Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$102

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.63K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$166

Open exposure

$166

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 11-05 04:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$61

Politics

30% 100% +$22

Crypto

12% 100% +$11

Tech

6% 100% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	No	+77	$75	97¢	$75	$0	11-05 04:38
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+48	$45	97¢	$46	+$1	10-15 05:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	+48	$46	94¢	$45	-$1	11-05 04:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	2	$474	269	210	+59	No	+$3	06-24 06:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$448	231	231	+0	No	+$4	07-19 00:28
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	1	$311	315	0	+315	No	+$4	01-18 04:57
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	1	$255	257	0	+257	No	+$2	01-21 07:58
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	1	$250	253	0	+253	No	+$3	05-14 06:35
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	1	$250	253	0	+253	Yes	+$3	02-03 12:21
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 740plus	1	$250	252	0	+252	No	+$2	01-18 04:58
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	2	$241	121	121	+0	open	—	10-24 04:43
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$223	225	0	+225	No	+$2	05-14 06:37
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$220	222	0	+222	No	+$2	07-23 05:24
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$215	220	0	+220	Yes	+$5	04-10 13:27
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$213	216	0	+216	Yes	+$3	06-24 06:52
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$200	203	0	+203	Yes	+$3	03-23 06:58
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$200	203	0	+203	Yes	+$3	03-09 05:31
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	1	$200	203	0	+203	No	+$3	04-10 13:29
microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	1	$200	203	0	+203	No	+$3	03-09 05:31
Netanyahu out by June 30?	1	$190	194	0	+194	No	+$4	06-05 06:15
will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on february 3	1	$190	191	0	+191	Yes	+$1	02-03 12:20
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	1	$187	189	0	+189	No	+$2	03-09 05:30
lol blg tt 2026 07 23	1	$185	208	0	+208	Bilibili Gaming	+$23	07-23 05:25
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	1	$177	178	0	+178	No	+$1	04-15 07:41
highest temperature in munich on april 10 2026 12corbelow	1	$170	171	0	+171	Yes	+$1	04-10 13:38
will lyon make finals at msi 2026 20260622172025739	1	$165	171	0	+171	No	+$6	07-10 07:14
will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	1	$140	144	0	+144	No	+$4	06-05 06:16
israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	1	$135	137	0	+137	No	+$2	07-10 07:16
will chainlink dip to 4 in february 915	1	$130	134	0	+134	No	+$4	02-03 12:21
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	1	$120	121	0	+121	No	+$1	05-14 06:35
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	1	$95	96	0	+96	No	+$1	08-04 05:56
netanyahu out by july 31	1	$90	91	0	+91	No	+$1	07-10 07:15
Trump out as President by September 30?	1	$90	91	0	+91	No	+$1	09-18 07:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-05 04:38:13	Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	77	97¢	$75	0xb2ccbd…
11-05 04:37:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x16fe51…
10-24 04:45:00	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0xc29d0d…
10-24 04:44:24	US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x7e0358…
10-24 04:43:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	121	100¢	$121	0xfa3a07…
10-15 05:27:53	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x682db3…
10-15 05:27:19	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by october 31 20260810151043583	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0xc0be3c…
09-18 07:35:43	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by September 30?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xeba894…
09-18 07:35:04	Trump out as President by September 30?	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0xe61cd3…
08-04 05:57:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	63	98¢	$62	0xd2a9e7…
08-04 05:56:48	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x5a73b4…
07-23 05:25:31	lol blg tt 2026 07 23	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	208	89¢	$185	0x4dd387…
07-23 05:24:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0xb9d609…
07-19 00:28:15	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	231	98¢	$226	0xea2eaf…
07-10 07:16:11	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	137	98¢	$135	0xf0e695…
07-10 07:15:38	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x9d0acf…
07-10 07:14:53	will lyon make finals at msi 2026 20260622172025739	No	BUY	171	96¢	$165	0xf470c3…
07-10 07:14:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	231	96¢	$222	0x5e81a9…
06-24 06:52:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	216	98¢	$213	0xf3bdc8…
06-24 06:51:55	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$209	0xb792b0…
06-05 06:17:03	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	269	98¢	$265	0x8956e2…
06-05 06:16:22	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	No	BUY	144	97¢	$140	0xdac171…
06-05 06:15:58	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	BUY	194	98¢	$190	0xa2665d…
05-14 06:37:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	225	99¢	$223	0xbcb588…
05-14 06:35:50	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	253	99¢	$250	0xb1244d…
05-14 06:35:24	Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x7ec743…
04-15 07:41:50	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	No	BUY	178	99¢	$177	0xc70f76…
04-10 13:38:05	highest temperature in munich on april 10 2026 12corbelow	Yes	BUY	171	99¢	$170	0xa90641…
04-10 13:29:25	Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0xc4b580…
04-10 13:27:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	220	98¢	$215	0x2e0629…
03-23 06:58:31	Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0x925538…
03-09 05:31:49	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x8c68d2…
03-09 05:31:13	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	203	99¢	$200	0xb1a533…
03-09 05:30:35	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	189	99¢	$187	0x4eb214…
02-03 12:21:54	will chainlink dip to 4 in february 915	No	BUY	134	97¢	$130	0x71d515…
02-03 12:21:14	Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	Yes	BUY	253	99¢	$250	0xdc12ec…
02-03 12:20:22	will the price of ethereum be less than 2500 on february 3	Yes	BUY	191	99¢	$190	0xa58020…
01-21 07:58:42	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	No	BUY	257	99¢	$255	0x6be021…
01-18 04:58:52	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 740plus	No	BUY	252	99¢	$250	0xdae8b5…
01-18 04:57:46	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	315	99¢	$311	0x9a3f60…