Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.80K

Unrealized P&L

-$560

Hit rate

35.0%

Resolved

Trades

403

lifetime

Volume

$33.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$83

Open exposure

$1.58K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-03

last 09-02 13:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 32 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 24% -$3,022

Other

34% 13% -$4,223

Politics

2% 0% -$552

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No		-2,000	-$1,020	79¢	$-1580	-$560	05-03 23:38

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	6	$2.8K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$897	03-24 14:24
over 20m committed to the ranger public sale 942	7	$1.9K	25,200	0	+25,200	Yes	-$1,910	01-07 01:33
another us government shutdown by february 14	2	$1.9K	1,500	1,500	+0	No	+$313	02-13 11:59
Zama FDV above $300M one day after launch?	19	$1.8K	6,600	1,600	+5,000	Yes	+$214	02-03 20:51
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?	5	$1.7K	2,443	2,443	+0	No	-$92	01-28 17:40
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	5	$1.5K	2,199	2,199	+0	Yes	+$321	01-29 21:25
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?	11	$1.4K	1,710	1,710	+0	No	-$103	01-15 20:31
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	13	$1.4K	4,600	2,600	+2,000	No	-$470	04-01 19:58
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$1.1K	847	847	+0	No	+$511	03-24 11:43
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	16	$1.1K	42,216	14,040	+28,177	Yes	-$375	03-24 21:28
Opinion FDV above $2B one day after launch?	6	$1.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$26	01-24 23:49
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	1	$1.0K	0	2,000	-2,000	open	—	05-03 23:38
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?	9	$1.0K	3,973	3,973	-0	Yes	-$530	02-23 15:02
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	5	$921	5,148	0	+5,148	Yes	-$921	01-09 00:04
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?	5	$806	958	500	+458	No	-$8	01-24 20:28
Moonbirds FDV above $300M one day after launch?	14	$789	1,253	1,253	+0	No	-$383	01-29 17:15
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	3	$770	842	842	+0	Yes	+$501	03-31 22:20
Ranger FDV above $30M one day after launch?	10	$738	4,000	4,000	+0	No	-$702	01-11 15:13
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?	15	$578	502	495	+7	No	-$152	01-23 14:44
over 60m committed to the ranger public sale 296 929 632	3	$544	1,700	850	+850	Yes	+$0	01-10 13:59
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	10	$502	2,000	1,250	+750	Yes	+$43	02-07 18:26
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?	8	$496	1,076	2,125	-1,049	No	-$919	01-06 13:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9AM ET	5	$479	390	390	+0	Up	+$284	09-01 14:00
will polymarket mindshare hit 85 278	2	$436	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$166	03-16 09:53
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	8	$428	2,000	2,000	+0	No	-$212	03-30 14:45
Espresso FDV above $200M one day after launch?	5	$409	1,410	0	+1,410	Yes	-$409	02-13 12:36
over 50m committed to the ranger public sale nd7b 655	5	$378	2,788	0	+2,788	Yes	-$378	01-10 15:35
Over $3M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	4	$364	2,355	0	+2,355	No	-$364	02-07 18:29
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$336	6,455	0	+6,455	Yes	-$336	02-28 23:37
Over $2M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	3	$324	811	256	+556	Yes	-$99	02-07 18:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-02 13:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x8331fb…
09-02 13:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x2897e5…
09-02 13:28:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0x68f551…
09-02 13:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x4a6ebf…
09-02 13:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0x7636ec…
09-02 13:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x73bfe8…
09-02 13:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x32dabe…
09-02 13:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	18	22¢	$4	0xa3a964…
09-02 13:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0xfbeaf2…
09-02 13:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0xbe5794…
09-02 13:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0xa4450a…
09-02 13:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x511efa…
09-02 13:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x3a7722…
09-02 13:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0xd5554b…
09-02 13:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xc1918c…
09-02 13:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x9067dc…
09-02 13:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x7547e0…
09-02 13:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x6c1f5e…
09-02 13:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x5a35df…
09-02 13:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x535ec3…
09-02 13:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	25	25¢	$6	0x4baf68…
09-02 13:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x2d88f0…
09-02 13:20:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xffe2be…
09-02 13:20:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	32	25¢	$8	0x6058e4…
09-02 13:19:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x4f3962…
09-02 13:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	43	25¢	$11	0x840326…
09-01 14:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	385	98¢	$377	0xebaf09…
09-01 14:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x53c682…
09-01 13:36:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	306	25¢	$76	0x022f86…
09-01 13:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	42	25¢	$10	0xa2f578…
09-01 13:36:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	42	25¢	$10	0x553f1f…
05-04 14:11:56	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	250	5¢	$13	0x7c6d47…
05-04 14:09:42	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xff7fcc…
05-04 14:09:20	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	41	5¢	$2	0x7a7d1b…
05-04 14:08:12	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	60	5¢	$3	0x81664b…
05-04 14:06:52	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	49	5¢	$2	0x6372a8…
05-04 13:58:46	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	250	20¢	$50	0x8c12dd…
05-04 10:28:10	Billions FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	2¢	$23	0xed1f70…
05-04 09:47:06	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	266	10¢	$25	0x2d07f9…
05-04 09:40:22	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	234	10¢	$23	0xb09b90…
05-03 23:38:44	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2,000	51¢	$1,020	0x488e80…
04-29 11:25:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$15	0x257757…
04-15 18:49:08	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	455	22¢	$100	0x7a8c89…
04-07 18:14:53	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0xe5fdb4…
04-01 19:58:17	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0x868856…
04-01 19:48:03	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,000	18¢	$180	0x5407c8…
04-01 19:12:31	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	600	41¢	$246	0x5ca29a…
04-01 15:27:45	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	600	18¢	$108	0x9a06fe…
04-01 12:47:27	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	1,900	10¢	$185	0xe1c23e…
03-31 22:40:03	Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$0	0x3accdd…
03-31 22:39:43	Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x978794…
03-31 22:31:01	Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xa8aa1f…
03-31 22:20:53	EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	792	77¢	$610	0xefa858…
03-31 21:37:19	Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0xdd4f57…
03-31 21:36:57	Over $80M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	54	1¢	$0	0x823781…
03-31 21:36:27	Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	500	3¢	$16	0xb5aef4…
03-31 21:33:13	Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	317	1¢	$4	0xcba538…
03-31 21:32:43	Over $40M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0xffd96d…
03-31 20:39:47	Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x07e392…
03-31 20:39:27	Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x3e9795…
03-31 19:22:05	Over $18M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	196	4¢	$8	0xa1572c…
03-31 18:46:15	Over $60M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	181	1¢	$2	0x0f6d21…
03-31 18:41:11	Over $35M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xd8251a…
03-31 18:40:21	Over $50M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xbb4d68…
03-31 18:05:47	Over $100M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x0897a0…
03-31 17:28:41	Over $14M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x295453…
03-31 17:18:35	Over $30M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0xaf5e6b…
03-31 17:11:09	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x112ae2…
03-31 17:09:07	EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0x3a00ab…
03-31 16:41:51	Over $9M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	200	33¢	$66	0x443496…
03-31 15:39:55	Over $25M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$8	0x1df5d5…
03-31 15:39:31	Over $20M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xbe4d84…
03-31 15:30:07	Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	60	9¢	$5	0xff8d23…
03-31 15:22:55	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	200	19¢	$38	0x94587c…
03-31 15:22:37	Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	140	9¢	$13	0x21ec66…
03-31 14:44:23	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	86	19¢	$16	0xa8c392…
03-31 14:43:43	Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	Yes	BUY	82	19¢	$15	0x6d5417…
03-31 12:27:29	EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	842	16¢	$135	0x7281b7…
03-30 14:45:43	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	2,000	5¢	$108	0xa32e1a…
03-26 20:54:59	uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 ukr	Yes	BUY	700	10¢	$70	0x71877e…
03-26 19:44:27	uef ukr swe 2026 03 26 ukr	Yes	BUY	380	30¢	$114	0xec2781…
03-26 07:02:43	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	978	30¢	$293	0xce96c9…
03-26 04:30:17	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0x3a54d2…
03-26 04:27:17	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	30¢	$9	0x8c283f…
03-25 16:00:23	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	30¢	$6	0x0c47a9…
03-25 15:49:37	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$7	0xfaa606…
03-25 15:49:25	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	929	30¢	$279	0xf46e75…
03-25 15:49:25	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xd86c75…
03-25 15:11:31	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1,257	16¢	$201	0xbd65f0…
03-25 15:08:37	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x080516…
03-25 14:51:01	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	232	16¢	$37	0x4fce60…
03-25 14:48:01	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	233	16¢	$37	0x098959…
03-25 14:41:39	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$2	0xba5470…
03-25 14:36:09	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	239	16¢	$38	0x1221e7…
03-25 14:29:19	EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	17	16¢	$3	0xc4f824…
03-24 21:28:27	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0x6ff1a5…
03-24 21:28:11	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2,500	0¢	$5	0x227c97…
03-24 20:15:55	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$15	0x9f05a6…
03-24 20:13:59	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	12,500	0¢	$50	0xb7d582…
03-24 20:04:35	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	13,440	0¢	$54	0x994811…