Jumbo-Tailbud — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$316

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.4%

Resolved

Trades

428

lifetime

Volume

$41.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$96

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-18

last 05-09 20:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 28% $-316

Politics

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$1.7K	1,780	0	+1,780	open	—	04-25 11:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	3	$1.3K	1,779	0	+1,779	open	—	04-25 12:13
btc updown 5m 1776807000	3	$1.3K	1,586	609	+977	open	—	04-21 21:34
btc updown 5m 1776808500	1	$1.1K	1,514	0	+1,514	open	—	04-21 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	1	$1000	1,467	0	+1,467	open	—	04-25 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	2	$1000	1,401	0	+1,401	open	—	04-25 12:22
btc updown 5m 1776893100	1	$900	1,193	0	+1,193	open	—	04-22 21:29
btc updown 5m 1776720300	3	$875	1,329	378	+950	open	—	04-20 21:28
btc updown 5m 1776805200	1	$800	856	0	+856	open	—	04-21 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	3	$720	1,074	627	+447	open	—	04-25 11:14
btc updown 5m 1776892800	2	$712	673	647	+27	open	—	04-22 21:24
btc updown 5m 1776979500	2	$700	966	0	+966	open	—	04-23 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	1	$600	671	0	+671	open	—	04-26 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	2	$600	699	0	+699	open	—	04-25 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$588	768	0	+768	open	—	04-25 20:14
eth updown 5m 1776892500	4	$577	783	740	+43	open	—	04-22 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$550	1,045	0	+1,045	open	—	04-26 10:03
btc updown 5m 1776806100	5	$508	640	470	+170	open	—	04-21 21:18
btc updown 5m 1776980100	1	$500	714	0	+714	open	—	04-23 21:37
btc updown 5m 1776980400	1	$500	621	0	+621	open	—	04-23 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$500	557	0	+557	open	—	04-26 11:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$500	505	0	+505	Down	+$5	05-09 20:14
btc updown 5m 1776720000	1	$500	617	0	+617	open	—	04-20 21:22
btc updown 5m 1776719700	1	$485	894	0	+894	open	—	04-20 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$472	275	275	+0	Up	+$72	05-09 19:54
btc updown 5m 1776980700	4	$412	1,897	1,782	+115	open	—	04-23 21:49
btc updown 5m 1776807900	4	$400	1,330	1,249	+81	open	—	04-21 21:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$400	943	0	+943	open	—	04-25 12:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	1	$400	670	0	+670	open	—	04-25 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	1	$400	526	0	+526	open	—	04-25 12:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 20:18:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x3acff7…
05-09 20:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0xc1e393…
05-09 20:12:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	158	6¢	$10	0xce6244…
05-09 20:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x2e7596…
05-09 20:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x8b9e0b…
05-09 20:02:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	162	62¢	$100	0x7b8952…
05-09 20:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	122	18¢	$22	0x90b3fc…
05-09 19:59:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0xc93db4…
05-09 19:55:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0xfe956e…
05-09 19:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	275	99¢	$272	0x4012f7…
05-09 19:53:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	275	73¢	$200	0x63d80f…
05-09 19:49:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	121	15¢	$18	0x438377…
05-09 19:46:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	121	63¢	$76	0xaebb39…
05-09 19:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	123	40¢	$50	0xc0a8e6…
05-09 19:44:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	330	3¢	$10	0xb1eed9…
05-09 00:03:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	812	4¢	$30	0x5654ee…
05-09 00:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	144	35¢	$50	0xf7789a…
05-08 23:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	389	77¢	$300	0xc3c747…
05-08 23:58:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	163	22¢	$35	0x8bd61c…
05-08 23:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xecc7db…
05-08 23:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x746825…
05-08 23:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	181	47¢	$86	0x747a46…
05-08 23:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	312	42¢	$132	0x6604ba…
05-08 23:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0xffaadd…
05-08 23:46:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	630	8¢	$50	0xd37758…
04-26 21:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x297523…
04-26 21:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	671	89¢	$600	0xecac6d…
04-26 21:11:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0xfbcb91…
04-26 21:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x5b5b25…
04-26 21:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x9a7bcf…
04-26 21:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xa4282c…
04-26 21:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x7d3f61…
04-26 21:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x05262f…
04-26 21:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xe487d4…
04-26 21:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd8347f…
04-26 21:11:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	105	5¢	$5	0x87abce…
04-26 21:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	32	5¢	$2	0x3d6f55…
04-26 21:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xd0c2e5…
04-26 21:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x673c70…
04-26 21:11:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x4011e6…
04-26 21:11:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x98a342…
04-26 21:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	338	5¢	$17	0xe27919…
04-26 21:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xa2ca7c…
04-26 21:11:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0x84790d…
04-26 21:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	374	54¢	$200	0x979df0…
04-26 21:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	280	22¢	$62	0x12500d…
04-26 21:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xa90176…
04-26 20:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	391	40¢	$155	0x0b5a7f…
04-26 20:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	367	27¢	$100	0x35af4e…
04-26 20:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	306	33¢	$100	0x5380f6…
04-26 20:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x835da0…
04-26 20:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	192	36¢	$70	0x70282c…
04-26 20:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	362	83¢	$300	0x830f9b…
04-26 20:18:56	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x6ce355…
04-26 20:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x76f4bf…
04-26 13:48:30	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	122	76¢	$93	0xdb63dc…
04-26 11:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	557	90¢	$500	0xb467c0…
04-26 10:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0x1fbc73…
04-26 10:50:04	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x6ce0ba…
04-26 10:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	87	67¢	$58	0xaeb7e3…
04-26 10:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	140	71¢	$100	0x88f53c…
04-26 10:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0xa3e1db…
04-26 10:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x6432ab…
04-26 10:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x9edc8b…
04-26 10:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	517	97¢	$500	0x98a779…
04-26 10:02:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x69c17d…
04-26 10:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	528	9¢	$50	0x4824a8…
04-26 09:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	148	68¢	$100	0xa87c83…
04-26 09:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xfb14bf…
04-26 09:52:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x7e5b0d…
04-26 09:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x3d741e…
04-26 09:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x684df8…
04-26 09:50:24	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x63247d…
04-26 09:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0xb4a7bd…
04-26 09:47:52	Solana Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xf8a2c1…
04-26 09:43:00	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	103	10¢	$10	0xd2d753…
04-26 09:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x544f26…
04-26 09:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	58	51¢	$30	0x21bbcf…
04-26 08:57:56	Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xdbb620…
04-26 08:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	105	57¢	$60	0x248868…
04-25 23:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	346	7¢	$25	0xdf8122…
04-25 23:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	201	50¢	$100	0x7f7ce3…
04-25 23:17:06	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0x428d89…
04-25 23:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	73	61¢	$45	0x6e9aa2…
04-25 23:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	444	57¢	$255	0x1bdb5d…
04-25 23:02:50	Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0x1e54fd…
04-25 21:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	605	1¢	$6	0x13d9aa…
04-25 21:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xecfcf1…
04-25 21:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xb6fa07…
04-25 21:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x34aea2…
04-25 21:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xed03ea…
04-25 21:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	33	5¢	$2	0xb3741a…
04-25 21:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xa5554e…
04-25 21:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x9b3644…
04-25 21:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x9b330e…
04-25 21:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x4fefcd…
04-25 21:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x4490f4…
04-25 21:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x396fd0…
04-25 21:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x21fbb8…
04-25 21:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	338	89¢	$300	0x938742…