Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$166

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

240

Trades

332

lifetime

Volume

$3.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-07-11

last 10-30 11:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 59% +$3

Other

24% 46% -$222

Politics

11% 75% +$54

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will England win on 2026-07-11?	2	$266	174	174	+0	No	+$80	07-11 23:05
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 team to advance	1	$168	399	0	+399	England	-$168	07-11 23:06
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	1	$100	541	0	+541	No	-$100	07-11 22:05
will the iea ask germany to release oil stocks by december 31	6	$69	77	20	+57	open	—	10-07 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	6	$39	76	0	+76	Down	+$23	10-29 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	4	$37	62	0	+62	Up	+$10	10-15 23:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	5	$30	256	0	+256	Down	-$30	10-10 01:23
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-17 20:00 UTC	3	$28	96	0	+96	Up	-$15	10-17 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	3	$28	101	0	+101	Up	-$28	10-19 00:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-16 21:00 UTC	3	$28	51	0	+51	Down	+$3	10-16 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	3	$28	43	0	+43	Up	+$0	10-19 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$26	158	0	+158	Up	-$26	10-09 21:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	3	$25	35	0	+35	Up	-$25	10-30 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$25	57	0	+57	Down	-$17	10-09 21:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	5	$22	87	0	+87	Up	-$22	10-10 01:44
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?	2	$21	40	0	+40	open	—	10-07 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$20	38	0	+38	Up	+$18	10-30 02:26
Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	1	$20	24	0	+24	Yes	-$20	10-21 22:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$20	102	0	+102	Down	+$71	10-29 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$20	25	0	+25	Down	+$5	10-30 00:22
Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	1	$19	47	0	+47	Yes	-$19	10-28 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$19	36	0	+36	Down	-$6	10-09 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	2	$19	50	0	+50	Up	+$31	10-15 00:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$19	32	0	+32	Up	+$1	10-20 04:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:00 UTC	2	$19	27	0	+27	Down	+$8	10-16 21:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$19	33	0	+33	Down	+$14	10-11 21:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 18:20 UTC	2	$19	26	0	+26	Up	-$5	10-16 18:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$19	27	0	+27	Up	+$8	10-19 05:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	3	$18	27	0	+27	Down	-$18	10-10 00:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	3	$18	47	0	+47	Up	-$11	10-10 01:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 11:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x23b93d…
10-30 08:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xc42b12…
10-30 07:22:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	11	68¢	$7	0xf37926…
10-30 07:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xea963c…
10-30 07:05:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x7094a1…
10-30 06:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xbb00b4…
10-30 06:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xbed8b0…
10-30 05:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x48a49a…
10-30 04:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xd57587…
10-30 04:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xaee8b4…
10-30 03:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x8b1558…
10-30 03:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x34b8fb…
10-30 02:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x02655e…
10-30 02:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x942c83…
10-30 01:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x045119…
10-30 01:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x6cad70…
10-30 01:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	48¢	$6	0x60afc3…
10-30 01:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xe030c6…
10-30 01:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xe2106a…
10-30 01:22:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x1daa0b…
10-30 01:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x5c6fa1…
10-30 00:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x9367ed…
10-30 00:35:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x29185e…
10-30 00:22:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x09ef18…
10-30 00:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x96d407…
10-30 00:10:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x31d403…
10-30 00:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x31f3d9…
10-30 00:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x8a5fe8…
10-29 23:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x38b8c0…
10-29 20:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x2929b0…
10-29 20:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	20¢	$6	0x7e8fa0…
10-29 20:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc39c14…
10-29 20:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x351e59…
10-29 20:45:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x2ba329…
10-29 20:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xdbd09f…
10-29 20:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x29fc06…
10-29 20:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x1e9ded…
10-29 17:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x01c2d3…
10-29 17:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x8288e2…
10-29 16:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x4c6a89…
10-29 16:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xff5e24…
10-29 16:07:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x6b42b4…
10-29 16:00:04	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0xab59be…
10-29 16:00:02	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0xc19938…
10-29 16:00:02	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0xb283ab…
10-29 15:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x8069e6…
10-29 13:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x5d3bd4…
10-29 12:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	91	11¢	$10	0xf06804…
10-29 12:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x056f98…
10-28 22:30:04	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	8	82¢	$6	0x2107e7…
10-28 22:30:02	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	16	40¢	$6	0xaba1aa…
10-28 22:30:02	Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x2f27af…
10-28 10:30:02	Will Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?	No	BUY	47	41¢	$19	0x8fd0a1…
10-24 22:30:03	Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x4bed1e…
10-24 22:30:03	Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Georgia?	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x2add3c…
10-23 17:30:03	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x7c23dd…
10-23 17:30:03	Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x69d025…
10-23 17:30:03	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x608bad…
10-23 17:30:03	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x0d6e4b…
10-22 22:30:03	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x8d2cf2…
10-22 22:30:03	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x445563…
10-22 22:30:03	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Iowa?	No	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x10e510…
10-21 22:30:03	Will "Flock" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate? (copy)	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xc9f717…
10-21 22:30:03	Will "AIPAC" be said during the Michigan U.S. Senate debate?	No	BUY	17	55¢	$10	0x9db9fd…
10-21 22:30:03	Will Trump say "Data Center" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x5dbbe3…
10-20 22:30:03	Will Trump say "Veteran" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	11	58¢	$7	0xe9b594…
10-20 22:30:03	Will Trump say "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0xda8d16…
10-20 22:30:03	Will Trump say "America First" or "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	13	52¢	$7	0x6d1ad2…
10-20 12:42:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0xd5c691…
10-20 12:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0x750a8b…
10-20 12:12:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	74¢	$9	0x7b4f70…
10-20 09:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x184de2…
10-20 08:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xafcca1…
10-20 06:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	85	11¢	$9	0x57aef7…
10-20 05:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xecf033…
10-20 04:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x9be611…
10-20 04:53:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x7ee00f…
10-20 04:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	33¢	$9	0xd40318…
10-20 04:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0x563176…
10-20 02:34:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x9247fa…
10-20 02:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc72db0…
10-20 01:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	76¢	$9	0x659d07…
10-19 21:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xe7cc0b…
10-19 21:30:04	Will Trump say "America First" or "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xe1f4a6…
10-19 21:30:04	Will Trump say "Fertilizer" or "Rural" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xbeb5ed…
10-19 21:30:04	Will Trump say "Bull" or "Bullshit" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x3b28ff…
10-19 21:30:04	Will Trump say "Hormuz" or "Blockade" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0x1dd7b0…
10-19 21:30:04	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x17ead2…
10-19 21:30:03	Will Trump say "Animal" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	No	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x65ffd3…
10-19 21:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	47	20¢	$9	0x9cfbef…
10-19 20:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	36	26¢	$9	0x3b27b7…
10-19 16:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	32¢	$9	0xf7f517…
10-19 16:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	56¢	$9	0xdebfed…
10-19 16:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	18	53¢	$9	0xb3f67a…
10-19 15:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	34	19¢	$7	0xba7ba8…
10-19 13:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	13	33¢	$4	0x8116e6…
10-19 05:28:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$9	0x63eb49…
10-19 05:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xd2eb4e…
10-19 05:26:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	62¢	$9	0x41352b…
10-19 05:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	54¢	$9	0xb91b27…