Biodegradable-Occurrence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$284

Unrealized P&L

-$13

Hit rate

76.1%

Resolved

1,036

Trades

4,013

lifetime

Volume

$9.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$32

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-31 20:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Other

83% 68% +$209

Sports

10% 67% +$4

Politics

5% 66% +$67

Crypto

0% 50% -$5

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	Yes	+250	$20	4¢	$11	-$9	09-21 21:45
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	+20	$5	22¢	$4	-$1	10-28 19:29
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+15	$5	29¢	$4	-$1	10-27 21:58
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	+15	$6	29¢	$4	-$1	09-21 21:41
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+6	$4	67¢	$4	+$0	10-28 00:01
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+50	$4	6¢	$3	-$1	10-21 21:49
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	Yes	+200	$1	1¢	$1	+$0	10-29 21:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will tyler perrys joes college road trip be the 2 us netflix movie this week 418	3	$48	25	25	+0	No	-$1	02-19 19:15
nfl sf phi 2026 01 11	14	$48	72	72	+0	49ers	+$2	01-11 22:40
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	16	$48	115	115	+0	Yes	-$2	02-02 13:30
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?	14	$45	89	72	+17	Yes	+$0	01-12 21:14
will the super bowl national anthem last between 110 and 120 seconds 745	7	$43	44	44	+0	Yes	+$8	02-08 23:29
highest temperature in seattle on march 12 2026 46 47f	6	$39	40	40	+0	Yes	+$21	03-12 13:32
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees	9	$35	55	55	+0	New York Yankees	+$4	05-03 19:04
highest temperature in dallas on february 4 2026 54forhigher	6	$35	20	20	+0	Yes	+$3	02-04 14:04
highest temperature in dallas on february 8 2026 76forhigher	5	$35	35	35	+0	Yes	+$24	02-08 11:48
will trump say palestine or palestinian during board of peace events on february 19	3	$34	30	30	+0	Yes	+$26	02-19 17:33
highest temperature in chicago on february 15 2026 46forhigher	6	$34	28	28	+0	Yes	+$18	02-13 15:50
another us government shutdown by february 14	10	$33	100	100	+0	No	+$1	02-12 12:20
Cincinnati Reds vs. New York Mets	9	$33	49	49	+0	New York Mets	+$1	05-27 23:40
will bill clinton say white house during his epstein testimony	7	$32	180	180	+0	No	+$18	03-02 21:42
highest temperature in nyc on march 1 2026 38 39f	11	$31	42	42	+0	No	+$4	02-28 22:10
highest temperature in miami on april 13 2026 80 81f	8	$30	36	36	+0	Yes	+$2	04-12 17:42
highest temperature in atlanta on march 9 2026 78 79f	9	$29	43	43	+0	No	+$2	03-09 10:21
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	6	$29	20	10	+10	No	+$0	01-23 22:47
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	6	$28	30	30	+0	New York Mets	+$2	05-04 22:38
highest temperature in atlanta on april 13 2026 82 83f	14	$28	39	39	+0	Yes	+$1	04-13 00:30
highest temperature in miami on february 11 2026 76 77f	10	$28	54	54	+0	Yes	-$1	02-11 17:53
highest temperature in nyc on march 16 2026 58 59f	12	$26	45	45	+0	No	+$1	03-16 21:08
highest temperature in san francisco on april 12 2026 58 59f	7	$26	26	26	+0	Yes	+$8	04-13 00:31
highest temperature in nyc on february 23 2026 36forhigher	3	$26	20	20	+0	Yes	+$14	02-24 00:06
nfl buf den 2026 01 17	6	$26	30	30	+0	Broncos	+$2	01-17 23:47
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	11	$25	170	170	+0	No	+$1	05-06 10:14
highest temperature in nyc on february 13 2026 36 37f	12	$25	30	30	+0	No	+$3	02-13 03:03
highest temperature in nyc on april 14 2026 80 81f	6	$24	45	29	+16	No	-$2	04-14 07:26
will raja krishnamoorthi win the illinois democratic senate primary by between 3 and 6	3	$23	45	45	+0	No	+$22	03-18 01:48
ice forced to unmask by february 28	12	$23	171	171	+0	No	+$2	02-11 08:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 20:35:10	Houston Christian vs. Stephen F. Austin	Houston Christian	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xff89f8…
10-31 20:35:09	Houston Christian vs. Stephen F. Austin	Houston Christian	BUY	49	5¢	$2	0x0ccce5…
10-31 20:32:19	Houston Christian vs. Stephen F. Austin	Houston Christian	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xe6aabc…
10-31 19:03:31	UAB vs. South Florida	UAB	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x6599fb…
10-31 18:38:19	California vs. NC State	California	SELL	15	3¢	$0	0xfa3d06…
10-31 18:38:00	Michigan vs. Rutgers	Rutgers	SELL	30	4¢	$1	0xe0f66e…
10-31 18:36:52	SMU vs. Syracuse	Syracuse	SELL	20	39¢	$8	0xa9715f…
10-31 00:57:28	Harvard vs. Dartmouth	Harvard	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xd5f800…
10-30 23:59:39	Tulane vs. Charlotte	Charlotte	SELL	30	35¢	$10	0x5d7f32…
10-30 23:44:58	Harvard vs. Dartmouth	Harvard	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x1d3ce8…
10-30 23:38:58	Tulane vs. Charlotte	Charlotte	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x8bcf7c…
10-30 23:19:45	Tulane vs. Charlotte	Charlotte	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x34e717…
10-30 23:16:49	Harvard vs. Dartmouth	Dartmouth	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0xa05fa5…
10-30 22:58:40	Harvard vs. Dartmouth	Dartmouth	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x7bdb05…
10-30 14:49:10	Auburn vs. Ole Miss	Auburn	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xd4ec3a…
10-30 14:04:51	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 30?	Up	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0x16428f…
10-30 10:46:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 30?	Up	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xe3f7bc…
10-30 05:30:16	Auburn vs. Ole Miss	Auburn	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xd67bf3…
10-30 01:51:45	Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas	Florida Atlantic	SELL	11	25¢	$3	0xfeb470…
10-30 01:51:43	Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas	Florida Atlantic	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x67c389…
10-29 23:35:24	Troy vs. James Madison	Troy	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x983bc2…
10-29 21:37:45	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$1	0x64962b…
10-29 19:21:46	María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	13¢	$5	0x37aff6…
10-29 16:15:52	California vs. NC State	California	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x90d48c…
10-29 14:47:50	Auburn vs. Ole Miss	Auburn	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xf7bae1…
10-29 13:30:35	South Carolina State vs. Morgan State	Morgan State	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x7a06f8…
10-29 13:28:56	Auburn vs. Ole Miss	Auburn	BUY	15	18¢	$3	0x5d0230…
10-29 13:25:23	South Carolina State vs. Morgan State	Morgan State	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x3a11db…
10-29 12:33:58	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Down	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x79fa1b…
10-29 11:41:37	SMU vs. Syracuse	Syracuse	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x25576b…
10-29 11:03:13	SMU vs. Syracuse	Syracuse	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x783d17…
10-29 09:50:04	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 29?	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x685a47…
10-29 03:58:08	Colts vs. Jaguars	Colts	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x9791d5…
10-29 03:58:08	Colts vs. Jaguars	Colts	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x291509…
10-29 03:21:13	South Carolina State vs. Morgan State	Morgan State	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x5b700f…
10-29 00:40:40	Titans vs. Bengals	Titans	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x1dd3b7…
10-29 00:17:49	South Carolina State vs. Morgan State	Morgan State	SELL	13	33¢	$4	0xf630a9…
10-28 19:29:25	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xaf332a…
10-28 19:14:05	Auburn vs. Ole Miss	Auburn	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xec5606…
10-28 12:07:59	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x5dbb89…
10-28 12:07:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x06be43…
10-28 11:42:01	Cardinals vs. Cowboys	Cardinals	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x8bfb63…
10-28 10:37:04	California vs. NC State	California	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xe28ca2…
10-28 00:01:29	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x77563f…
10-27 23:41:41	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x4a3dbd…
10-27 23:29:05	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 28?	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5d5f52…
10-27 23:15:05	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x19c83b…
10-27 23:04:44	Troy vs. James Madison	Troy	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x5d625b…
10-27 21:58:24	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xacf892…
10-27 18:28:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x61f524…
10-27 17:16:14	María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	18	10¢	$2	0x74d0bc…
10-27 15:56:15	María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x676328…
10-27 13:12:48	María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x9f34ef…
10-27 12:34:38	María Corina Machado arrested before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x56bbc9…
10-27 11:23:41	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 27?	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x1dce51…
10-27 10:57:47	UAB vs. South Florida	UAB	BUY	3	26¢	$1	0x4d0141…
10-27 08:25:38	Michigan vs. Rutgers	Rutgers	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x6e045e…
10-27 06:47:42	Ravens vs. Bills	Ravens	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x4b961b…
10-27 04:39:26	Ravens vs. Bills	Ravens	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x3d417b…
10-27 02:15:18	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0xf29f0e…
10-27 02:13:35	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	SELL	15	39¢	$6	0xe42f94…
10-27 01:35:56	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x9d5aab…
10-26 18:43:26	Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x073d1e…
10-26 16:29:03	South Carolina State vs. Morgan State	Morgan State	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x915038…
10-26 16:27:02	Ravens vs. Bills	Ravens	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x2d7c52…
10-26 14:04:36	Florida Atlantic vs. North Texas	Florida Atlantic	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xcc5c6e…
10-26 13:31:17	Notre Dame vs. Navy	Navy	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x80c3a4…
10-26 06:18:33	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Eagles	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x69e305…
10-25 22:26:50	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Cardinals	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x6bc7c6…
10-25 22:25:56	Broncos vs. Cardinals	Cardinals	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x2a7ef9…
10-25 17:21:45	Colts vs. Vikings	Colts	SELL	13	46¢	$6	0xaf5b5d…
10-25 17:19:00	Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xd6833f…
10-25 16:04:11	Bengals vs. Ravens	Ravens	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x685622…
10-25 11:40:05	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x3a8dd7…
10-25 11:39:35	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	3	4¢	$0	0xdaf33b…
10-24 11:28:48	Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x5f9b63…
10-24 07:08:44	Will the Republican Party hold exactly 44 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x44abe1…
10-24 05:26:05	Will the Republican Party hold between 185 and 189 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x32602f…
10-24 00:16:36	UMass vs. UConn	UMass	BUY	15	11¢	$2	0xb98f06…
10-24 00:16:26	UMass vs. UConn	UMass	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xac4e1a…
10-23 23:59:48	UMass vs. UConn	UMass	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x8de343…
10-23 16:18:57	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0x846060…
10-23 15:18:33	UMass vs. UConn	UMass	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0x8c0be3…
10-23 15:18:30	UMass vs. UConn	UMass	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0x3bb2c7…
10-23 03:31:47	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	29¢	$4	0x3ace8e…
10-23 02:03:42	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x749b60…
10-23 01:39:29	Patriots vs. Bears	Patriots	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xde15cd…
10-23 01:03:08	Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL)	Pittsburgh	BUY	7	8¢	$1	0x49d4f1…
10-22 23:55:35	East Carolina vs. Memphis	East Carolina	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xc66c3f…
10-22 21:01:56	Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL)	Pittsburgh	BUY	43	8¢	$3	0xeec0ff…
10-22 17:09:00	West Virginia vs. TCU	West Virginia	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xaf0245…
10-22 12:00:24	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	81¢	$2	0x26c3d6…
10-22 11:00:18	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x81faa9…
10-22 05:55:01	East Carolina vs. Memphis	East Carolina	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xb9af12…
10-22 05:30:23	East Carolina vs. Memphis	East Carolina	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xe17e17…
10-22 05:30:23	East Carolina vs. Memphis	East Carolina	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x79de95…
10-22 04:36:45	East Carolina vs. Memphis	East Carolina	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0xf9c0b5…
10-22 02:03:54	UMass vs. UConn	UMass	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x280a8d…
10-21 23:11:00	California vs. SMU	California	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x122b4e…
10-21 21:49:54	Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xb8de16…