Grim-Analytics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$363

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

537

Trades

1,256

lifetime

Volume

$15.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 08-24 22:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 56% -$366

Other

27% 50% +$16

Politics

2% 38% -$7

Sports

0% 67% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cricipl kol luc 2026 04 09	9	$520	626	601	+25	Lucknow Super Giants	+$31	04-09 17:47
cricipl kol sun 2026 04 02	8	$451	357	353	+4	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$21	04-02 17:22
cricipl mum kol 2026 03 29	7	$430	605	441	+164	Mumbai Indians	-$40	03-29 16:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:00 UTC	6	$419	296	294	+2	Down	+$7	03-29 07:03
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Gujarat Titans	9	$246	421	413	+8	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$2	04-24 17:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:55 UTC	3	$235	290	206	+84	Down	+$3	03-29 06:58
cricipl raj roy 2026 04 10	3	$214	296	201	+95	Rajasthan Royals	-$10	04-10 17:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-10 06:35 UTC	2	$210	127	125	+2	Up	+$9	04-10 06:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 07:10 UTC	3	$209	131	109	+22	Up	-$11	03-29 07:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:10 UTC	3	$205	155	132	+23	Up	-$9	03-29 10:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 06:50 UTC	4	$189	219	216	+3	Up	+$7	03-29 06:52
cricipl del mum 2026 04 04	5	$189	249	144	+105	Delhi Capitals	-$36	04-04 10:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:55 UTC	2	$187	138	137	+2	Up	+$9	03-28 18:59
cricipl che pun 2026 04 03	5	$182	185	149	+36	Punjab Kings	-$8	04-03 18:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-07 06:00 UTC	6	$181	245	235	+10	Down	-$29	04-07 06:05
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings	7	$179	498	486	+12	Punjab Kings	+$19	04-25 12:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:35 UTC	2	$177	122	122	+1	Down	-$18	03-28 18:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-29 10:20 UTC	2	$177	223	220	+3	Down	+$15	03-29 10:20
bitcoin up or down april 6 2026 6am et	4	$173	162	157	+5	Up	-$12	04-06 10:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 18:40 UTC	3	$172	118	115	+3	Up	+$15	03-28 18:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-28 17:45 UTC	2	$172	133	131	+2	Down	+$30	03-28 17:46
cricipl roy luc 2026 04 15	4	$165	413	404	+9	Royal Challengers Bangalore	-$72	04-15 15:40
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	3	$160	285	284	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$17	04-29 17:24
Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5	2	$156	205	205	+0	Under	+$41	04-30 20:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-14 20:50 UTC	3	$147	111	109	+2	Down	+$10	03-14 20:54
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-04-03 08:00 UTC	6	$133	204	194	+10	Down	+$3	04-03 11:33
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?	3	$132	96	95	+1	Yes	+$35	04-27 19:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 04:10 UTC	4	$126	148	59	+88	Down	-$8	03-25 04:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-25 12:35 UTC	2	$125	100	98	+2	Up	+$19	03-25 12:36
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-11 00:00 UTC	3	$112	192	0	+192	Down	-$19	04-11 00:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-24 22:19:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 22:20 UTC	Up	BUY	37	51¢	$19	0xb21575…
08-24 22:16:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 22:15 UTC	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x748be8…
08-23 18:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	13	75¢	$10	0xbdec26…
08-23 18:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x5377b2…
08-23 18:40:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x116c11…
08-23 18:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	37	50¢	$18	0xb5477d…
08-23 18:36:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0xdcd42a…
08-23 18:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	38	69¢	$26	0x194804…
08-23 18:34:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	51¢	$20	0x1796a8…
08-23 18:32:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0xea6689…
08-23 18:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xff27e9…
08-23 18:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xe73cec…
08-23 18:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x91d7db…
08-23 18:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x2a2d86…
08-21 00:14:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 00:15 UTC	Up	SELL	12	63¢	$7	0x8b5a8c…
08-21 00:14:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 00:15 UTC	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x8e9bc6…
08-21 00:12:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x2f3502…
08-21 00:11:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 00:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x954ada…
08-20 23:57:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x1defe6…
08-20 23:55:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 23:55 UTC	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4244d2…
06-02 04:35:57	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Colorado Rockies	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x53d854…
06-02 04:34:55	Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels	Colorado Rockies	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbb1f4a…
06-01 15:22:56	Will Morocco win on 2026-06-02?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x42eeb4…
06-01 15:22:47	Will Colombia win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x82330c…
06-01 15:22:42	Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	BUY	3	83¢	$2	0x0f3cd4…
06-01 15:22:35	Will Slovakia win on 2026-06-01?	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0xb675c5…
06-01 14:23:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1f8aab…
05-30 07:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	56	30¢	$17	0xe83dae…
05-30 07:07:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	22	25¢	$5	0x1bb28d…
05-30 07:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	78	22¢	$17	0x9fa1ce…
05-30 06:14:51	Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x34005c…
05-22 17:01:59	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	SELL	21	6¢	$1	0x3934b5…
05-22 14:31:11	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xe06e58…
05-02 10:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x02a357…
05-02 10:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	87¢	$10	0x845478…
05-02 08:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x702cc7…
05-02 08:01:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xdd3927…
05-02 08:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1ea4e3…
05-02 07:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x0cb11a…
05-02 07:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x38ef01…
05-02 07:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x69592e…
05-02 07:37:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x9fd417…
05-02 07:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x3d4c28…
05-02 07:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x47a9c6…
05-02 07:23:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	26	22¢	$6	0x837fd7…
05-02 07:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0x35c0e7…
05-02 07:18:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0xb760e9…
05-02 07:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	30¢	$3	0x586581…
05-02 07:14:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0xa77964…
05-02 07:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x4b94bd…
05-02 07:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0xb52833…
05-02 07:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0xaa7f08…
05-02 07:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	91	26¢	$24	0x66cb66…
05-02 07:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	24	48¢	$11	0xd580b4…
05-02 05:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	22¢	$2	0x67999a…
05-02 05:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0xd2a785…
05-02 05:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xc740c6…
05-01 21:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa1de29…
05-01 21:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6bb91a…
05-01 21:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x5cc991…
05-01 21:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2b2926…
05-01 21:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	47	2¢	$1	0xf3574f…
05-01 21:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xe7bdd9…
05-01 21:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x5b0a85…
05-01 21:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x4f5821…
05-01 21:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x4e87e6…
05-01 21:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	27	2¢	$1	0x29696e…
05-01 21:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x230e22…
05-01 21:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x111b44…
05-01 21:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x03f283…
05-01 21:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	76	53¢	$40	0x9407c1…
05-01 21:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	76	42¢	$32	0x2ee543…
05-01 21:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0xff4b87…
05-01 21:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xee2c0f…
05-01 21:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	15	2¢	$0	0xba461a…
05-01 21:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xb78bda…
05-01 21:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x9cd47a…
05-01 21:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0x7116c1…
05-01 21:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x5ab0d3…
05-01 21:34:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x05339a…
05-01 21:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	2¢	$0	0xdaeebb…
05-01 21:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0xb4a198…
05-01 21:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x14b2e1…
05-01 21:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x389717…
05-01 21:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x41cd21…
05-01 16:26:38	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	Rajasthan Royals	SELL	17	47¢	$8	0x299ce3…
05-01 16:06:56	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	17	67¢	$11	0x417966…
05-01 08:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	26	47¢	$12	0x265a37…
05-01 08:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x6ef54c…
05-01 08:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x068de9…
05-01 08:02:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x1912c9…
05-01 08:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xe1f784…
05-01 07:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xfaad52…
04-30 20:27:38	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5	Over	SELL	205	48¢	$98	0xfd9b78…
04-30 20:15:32	Nottingham Forest FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	205	28¢	$57	0x3d0ef0…
04-30 17:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	39	75¢	$29	0x6101ea…
04-30 17:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	313	3¢	$9	0xf0815b…
04-30 17:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	53	20¢	$10	0x8647ff…
04-30 17:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	SELL	32	36¢	$11	0x360492…
04-30 17:10:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	32	33¢	$10	0x5627ae…