Happy-Mixer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$352

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.3%

Resolved

791

Trades

5,420

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 11-02 02:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 58% -$352

Other

1% — —

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	66	$153	282	0	+282	Down	+$14	05-11 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	65	$148	273	0	+273	Down	-$7	05-12 04:03
Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?	8	$140	143	143	+0	open	—	11-01 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	42	$110	168	0	+168	Up	-$23	05-12 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	52	$109	204	0	+204	Down	-$8	05-11 10:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	46	$106	185	0	+185	Up	-$11	05-11 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	43	$103	177	0	+177	Up	-$25	05-10 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	44	$98	178	0	+178	Up	-$16	05-11 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	31	$94	140	0	+140	Up	-$15	05-12 04:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	38	$92	145	0	+145	Down	-$4	05-11 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	36	$91	866	0	+866	Up	-$11	05-12 04:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	40	$91	154	0	+154	Up	$0	05-11 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	40	$90	160	0	+160	Down	-$16	05-11 17:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	39	$90	168	0	+168	Down	-$29	05-11 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	35	$89	132	0	+132	Down	-$10	05-11 08:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	38	$88	190	0	+190	Down	$0	05-12 00:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	35	$88	241	0	+241	Up	-$5	05-11 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	41	$87	160	0	+160	Up	-$9	05-12 03:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	36	$86	147	0	+147	Down	+$2	05-11 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	29	$85	1,274	0	+1,274	Up	-$8	05-11 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	36	$84	145	0	+145	Down	+$4	05-11 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	36	$83	130	0	+130	Up	-$12	05-12 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	34	$83	139	0	+139	Up	-$18	05-11 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	36	$82	148	0	+148	Up	$0	05-11 07:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	30	$81	141	0	+141	Up	+$14	05-11 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	35	$79	138	0	+138	Up	-$2	05-11 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	31	$79	137	0	+137	Up	+$0	05-11 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	30	$77	126	0	+126	Up	-$16	05-12 03:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	34	$77	134	0	+134	Up	-$5	05-11 08:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	30	$76	115	0	+115	Down	-$3	05-11 12:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 02:44:49	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xf7f6b2…
11-02 02:44:46	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x84495a…
11-02 02:03:36	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x121ac1…
11-02 02:00:52	Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) at the end of December 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2b44c5…
11-02 01:26:01	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by November 30?	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0xb90ddd…
11-02 01:22:15	Will PP win the most seats in Castellón in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0xbdc72a…
11-02 01:21:07	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by November 30?	Yes	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0xff6a8d…
11-02 01:21:00	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xfc473d…
11-02 01:21:00	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa by November 30?	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xdd0650…
11-02 01:17:09	Will PP win the most seats in Castellón in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x1a3de8…
11-01 22:44:00	Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?	Yes	SELL	45	45¢	$20	0x37ee8a…
11-01 22:41:54	Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?	Yes	SELL	27	43¢	$12	0x62da70…
11-01 22:40:21	Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?	Yes	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x6b7d09…
11-01 22:40:16	Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?	Yes	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x9bdbe6…
11-01 22:40:16	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x8d51cf…
11-01 20:17:52	Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?	Yes	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x06a170…
11-01 20:00:54	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x86a818…
11-01 18:45:57	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #1 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x17f91b…
11-01 18:43:52	Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?	Yes	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x5d636b…
11-01 18:43:51	Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x76d8e5…
11-01 16:54:43	Will "Dune: Part Three" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x98dd10…
05-29 07:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xf23fc7…
05-29 05:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc234fd…
05-29 00:59:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x9e01cf…
05-28 21:19:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x24ef7e…
05-12 05:40:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x5fc155…
05-12 05:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xf648e7…
05-12 05:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0x28d7ba…
05-12 05:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x3f73c8…
05-12 05:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x999f11…
05-12 05:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xff5a38…
05-12 05:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb33edd…
05-12 05:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x34d838…
05-12 05:35:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x4fbc8f…
05-12 05:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xbc7526…
05-12 05:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xf4abfe…
05-12 05:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xca2890…
05-12 05:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x46b8fe…
05-12 05:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x16fd87…
05-12 05:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x448862…
05-12 05:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	21¢	$1	0x49e2d9…
05-12 05:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xa47f41…
05-12 05:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0xd96e70…
05-12 05:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xcc86f7…
05-12 05:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xc5c5fe…
05-12 05:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xa2985e…
05-12 05:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0x99c736…
05-12 05:33:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x8cbc9e…
05-12 05:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xb035f5…
05-12 05:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xfff166…
05-12 05:32:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0xbad62e…
05-12 05:32:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x1cadf3…
05-12 05:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xee1e2e…
05-12 05:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x4faeb5…
05-12 05:32:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x1a9b9c…
05-12 05:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0xceb0d4…
05-12 05:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0xa1b8db…
05-12 05:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	65¢	$5	0xb8c3f9…
05-12 05:30:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x81a8f9…
05-12 05:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x285253…
05-12 05:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xde5f37…
05-12 05:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0xbc8951…
05-12 05:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x6913af…
05-12 05:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xe832f2…
05-12 05:25:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x1cbe8e…
05-12 05:25:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x4aa317…
05-12 05:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x8e367e…
05-12 05:24:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0c05f0…
05-12 05:23:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x665ea3…
05-12 05:23:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x2a9f71…
05-12 05:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x80d543…
05-12 05:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xbce3ad…
05-12 05:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x9fbc37…
05-12 05:21:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x30e4e1…
05-12 05:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xd877b0…
05-12 05:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xaad1e8…
05-12 05:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x8d374a…
05-12 05:21:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	43¢	$2	0x2beb9f…
05-12 05:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xbb46b8…
05-12 05:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x556bf4…
05-12 05:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x5360bf…
05-12 05:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x994d7b…
05-12 05:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x4171ef…
05-12 05:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x27ecd5…
05-12 05:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0xef2fb3…
05-12 05:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xb207ee…
05-12 05:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x1fef0c…
05-12 05:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0xa89981…
05-12 05:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x9c89bc…
05-12 05:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x565826…
05-12 05:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0x76b4e8…
05-12 05:18:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$3	0x33d292…
05-12 05:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xf218f5…
05-12 05:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0xfb9975…
05-12 05:18:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xe40db9…
05-12 05:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	35¢	$1	0x4643fc…
05-12 05:17:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xa17bd9…
05-12 05:17:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x88bf23…
05-12 05:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8cd774…
05-12 05:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7a443e…