Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$174

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

64.2%

Resolved

1,696

Trades

2,326

lifetime

Volume

$10.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$25

3 positions

First seen

2026-07-15

last 10-30 18:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

94% 65% -$192

Politics

4% 69% +$6

Tech

1% 83% +$3

Sports

0% 100% +$3

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
us iran hormuz agreement by october 31	No	+10	$7	96¢	$9	+$2	09-30 20:27
us iran hormuz agreement by november 30	No	+11	$7	76¢	$9	+$2	09-30 20:27
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	+9	$7	78¢	$7	$0	10-30 00:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs Sissi State Punks (BO3) - THE POKAL Playoffs	2	$27	22	22	+0	ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby	+$17	09-03 05:22
Will "Heart of the Beast" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 11m?	3	$18	21	21	+0	Yes	-$12	10-03 20:04
msft up or down on september 17 2026	2	$18	12	12	+0	Up	+$4	09-17 13:27
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	3	$18	19	19	+0	No	-$12	09-27 02:07
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B	2	$17	12	12	+0	KT Rolster Challengers	+$4	09-24 08:50
LoL: The Otter Side vs Team Aqua ASD (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B	2	$17	12	12	+0	The Otter Side	+$4	09-22 17:09
Will "Digger" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 2m and 3m?	2	$17	22	22	+0	No	-$13	10-10 23:38
Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	2	$17	20	20	+0	Yes	-$13	09-27 02:09
lol dnsc edgy 2026 09 22	3	$17	11	11	+0	DN SOOPers Challengers	+$3	09-22 08:57
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs EDward Gaming Youth Team (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A	2	$16	11	11	+0	DN SOOPers Challengers	+$2	09-24 10:36
LoL: Valerion vs MAGAZA (BO3) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	2	$16	10	10	+0	Valerion	+$2	10-02 17:45
dota2 xtreme gl 2026 09 26	2	$16	10	10	+0	Xtreme Gaming	+$2	09-26 08:35
lol cpd vksa 2026 09 25	2	$16	10	10	+0	Cupid Esports	+$2	09-25 10:37
Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 11m and 12m?	2	$16	22	22	+0	No	-$14	10-11 17:02
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$16	9	9	+0	Yes	+$0	07-19 21:50
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage	2	$16	10	10	+0	BNK FEARX	+$2	10-03 10:57
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs CTBC Flying Oyster Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group B	2	$16	10	10	+0	⁠Movistar KOI Fénix	+$2	09-22 10:41
nvda up or down on september 17 2026	2	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	09-17 12:34
lol nbs tos 2026 09 26	3	$16	10	10	+0	NightBirds	+$2	09-26 18:37
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 13m?	3	$16	19	19	+0	No	-$14	09-28 18:46
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?	2	$16	19	19	+0	Yes	-$14	09-28 18:45
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 21?	2	$16	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	09-21 08:01
spx up or down on september 17 2026	2	$15	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	09-17 07:29
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	3	$15	21	21	+0	Yes	-$15	09-28 19:02
Will "Verity" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 13m?	2	$15	24	24	+0	Yes	-$15	10-11 16:48
Will "Heart of the Beast" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 17m and 20m?	3	$15	21	21	+0	No	-$15	09-28 19:01
dota2 clo cloudd 2026 10 13	4	$15	10	10	+0	Cloud Rising	+$1	10-13 07:13
Will "The Social Reckoning" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 5m?	2	$15	21	21	+0	No	-$15	10-11 15:05
spy up or down on september 17 2026	2	$15	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	09-17 10:30
LoL: HMBLE vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage	2	$15	9	9	+0	Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition	+$1	09-28 18:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 22:26:40	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x4b8f65…
10-30 18:26:25	Will Trump say "Crazy" 7+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x8e7558…
10-30 18:26:21	Will Trump say "Hell" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x6fa14f…
10-30 18:26:16	Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during his Midterm Rally in Florida?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x796526…
10-30 04:05:21	Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)	Team Spirit	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xbe9676…
10-30 03:20:03	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Liquid	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xde76c9…
10-30 00:40:46	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x6110b0…
10-30 00:03:43	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x970de0…
10-29 23:57:00	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Pikachu?	No	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x74f861…
10-29 23:48:33	LoL: Team Liquid vs LOS (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x02c4e9…
10-29 19:31:40	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Pikachu?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xc5676f…
10-29 19:31:37	Will Logan Paul pull a Reverse Holographic Charizard?	No	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xe3092c…
10-29 15:29:55	Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	GamerLegion	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x685caa…
10-29 09:14:26	Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)	PARIVISION	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xcdb942…
10-29 06:13:11	dota2 ts8 legion1 2026 10 29 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7ee22a…
10-29 03:12:04	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xe34a62…
10-29 00:40:59	LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0x93ffb9…
10-28 17:37:59	Will Microsoft say "Excel" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0xcc4116…
10-28 15:37:01	Dota 2: GamerLegion vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xacf2c9…
10-28 15:24:53	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xe15243…
10-28 15:06:44	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	Team Yandex	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xcfb378…
10-28 06:02:44	dota2 ty ai1 2026 10 28 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x6cdfcb…
10-27 23:14:59	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x3bfa35…
10-27 23:14:54	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x0bb506…
10-27 19:01:18	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x0c1587…
10-27 14:56:20	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x5d7c4c…
10-27 13:55:56	LoL: Vitality Rising Bees vs Mental Rush (BO5) - LGC Rising Playoffs	Vitality Rising Bees	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xd8cc18…
10-27 03:05:42	Dota 2: oveA vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Esports Pro Circuit Group A	Zero Tenacity	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0xa62c14…
10-26 22:03:32	Will "FROM: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week?	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0xf9f893…
10-26 22:01:18	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	SELL	9	16¢	$1	0x895f62…
10-26 20:17:42	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in Mississippi?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x2dad68…
10-26 20:16:23	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	SELL	11	16¢	$2	0xa3c597…
10-26 20:02:30	LoL: Team Liquid vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x9a5f11…
10-26 03:09:45	Game Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)	GamerLegion	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x85ff08…
10-25 20:52:18	LoL: LOS vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0xc39776…
10-25 20:37:08	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x14054f…
10-25 17:38:56	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x8f31cf…
10-25 14:05:32	Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5)	PARIVISION	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x43d9a9…
10-25 14:05:27	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x8b2d29…
10-25 11:05:00	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x8cdcfb…
10-25 08:33:51	Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs OG (+1.5)	OG	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x3b30a1…
10-25 02:31:15	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x88ec68…
10-24 22:59:30	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	Team Spirit	BUY	9	80¢	$7	0xfe667a…
10-24 20:43:29	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x6ccb8b…
10-24 20:43:23	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x634fd3…
10-24 10:12:38	Dota 2: 1win vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	1win	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x56c887…
10-24 10:12:38	Dota 2: 1win vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	1win	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x05552c…
10-24 10:12:33	Dota 2: 1win vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	1win	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xa41cdb…
10-24 05:51:53	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x7a7f3a…
10-23 23:03:56	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs OG (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	Team Yandex	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xca0e63…
10-23 22:51:50	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0x3ecd8c…
10-23 21:48:17	Dota 2: 1win vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Group A	1win	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0x85b29c…
10-23 21:36:57	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0xd90d3c…
10-23 21:11:18	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A	HULIGANI	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0xa43995…
10-23 20:47:48	Dota 2: Inner Circle vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A	HULIGANI	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x4aac7f…
10-23 20:41:21	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	SELL	11	14¢	$1	0xe99bf6…
10-23 19:47:18	LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x46c85e…
10-23 19:37:35	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0xd1bfe6…
10-23 19:01:51	LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	9	82¢	$7	0x1fedc0…
10-23 14:14:32	Game Handicap: BB (-1.5) vs Astra Invicta (+1.5)	Astra Invicta	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xb89fb7…
10-22 20:37:14	LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	11	66¢	$7	0x56dfcb…
10-22 18:06:06	LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Liquid	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x937552…
10-22 18:06:02	LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Gen.G	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0xa4db4a…
10-22 17:07:11	Dota 2: CyberHero vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Yellow Submarine	SELL	9	17¢	$1	0x63e209…
10-22 11:28:14	Meta (META) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x518625…
10-22 11:27:53	Meta (META) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x9fdbbe…
10-22 06:02:41	Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5)	Galions	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x531e7c…
10-22 06:02:37	Games Total: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd0a6c5…
10-22 01:48:54	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0xa65004…
10-22 01:15:41	Meta (META) Up or Down on October 22?	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xdc6e45…
10-21 23:44:54	dota2 ch1 yes 2026 10 22	Yellow Submarine	BUY	9	81¢	$7	0x5749f3…
10-21 23:39:30	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0x9e4719…
10-21 21:28:53	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Astra Invicta (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B	PARIVISION	BUY	8	84¢	$7	0x460722…
10-21 20:59:05	Will Meta say "Dividend" during earnings call?	No	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x97e8ed…
10-21 19:27:53	Will Trump say "Biden" or "Kamala" or "Obama" 15+ times during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	Yes	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x5e9dfd…
10-21 15:48:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x70e9d2…
10-21 15:25:57	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in South Carolina?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x440a43…
10-21 15:22:33	Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Dawn Bulls	SELL	9	17¢	$2	0x38076a…
10-21 03:50:45	Dota 2: salamit vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A	HULIGANI	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x1c9999…
10-21 02:07:47	Will Trump say "Veteran" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x02992b…
10-21 01:21:54	Will Trump say "Veteran" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x8f3953…
10-21 01:04:26	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	No	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x506368…
10-21 01:04:21	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	60¢	$7	0xf87125…
10-20 23:48:39	Dota 2: Dawn Bulls vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Dawn Bulls	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x205abc…
10-20 22:02:42	Will Meta say "Dividend" during earnings call?	No	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x181db7…
10-20 18:45:57	Will Trump say "Veteran" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	11	64¢	$7	0xec6d84…
10-20 17:30:08	Dota 2: TheBot$ vs Dawn Bulls (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Dawn Bulls	BUY	9	75¢	$7	0x79d116…
10-20 15:39:09	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x7ace71…
10-20 15:38:48	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	11¢	$1	0x063247…
10-20 12:27:23	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x75dbe1…
10-20 12:27:20	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x37916c…
10-20 12:27:14	Dota 2: Team Synapse vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B	Yellow Submarine	BUY	9	78¢	$7	0x5545b1…
10-20 11:56:51	Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Power Rangers (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A	Team Lynx	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x1c6d9b…
10-20 04:07:48	Will Trump say "America First" or "Gulf of America" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	11	61¢	$7	0x065a71…
10-20 04:07:44	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in North Carolina?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x69c53d…
10-20 01:51:33	Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xd353fb…
10-20 01:21:12	Dota 2: Power Rangers vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Group A	HULIGANI	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xa57edf…
10-19 20:33:32	Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?	Yes	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x576e6b…
10-19 18:54:32	LoL: Mental Rush vs SK Gaming Avarosa (BO5) - LGC Rising Playoffs	Mental Rush	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0x63a740…
10-19 18:32:15	LoL: Vitality Rising Bees vs G2 HEL (BO5) - LGC Rising Playoffs	Vitality Rising Bees	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x1c5425…