Costly-Weekender — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

Trades

2,262

lifetime

Volume

$6.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 05-20 22:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Crypto

66% — —

Other

18% 73% +$3

Sports

9% 62% +$0

Politics

6% 0% $-0

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 214 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	14	$209	180	180	+0	open	—	04-04 05:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	20	$182	150	149	+1	open	—	04-06 01:12
bitcoin up or down april 10 2026 8pm et	10	$107	107	103	+4	open	—	04-11 00:23
bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 5pm et	10	$90	152	145	+7	open	—	04-05 21:57
btc updown 4h 1775952000	10	$83	62	60	+1	open	—	04-12 01:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	8	$77	71	71	+0	open	—	04-08 03:07
lol jdg al 2026 04 10	4	$69	37	37	+0	open	—	04-10 13:49
bitcoin up or down april 3 2026 6pm et	9	$67	93	37	+55	open	—	04-03 22:59
sud aas tig 2026 04 07 tig	2	$51	58	57	+1	open	—	04-08 01:52
nba nyk uta 2026 03 11 total 229pt5	9	$45	42	42	+0	open	—	03-11 21:10
dota2 l1ga gl 2026 04 10	2	$42	25	25	+0	open	—	04-10 14:05
btc updown 15m 1775834100	2	$40	43	42	+2	open	—	04-10 15:15
btc updown 4h 1776024000	12	$40	53	51	+2	open	—	04-12 23:31
btc updown 4h 1776009600	4	$39	22	22	+0	open	—	04-12 19:33
btc updown 15m 1775865600	4	$37	41	40	+2	open	—	04-11 00:01
bitcoin up or down april 3 2026 7pm et	7	$37	43	42	+1	open	—	04-03 23:39
btc updown 5m 1775877600	2	$37	37	36	+1	open	—	04-10 15:23
mlb mia nyy 2026 04 03	4	$36	20	20	+0	open	—	04-03 19:40
cs2 3dmax ast10 2026 04 10	8	$35	23	23	+0	open	—	04-10 14:44
btc updown 4h 1775692800	9	$33	49	47	+2	open	—	04-09 01:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$33	24	24	+0	open	—	04-16 21:09
dota2 pari tundra 2026 03 11	8	$32	34	26	+8	open	—	03-11 17:20
ufc pat3 aar8 2026 04 11	2	$31	23	22	+0	open	—	04-10 14:57
btc updown 15m 1775403000	7	$31	25	24	+1	open	—	04-05 15:44
dota2 heroic navi 2026 03 10	4	$30	20	15	+5	open	—	03-10 18:50
btc updown 4h 1776340800	10	$30	19	19	+0	open	—	04-16 15:58
bitcoin up or down march 11 10am et	12	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	03-11 14:28
btc updown 5m 1775832900	4	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-10 14:58
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 3pm et	4	$28	23	23	+1	open	—	04-06 19:29
bitcoin up or down march 22 2026 10pm et	5	$28	136	20	+116	open	—	03-23 02:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 22:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xaa5494…
05-20 21:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xa3450e…
05-20 20:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$1	0x4652da…
05-20 17:59:42	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7fe5cf…
05-20 17:39:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x100e0f…
05-20 16:59:40	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7faf29…
05-20 16:54:36	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x384d20…
05-20 16:49:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x451590…
05-20 16:04:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9ae6f9…
05-20 15:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5f29b7…
05-20 15:44:32	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x570abb…
05-20 12:28:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc773aa…
05-20 12:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xfbab71…
05-20 11:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0x3f5b45…
05-20 11:58:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfafb69…
05-20 11:24:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc3f879…
05-20 11:14:57	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x3253ad…
05-20 11:14:53	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x692a54…
05-20 10:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xaeb9de…
05-20 09:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xbc1fee…
05-20 09:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xb62bb6…
05-20 09:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x4b8700…
05-20 09:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x4a6dae…
05-20 09:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x30258e…
05-20 09:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x42a115…
05-20 08:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe246c2…
05-20 08:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xb99626…
05-20 08:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xce0a57…
05-20 08:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xf7c0d9…
05-20 08:13:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x729960…
05-20 08:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x36b916…
05-20 07:44:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x400c3e…
05-20 07:42:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xad043a…
05-20 07:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x0b294c…
05-20 07:11:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x1aa02a…
05-20 06:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x0d941b…
05-20 06:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xfe92ca…
05-20 05:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x24af54…
05-20 05:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x95d6e3…
05-20 05:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x478f25…
05-20 05:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x6bba58…
05-20 05:27:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xad1f9c…
05-20 05:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0x971eee…
05-20 04:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x72c6f9…
05-20 04:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x5786ee…
05-20 04:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x2b2d77…
05-20 04:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$1	0x763027…
05-20 04:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	73¢	$1	0x7f1d31…
05-20 04:25:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0xe8885a…
05-20 03:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xc5861f…
05-20 03:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x618107…
05-20 03:41:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb1731a…
05-20 03:28:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x856238…
05-20 03:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x12e4bf…
05-20 03:13:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc15b37…
05-20 03:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xb57a96…
05-20 02:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x6653fa…
05-20 02:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xefce17…
05-20 02:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9d2a37…
05-20 02:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x107321…
05-20 02:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0x75f2dc…
05-20 02:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xd0833f…
05-20 02:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xfc035e…
05-20 02:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x0b5da1…
05-20 01:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	61¢	$5	0x4b1ef8…
05-20 01:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x82eb3f…
05-20 01:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x9419a7…
05-20 01:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	96¢	$7	0x648e7f…
05-20 01:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x643172…
05-20 01:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x79cd5e…
05-20 00:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xf6fbb6…
05-20 00:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x845de9…
05-20 00:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x65d275…
05-20 00:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0xed2605…
05-20 00:27:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xe9cb85…
05-20 00:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	90¢	$6	0xe6f166…
05-20 00:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x677f60…
05-20 00:10:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xbb0cf5…
05-19 23:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x3fd05d…
05-19 23:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xe935b7…
05-19 23:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	7	17¢	$1	0x58cdd9…
05-19 23:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x2942a3…
05-19 22:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x91bacc…
05-19 22:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x90e059…
05-19 22:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x81a580…
05-19 22:40:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x463355…
05-19 22:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb2927f…
05-19 22:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	97¢	$5	0x25139e…
05-19 21:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xecaf4b…
05-19 21:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x3f0009…
05-19 21:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb4ea23…
05-19 21:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$5	0x121f35…
05-19 21:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x060d47…
05-19 20:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$5	0x6dcf51…
05-19 20:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb51294…
05-19 20:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x9d2b3a…
05-19 20:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5c664e…
05-19 20:22:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x23aacf…
05-19 20:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x07321a…
05-19 19:59:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0xff8bf7…