000	+79,600	Paraguay	+$38,696	06-29 12:45
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	3	$82.7K	79,362	39,840	+39,521	No	+$36,467	07-01 23:07
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?	56	$59.5K	60,000	0	+60,000	Yes	+$500	07-03 01:06
fifwc usa bel 2026 07 06 team to advance	9	$58.9K	111,195	0	+111,195	Belgium	-$58,933	07-06 22:42
fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 spread home 2pt5	65	$54.2K	59,996	20,000	+39,996	Cabo Verde	+$25,778	07-04 00:38
fifwc prt hrv 2026 07 02 total 1pt5	84	$50.3K	51,343	51,343	+0	Over	+$58	07-03 00:07
Spurs vs. Jazz	38	$50.0K	50,000	0	+50,000	Jazz	+$50	10-13 03:23
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	3	$48.8K	89,500	0	+89,500	Yes	+$40,715	07-04 16:38
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	183	$45.5K	40,000	39,999	+1	No	+$100	07-11 23:52
fifwc che alg 2026 07 02 btts	9	$43.8K	84,000	0	+84,000	No	-$43,820	07-03 02:57
fifwc mex ecu 2026 06 30 corners total 7pt5	116	$43.4K	88,000	0	+88,000	Over	-$43,420	07-01 01:09
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?	252	$43.2K	79,999	0	+79,999	Yes	-$43,200	06-30 14:21
fifwc ury esp 2026 06 26 total 2pt5	169	$42.0K	80,000	0	+80,000	Under	+$38,000	06-26 23:17
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	162	$39.6K	78,015	0	+78,015	Yes	-$39,648	07-06 19:02
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 total 2pt5	2	$39.5K	74,000	0	+74,000	Over	-$39,540	07-01 15:44
fifwc jor arg 2026 06 27 spread away 2pt5	42	$39.4K	70,407	0	+70,407	Jordan	+$30,647	06-28 03:28
fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 spread home 1pt5	17	$39.2K	80,000	0	+80,000	United States	+$40,800	07-01 22:50
fifwc jor alg 2026 06 22 total 2pt5	81	$38.8K	40,000	40,000	+0	Over	+$1,558	06-23 03:58
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 total 2pt5	2	$37.3K	60,200	0	+60,200	Over	-$37,314	07-06 01:37
Cavaliers vs. Knicks	20	$37.2K	38,000	0	+38,000	Knicks	+$760	05-22 02:27
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	1	$36.0K	80,000	0	+80,000	Under	+$44,000	07-06 18:34
fifwc col gha 2026 07 03 total 2pt5	59	$33.2K	71,526	0	+71,526	Under	-$33,186	07-04 00:53
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	409	$32.6K	72,899	0	+72,899	Yes	-$12,559	06-28 15:55
fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 btts	6	$32.3K	51,356	0	+51,356	No	+$19,085	06-25 06:54
Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5	92	$31.3K	30,004	30,000	+4	Over	+$6,711	10-11 16:24
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 total 2pt5	3	$31.3K	61,200	4,000	+57,200	Under	-$27,456	07-09 04:03
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	15	$31.3K	37,977	0	+37,977	Knicks	-$5,156	05-26 01:59
Thunder vs. Spurs	68	$31.3K	31,000	1,000	+30,000	Thunder	+$610	05-23 03:09
fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 total 3pt5	8	$31.0K	52,539	0	+52,539	Under	+$21,574	06-25 04:31
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 btts	27	$30.3K	60,560	0	+60,560	No	-$30,276	07-09 20:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 00:45:33	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Trail Blazers	BUY	3,900	53¢	$2,067	0xad01c2…
10-24 02:04:33	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Grizzlies	BUY	200	40¢	$80	0xda575c…
10-24 01:57:47	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	17,900	60¢	$10,740	0xa6fcc2…
10-24 01:45:24	Spread: Jazz (-2.5)	Pelicans	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xf215f7…
10-24 01:45:24	Spread: Jazz (-2.5)	Pelicans	BUY	150	55¢	$82	0x37c0b6…
10-24 01:40:32	Spread: Jazz (-2.5)	Pelicans	BUY	37	55¢	$20	0x8fbb74…
10-24 01:40:11	Spread: Jazz (-2.5)	Pelicans	BUY	8	55¢	$4	0x07e380…
10-24 01:35:32	Spread: Jazz (-2.5)	Pelicans	BUY	180	55¢	$99	0xff825d…
10-24 01:35:32	Spread: Jazz (-2.5)	Pelicans	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xa7069a…
10-24 01:28:59	Pelicans vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	160	50¢	$80	0xdaa125…
10-24 01:28:39	Spread: Jazz (-2.5)	Pelicans	BUY	133	55¢	$73	0xa6112e…
10-24 01:28:36	Spread: Jazz (-2.5)	Pelicans	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8df98e…
10-24 01:27:26	Pelicans vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	2,200	50¢	$1,100	0x33faa8…
10-24 01:26:45	Pelicans vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	7,100	50¢	$3,550	0xfec8ba…
10-24 00:50:21	Rockets vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5	Under	BUY	536	52¢	$279	0x62d9b8…
10-24 00:49:23	Spread: Jazz (-2.5)	Pelicans	BUY	2,500	55¢	$1,375	0xd09020…
10-24 00:39:29	Spread: Jazz (-2.5)	Pelicans	BUY	1,061	55¢	$583	0xe22401…
10-23 22:59:56	Hawks vs. Hornets	Hawks	BUY	16,060	56¢	$8,994	0x3a389d…
10-23 12:12:36	Spread: Bulls (-1.5)	Bucks	BUY	114	54¢	$61	0x9da0e1…
10-23 12:09:14	Spread: Bulls (-1.5)	Bucks	BUY	116	54¢	$63	0xd6fb95…
10-23 12:09:14	Spread: Bulls (-1.5)	Bucks	BUY	234	54¢	$126	0x031cf4…
10-23 12:03:38	Spread: Bulls (-1.5)	Bucks	BUY	136	54¢	$73	0x43cbc8…
10-23 11:25:03	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	311	52¢	$162	0x122519…
10-23 11:22:08	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	134	52¢	$70	0xa7ed16…
10-23 11:22:06	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	2,670	52¢	$1,388	0xeb5fd7…
10-23 11:22:06	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	277	52¢	$144	0x872b19…
10-23 11:16:20	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	72	52¢	$38	0xe1b774…
10-23 11:16:20	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	686	52¢	$357	0xb9d349…
10-23 11:09:35	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xad0744…
10-23 11:09:33	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6056e5…
10-23 11:09:30	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xf7c264…
10-23 11:09:30	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc44ae3…
10-23 11:05:51	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	90	52¢	$47	0xd24362…
10-23 11:02:48	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	207	52¢	$108	0xe1352a…
10-23 11:02:48	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	104	52¢	$54	0x7250fd…
10-23 11:02:47	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	104	52¢	$54	0x84dc4e…
10-23 11:02:47	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x73a3fc…
10-23 11:02:47	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x3dd334…
10-23 10:59:29	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x6df733…
10-23 10:57:41	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	3,846	52¢	$2,000	0x978363…
10-23 10:57:21	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0xd0c0ae…
10-23 10:57:20	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	200	52¢	$104	0x044643…
10-23 10:56:36	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x74d455…
10-23 10:56:36	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x68f688…
10-23 10:56:33	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2ad344…
10-23 10:56:33	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x011db1…
10-23 10:55:59	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe7c573…
10-23 10:55:59	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xb57692…
10-23 10:55:57	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0xdbd5bb…
10-23 10:55:57	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	127	52¢	$66	0x250a0b…
10-23 10:55:56	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x371f38…
10-23 10:55:56	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0x2f1275…
10-23 10:54:08	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xf98a0f…
10-23 10:54:08	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xdb3016…
10-23 10:54:08	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x43abde…
10-23 10:54:08	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	35	52¢	$18	0x0041bc…
10-23 10:54:06	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	5	52¢	$2	0x0d9768…
10-23 10:54:05	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	70	52¢	$37	0xe37ab7…
10-23 10:53:35	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xe0f8ed…
10-23 10:53:35	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x398fb4…
10-23 10:53:33	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x9b1748…
10-23 10:53:33	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x4649fc…
10-23 10:52:39	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x41b7ee…
10-23 10:52:38	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	183	52¢	$95	0x4ace3c…
10-23 10:52:38	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	104	52¢	$54	0x16e050…
10-23 10:52:30	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5cd722…
10-23 10:52:30	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x0f6848…
10-23 10:52:29	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xced845…
10-23 10:52:29	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x23b91e…
10-23 10:50:23	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xf701bb…
10-23 10:50:20	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xf22115…
10-23 10:50:20	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xb0f0d8…
10-23 10:50:18	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xede057…
10-23 10:50:17	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0xac0b80…
10-23 10:50:03	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0xa87a32…
10-23 10:49:54	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x968a0c…
10-23 10:49:53	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xa6edf3…
10-23 10:49:53	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	352	52¢	$183	0xa5bac4…
10-23 10:49:51	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	3,637	52¢	$1,891	0xb1188d…
10-23 10:49:51	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	209	52¢	$109	0x77e135…
10-23 10:49:51	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x123fbd…
10-23 10:49:50	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	704	52¢	$366	0xfc3f9e…
10-23 10:49:50	Spread: Celtics (-2.5)	Celtics	BUY	46	52¢	$24	0x73449c…
10-23 10:33:53	Spread: Bulls (-1.5)	Bucks	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc56639…
10-23 10:06:56	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5	Over	SELL	3,073	52¢	$1,598	0xc1d5ca…
10-23 10:05:41	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5	Over	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0xdbf86e…
10-23 10:05:41	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5	Over	BUY	16	52¢	$8	0x569b17…
10-23 10:05:41	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5	Over	BUY	32	52¢	$16	0x030284…
10-23 10:05:39	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5	Over	BUY	102	52¢	$53	0x99c579…
10-23 10:05:38	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5	Over	BUY	3,805	52¢	$1,979	0xfa8848…
10-23 10:05:38	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5	Over	BUY	14	52¢	$7	0xc37d3e…
10-23 10:05:38	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5	Over	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x16c262…
10-23 10:05:36	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5	Over	BUY	204	52¢	$106	0x2ad6f6…
10-23 10:05:05	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5	Over	BUY	1,193	52¢	$621	0x0ca1fe…
10-23 10:05:03	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5	Over	BUY	54	52¢	$28	0x86892f…
10-23 10:05:03	Bulls vs. Bucks: O/U 238.5	Over	BUY	1,753	52¢	$912	0x5028bb…
10-23 06:38:27	Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	5,503	51¢	$2,807	0xcd1faf…
10-23 06:36:39	Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	441	51¢	$225	0x439656…
10-23 06:36:39	Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	1,215	51¢	$620	0x375e2a…
10-23 06:36:35	Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0xbd8daa…