Incomplete-Pagoda — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$174

Unrealized P&L

-$86

Hit rate

95.4%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$38.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$275

Open exposure

$713

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 08-18 07:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 88% +$1

Other

48% 100% +$187

Tech

1% 100% +$28

Politics

1% 100% +$4

Sports

0% 0% -$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No		-736	-$627	97¢	$-713	-$86	08-18 07:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	3	$2.2K	816	1,553	-736	open	—	08-18 07:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	13	$1.9K	971	971	+0	No	+$36	06-30 14:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	4	$1.8K	897	897	+0	No	+$5	07-23 06:48
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	10	$1.6K	780	780	+0	No	+$5	07-29 18:00
bitcoin above 60k on april 2	8	$1.5K	742	742	+0	Yes	+$2	04-01 09:10
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	7	$1.4K	725	725	+0	No	+$2	03-20 13:49
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	2	$1.4K	725	725	+0	No	+$1	03-19 09:50
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on march 16	3	$1.4K	722	722	+0	No	+$1	03-15 06:20
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 13 323 755 644	2	$1.4K	720	720	+0	No	+$6	03-13 14:50
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$1.4K	718	718	+0	No	-$1	03-12 09:26
solana above 50 on march 6	2	$1.4K	715	715	+0	Yes	+$1	03-05 03:59
bitcoin above 62k on march 4	2	$1.4K	714	714	+0	Yes	+$1	03-04 11:19
ethereum above 2200 on march 3	2	$1.4K	713	713	+0	No	+$1	03-03 15:47
will solana reach 110 february 23 march 1	3	$1.4K	712	712	+0	No	+$1	03-01 09:28
will silver si hit low 55 by end of february 998 393 222 319 616 673 571 163	2	$1.4K	710	710	+0	No	+$1	02-27 15:03
will silver si hit low 40 by end of february 776 791 516 257 572 135 547 179	2	$1.4K	709	709	+0	No	+$13	02-24 12:33
bitcoin above 92k on february 6	2	$1.4K	693	693	+0	No	+$1	02-04 22:50
will the price of ethereum be between 2600 2700 on february 2	3	$1.4K	692	692	+0	No	+$1	02-02 16:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$1.3K	693	693	+0	Yes	+$21	05-27 03:02
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$1.2K	597	597	+0	No	+$13	03-29 11:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	2	$801	405	405	+0	No	+$7	05-29 20:52
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	2	$798	403	403	+0	No	+$8	02-01 04:18
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?	1	$727	774	0	+774	No	+$46	07-08 00:13
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?	1	$722	729	0	+729	No	+$7	07-05 09:52
bitcoin above 82k on february 10	1	$695	696	0	+696	No	+$1	02-09 14:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	22	$684	346	346	+0	No	+$6	06-24 15:05
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	2	$594	298	298	+0	No	+$1	06-26 08:07
will silver si hit high 140 by end of january 438 122 492	2	$565	288	288	+0	No	+$10	01-30 07:57
will xrp reach 2pt2 february 2 8	2	$505	507	0	+507	No	+$1	02-05 14:13
will bitcoin reach 125k in january 2026	1	$394	397	0	+397	No	+$3	01-03 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 07:12:52	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	816	98¢	$798	0xca3a9c…
08-01 03:12:32	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	816	95¢	$776	0xf8da53…
07-29 18:00:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	350	100¢	$350	0xb1392c…
07-29 18:00:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xc26054…
07-29 18:00:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xcf9f9c…
07-29 18:00:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xaa70e4…
07-29 18:00:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x456e37…
07-29 17:57:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xacced7…
07-29 17:57:15	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x3a41fd…
07-29 17:57:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x7d9df5…
07-29 17:55:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	181	100¢	$181	0x0f109d…
07-23 06:49:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	780	99¢	$774	0x8acc98…
07-23 06:48:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	777	100¢	$774	0xd4e65e…
07-10 22:57:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	777	100¢	$773	0xffbc16…
07-08 00:13:20	Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Belgium?	No	BUY	774	94¢	$727	0x8ef25b…
07-05 09:52:47	Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt?	No	BUY	729	99¢	$722	0xca828f…
06-30 14:08:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	424	100¢	$424	0x1d4121…
06-26 08:07:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	SELL	298	100¢	$297	0xa306f8…
06-26 02:43:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	424	100¢	$422	0xe13d23…
06-24 15:05:32	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0xfd9eb9…
06-24 14:47:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x6d6d6e…
06-24 14:40:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$15	0x8d11d0…
06-24 14:31:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x6eae62…
06-24 14:28:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x2e12e9…
06-24 14:16:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xfcc6b6…
06-24 14:12:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x117ef3…
06-24 13:47:31	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xe1fc1a…
06-24 13:45:52	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x23d999…
06-24 13:43:22	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x368c64…
06-24 13:36:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x4b5395…
06-24 13:30:47	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x0b1c01…
06-24 13:21:14	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x564b60…
06-24 13:12:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x92cfd8…
06-24 13:11:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x83a8c1…
06-24 12:13:58	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0x557617…
06-24 12:13:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x07f912…
06-24 12:05:05	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4b7c24…
06-24 11:59:19	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x4c6de3…
06-24 11:56:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xf7cdc0…
06-24 11:54:28	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x8b8ee0…
06-22 18:36:02	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	SELL	78	100¢	$78	0x556233…
06-16 12:41:27	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$296	0xb68d39…
06-16 12:41:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xd09bc6…
06-16 12:40:43	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	93¢	$146	0x42e949…
06-16 08:56:33	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xb25c6d…
06-10 07:15:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0xa4e705…
06-10 07:14:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?	No	BUY	346	98¢	$339	0xf6bbad…
06-09 14:34:46	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	448	97¢	$434	0x9a73a3…
06-02 09:59:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xe98c29…
06-02 09:59:29	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	No	BUY	52	99¢	$52	0xfe858f…
06-01 04:38:02	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	129	99¢	$128	0x2ae754…
05-31 03:35:43	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	316	90¢	$284	0xdc028e…
05-31 03:01:39	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x40a5dd…
05-31 02:50:42	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x540af1…
05-30 17:27:07	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xf938f2…
05-30 16:44:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x3838f1…
05-30 12:56:53	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf6ed8e…
05-30 12:56:20	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x758f31…
05-30 11:05:21	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5762b8…
05-29 20:52:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	405	100¢	$404	0xbd6394…
05-27 03:02:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	405	98¢	$397	0xbfb686…
05-27 03:02:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	434	92¢	$399	0x65ae38…
05-21 04:15:03	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	75¢	$118	0x8732a2…
05-19 20:13:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	120	99¢	$118	0x602084…
05-15 10:41:04	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	129	96¢	$124	0x6ae9b7…
05-15 09:20:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	87	93¢	$81	0xb81477…
05-15 08:17:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xff008f…
05-15 07:00:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	32	93¢	$29	0x79ba71…
05-09 07:34:44	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	120	95¢	$114	0xf8da12…
05-07 13:34:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	63	91¢	$57	0x071422…
05-07 11:36:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	67	91¢	$61	0xbfa1c7…
05-05 13:40:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	693	89¢	$617	0x89519c…
05-05 13:36:54	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	736	82¢	$604	0xd93866…
04-28 07:42:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xa8bad7…
04-17 14:06:52	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x754f95…
04-17 14:06:36	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	58	43¢	$25	0x9e23aa…
04-07 03:29:33	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	58	84¢	$49	0x50db60…
04-07 03:28:53	nba por den 2026 04 06	Trail Blazers	SELL	143	35¢	$50	0xebcf79…
04-07 03:27:03	nba por den 2026 04 06	Trail Blazers	BUY	144	67¢	$96	0x46f396…
04-07 03:26:33	cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	Michigan Wolverines	SELL	97	100¢	$96	0xceebf6…
04-07 03:02:17	cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	Michigan Wolverines	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0xa634b0…
04-07 03:02:11	cbb uconn mich 2026 04 06	Michigan Wolverines	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xab83cd…
04-01 09:10:53	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0x09f6d1…
04-01 09:10:29	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	SELL	97	100¢	$97	0xe54676…
04-01 09:09:45	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x32c4cb…
04-01 09:09:25	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x57c241…
04-01 09:01:15	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x70fa54…
04-01 09:00:59	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	SELL	423	100¢	$422	0x823d6a…
04-01 00:48:39	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	BUY	44	99¢	$44	0x22a534…
04-01 00:48:31	bitcoin above 60k on april 2	Yes	BUY	698	100¢	$695	0x46c37b…
03-29 11:54:46	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	597	100¢	$595	0xe64b6f…
03-28 06:37:19	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0x898dc5…
03-26 23:19:53	will crude oil cl hit low 50 by end of march 969 293 176 621 832 316 288 934 812 659 162	No	BUY	144	100¢	$144	0x9043ed…
03-25 04:44:51	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	SELL	144	100¢	$144	0xda2661…
03-21 15:54:15	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	No	BUY	144	99¢	$142	0xa1d2e5…
03-21 15:53:57	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	BUY	597	97¢	$582	0x54a696…
03-20 13:49:05	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x8249c2…
03-20 13:47:01	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	23	100¢	$22	0x79efcb…
03-20 13:34:57	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x234051…
03-20 13:31:25	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by march 20 338	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xe9a8f4…