Naive-Hurricane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$60

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

68.9%

Resolved

Trades

418

lifetime

Volume

$5.86K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-19 23:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 61% +$60

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	4	$206	137	137	+0	open	—	05-14 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	5	$195	110	110	+0	open	—	05-16 15:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	3	$186	185	185	+0	open	—	05-16 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	4	$176	147	147	+0	open	—	05-16 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	5	$144	101	101	+0	open	—	05-14 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	7	$133	91	91	+0	open	—	05-14 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$130	96	96	+0	Down	+$30	05-13 15:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$118	108	89	+19	Up	$-2	05-13 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	10	$114	96	96	+0	open	—	05-14 10:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	2	$111	66	66	+0	open	—	05-14 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$109	75	75	+0	Up	+$9	05-13 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$109	89	89	+0	Down	+$9	05-13 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	7	$102	111	69	+42	open	—	05-14 10:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$101	62	62	+0	open	—	05-16 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	5	$100	110	64	+46	open	—	05-16 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$100	116	116	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 13:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	3	$98	85	85	+0	Down	$-2	05-13 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$90	64	64	+0	open	—	05-14 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	7	$88	62	62	+0	open	—	05-16 22:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	4	$81	51	51	+0	Down	+$21	05-13 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	9	$77	63	63	+0	open	—	05-17 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$75	45	45	+0	Down	+$15	05-13 14:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$75	79	62	+16	Up	$-5	05-13 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	4	$74	49	49	+0	Up	+$14	05-13 02:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	6	$68	66	66	+0	Up	+$8	05-14 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	9	$63	57	57	+0	Down	+$5	05-13 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$60	38	38	+0	open	—	05-16 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	6	$59	47	47	+0	open	—	05-16 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	4	$58	43	43	+0	Down	+$26	05-13 10:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	3	$54	71	3	+68	open	—	05-16 14:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-19 23:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x578bed…
05-17 12:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x2b6663…
05-17 12:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x178337…
05-17 12:41:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	23	53¢	$12	0x67e15b…
05-17 12:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x58b1c3…
05-17 12:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x7c4463…
05-17 12:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xef6baa…
05-17 12:35:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	31	39¢	$12	0xa52ec9…
05-17 12:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xe585a2…
05-17 12:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdd762e…
05-17 12:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x89f47b…
05-17 12:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	65¢	$12	0xc6e2d4…
05-17 12:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xccab82…
05-17 12:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x239eb2…
05-17 12:10:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xa528d3…
05-17 12:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xde1fa4…
05-17 12:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xd5451e…
05-17 12:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	SELL	26	40¢	$11	0xcde6f3…
05-17 12:01:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xe20625…
05-17 11:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	88¢	$23	0x5c0f7d…
05-17 11:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xeefeb8…
05-17 11:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xd4d5fd…
05-17 11:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3bd43e…
05-17 11:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x2a73ec…
05-17 11:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x4fe9e0…
05-17 11:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	36	43¢	$16	0x3c1f8a…
05-17 11:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xbf28e3…
05-17 11:55:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x6dc869…
05-17 11:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8dca24…
05-17 11:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x544f0d…
05-17 11:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x0c77c2…
05-17 11:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xfe3fc0…
05-17 11:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0x1fe458…
05-17 11:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xddf22e…
05-17 11:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xbea0cb…
05-17 11:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xddc28d…
05-17 10:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	21	58¢	$12	0x29725b…
05-17 10:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xf26717…
05-17 10:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbc0171…
05-17 10:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x44bb78…
05-17 10:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x4e9672…
05-17 10:03:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	23	61¢	$14	0x5ad389…
05-17 10:03:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	41¢	$10	0x963bef…
05-17 09:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xffc3d9…
05-17 09:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x6a6373…
05-17 09:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4df061…
05-17 09:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x429f2b…
05-17 09:25:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xf36a4f…
05-17 09:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x1f3de4…
05-17 09:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0xfcc4b0…
05-16 23:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x87af60…
05-16 23:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	47	77¢	$36	0x6b7be6…
05-16 23:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xfad741…
05-16 23:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xee3879…
05-16 22:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x1e8499…
05-16 22:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0d9ca2…
05-16 22:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x00ff9f…
05-16 22:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	33	71¢	$23	0x94406a…
05-16 22:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x6c0408…
05-16 22:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x13910f…
05-16 22:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x48dc6d…
05-16 22:48:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	27	84¢	$22	0xce24e7…
05-16 22:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xf9af5a…
05-16 22:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x56f9d5…
05-16 22:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	15	51¢	$8	0x8675b9…
05-16 22:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xdb669a…
05-16 22:46:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x4e9ed6…
05-16 22:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x36f892…
05-16 22:15:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x06c170…
05-16 22:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x75fa2a…
05-16 22:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x228bd6…
05-16 22:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xa929ac…
05-16 16:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6bde69…
05-16 16:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa8a944…
05-16 16:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x134004…
05-16 16:17:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	34	64¢	$22	0x489147…
05-16 16:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb1a49b…
05-16 16:15:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x251bdd…
05-16 16:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2a537b…
05-16 16:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x794e43…
05-16 15:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0xe527cd…
05-16 15:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xf499d3…
05-16 15:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x570d98…
05-16 15:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0xe6188b…
05-16 15:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa182c4…
05-16 15:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0xce73e9…
05-16 15:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	110	91¢	$100	0x79e9f0…
05-16 15:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x84793b…
05-16 15:31:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x189001…
05-16 15:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x576b66…
05-16 15:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0x0b2155…
05-16 15:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	46	55¢	$25	0x21b752…
05-16 15:27:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	41	64¢	$26	0x7d0775…
05-16 15:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xca436e…
05-16 15:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	23	56¢	$13	0x28e514…
05-16 15:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x96da33…
05-16 15:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	62	83¢	$51	0x604b28…
05-16 15:10:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	62	81¢	$50	0x498075…
05-16 14:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	SELL	185	60¢	$111	0x42ec41…
05-16 14:50:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xedda22…