Valid-Effective — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

Trades

453

lifetime

Volume

$2.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 05-30 13:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

90% 33% $-23

Other

9% 100% +$6

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 61 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET	5	$125	121	121	+0	open	—	05-30 04:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11AM ET	2	$103	73	73	+0	open	—	05-03 16:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10PM ET	2	$84	119	119	+0	open	—	05-30 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6AM ET	2	$66	42	42	+0	open	—	05-03 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12PM ET	5	$65	43	43	+0	open	—	05-01 17:03
Honor of Kings: eStar Pro vs TC Grouping (BO7) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1	3	$65	45	45	+0	open	—	05-01 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	3	$51	36	36	+0	Down	+$21	05-09 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET	1	$48	105	0	+105	open	—	05-30 13:04
btc updown 15m 1769478300	3	$44	24	24	+0	open	—	01-27 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$44	33	33	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 07:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	7	$44	89	89	+0	open	—	05-03 12:39
btc updown 15m 1769499900	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	01-27 08:01
btc updown 15m 1769476500	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	01-27 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4AM ET	5	$40	97	97	+0	open	—	05-03 08:36
btc updown 5m 1774778700	4	$38	27	27	+0	open	—	03-29 10:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	2	$37	75	75	+0	Up	$-16	05-05 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12AM ET	3	$35	52	52	+0	open	—	05-04 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	4	$35	59	59	+0	Up	$-15	05-05 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1AM ET	3	$33	42	42	+0	open	—	05-02 05:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	2	$32	23	23	+0	open	—	05-02 05:16
Honor of Kings: WST vs AG Super Play (BO7) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1	3	$31	231	0	+231	open	—	05-02 10:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	2	$28	38	38	+0	open	—	05-04 03:55
bitcoin up or down january 25 7pm et	6	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	01-26 01:02
afc u23 final china vs japan	2	$26	15	15	+0	open	—	01-24 17:02
btc updown 15m 1769318100	3	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	01-25 05:30
bitcoin up or down january 26 6am et	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	01-26 12:13
bitcoin up or down january 25 1am et	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	01-25 07:00
btc updown 15m 1769473800	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	01-27 00:47
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	1	$20	29	0	+29	open	—	01-27 08:28
btc updown 15m 1769495400	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	01-27 06:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 13:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	105	46¢	$48	0x2429fe…
05-30 04:01:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xe98ceb…
05-30 03:22:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	51	43¢	$22	0xcce1ad…
05-30 03:21:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	41	36¢	$14	0xe0332b…
05-30 03:20:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	29	31¢	$9	0x4aeb3e…
05-30 03:14:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	70	41¢	$29	0x513488…
05-30 02:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	119	26¢	$31	0x0c6c61…
05-30 02:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	119	44¢	$52	0x08b33b…
05-30 01:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	11	31¢	$4	0x64de25…
05-30 01:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf01a0c…
05-26 10:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x8eb14c…
05-14 14:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x16e0e2…
05-12 15:17:59	Honor of Kings: Wolves vs AG Super Play (BO7) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 2	AG Super Play	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x8406b9…
05-12 13:50:27	Honor of Kings: Wolves vs AG Super Play (BO7) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 2	AG Super Play	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xb82a75…
05-09 04:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x386cc3…
05-09 03:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xa0ec24…
05-09 03:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x3eb0a4…
05-08 12:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	22	43¢	$10	0x97b0c1…
05-05 12:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	75	14¢	$10	0xeb23f4…
05-05 12:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	75	35¢	$26	0x6a484f…
05-05 11:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	59	17¢	$10	0xfa7714…
05-05 11:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x811d09…
05-05 11:07:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x8478a8…
05-05 11:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xc456b2…
05-05 10:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x7d0caa…
05-05 10:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0xd222dd…
05-05 10:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xf1d83b…
05-05 10:33:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x81012f…
05-05 08:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x7ba368…
05-05 08:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x87cdbf…
05-05 08:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x2778fc…
05-05 08:23:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xab7741…
05-05 08:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xa407b9…
05-05 07:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x6147b6…
05-05 07:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x93763e…
05-05 07:20:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0xa75a49…
05-05 07:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	33	71¢	$24	0x147af6…
05-05 07:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x13a6f1…
05-05 04:57:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb0e8a5…
05-05 04:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0xf57e31…
05-05 04:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xa63a14…
05-05 04:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x2d4f91…
05-05 03:44:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	38	2¢	$1	0xe1f5b4…
05-05 03:18:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x032b41…
05-04 10:00:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Up	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x862e27…
05-04 09:09:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x41a674…
05-04 07:30:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xfd6763…
05-04 07:16:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xaa16fe…
05-04 04:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	52	29¢	$15	0x9a46fa…
05-04 04:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x026761…
05-04 04:05:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0xcca691…
05-04 03:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	Down	SELL	38	35¢	$13	0xe47ff2…
05-04 03:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xf60f52…
05-03 16:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x6e9d16…
05-03 15:29:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	73	41¢	$30	0xfeea3e…
05-03 12:39:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	51	20¢	$10	0xa6f2e7…
05-03 12:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0x034f11…
05-03 12:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbd1845…
05-03 12:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x6ca14d…
05-03 12:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x773ca7…
05-03 12:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x0217e0…
05-03 12:07:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	Down	SELL	38	25¢	$9	0x103ad1…
05-03 12:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x9c2ba1…
05-03 12:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x1ff4ab…
05-03 11:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0x4ae4a4…
05-03 10:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	42	57¢	$24	0xac7d6d…
05-03 09:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5AM ET	Down	SELL	27	5¢	$1	0x62319d…
05-03 09:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5AM ET	Down	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x09520b…
05-03 08:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0xb55604…
05-03 08:43:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x03f4ad…
05-03 08:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8e2974…
05-03 08:39:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc02e88…
05-03 08:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x645542…
05-03 08:37:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xc9fa3c…
05-03 08:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4AM ET	Down	SELL	97	21¢	$20	0xbb355a…
05-03 08:19:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xbc5c4c…
05-03 08:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x8edee3…
05-03 08:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xa8757c…
05-03 08:16:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xcc5a70…
05-03 08:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x70d082…
05-03 08:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x98691d…
05-03 05:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x483194…
05-03 05:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3b8565…
05-03 05:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x09a2b9…
05-03 05:51:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4ecabc…
05-03 05:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x784f4c…
05-03 05:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x7181e9…
05-03 05:37:06	Honor of Kings: Wolves vs Hero JiuJing (BO7) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1	Hero JiuJing	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x6b27ef…
05-03 05:35:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa1a523…
05-03 05:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x04c181…
05-03 05:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x6786cd…
05-03 05:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xbe9e0d…
05-03 04:31:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x307e3b…
05-03 04:31:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x685e01…
05-03 04:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x8949cd…
05-03 04:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x1dff19…
05-02 11:30:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x297362…
05-02 11:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x841236…
05-02 10:57:04	Honor of Kings: WST vs AG Super Play (BO7) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1	WST	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x77d082…
05-02 09:33:40	Honor of Kings: Talent Gaming vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO7) - Honor of Kings Challenger Cup Stage 1	Dragon Ranger Gaming	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x696400…