Blissful-Brushfire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.5%

Resolved

Trades

3,961

lifetime

Volume

$16.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-02

last 05-16 21:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% $-15

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 374 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp updown 15m 1772634600	60	$381	252	282	-30	open	—	03-04 14:44
btc updown 5m 1773156600	6	$308	283	278	+4	open	—	03-10 15:32
btc updown 5m 1772946900	3	$303	244	240	+4	open	—	03-08 05:17
btc updown 5m 1772946600	4	$286	227	224	+4	open	—	03-08 05:13
xrp updown 5m 1772685900	5	$274	383	379	+4	open	—	03-05 04:47
btc updown 5m 1772943900	4	$267	163	161	+2	open	—	03-08 04:30
btc updown 5m 1773461700	81	$223	230	213	+17	open	—	03-14 04:21
btc updown 15m 1773543600	80	$220	218	212	+6	open	—	03-15 03:13
btc updown 15m 1773437400	83	$217	220	205	+16	open	—	03-13 21:39
sol updown 15m 1772634600	59	$215	264	104	+159	open	—	03-04 14:42
btc updown 5m 1773447900	64	$210	210	197	+13	open	—	03-14 00:29
xrp updown 5m 1773802200	3	$203	278	113	+165	open	—	03-18 02:53
xrp updown 5m 1773801900	8	$202	133	132	+1	open	—	03-18 02:50
btc updown 5m 1773448200	68	$195	180	177	+3	open	—	03-14 00:35
xrp updown 15m 1773679500	53	$186	206	107	+99	open	—	03-16 16:54
btc updown 5m 1773448500	63	$185	200	176	+24	open	—	03-14 00:38
eth updown 15m 1772835300	72	$181	210	205	+5	open	—	03-06 22:28
btc updown 5m 1773526800	65	$180	200	156	+44	open	—	03-14 22:24
btc updown 5m 1773504000	55	$179	220	126	+93	open	—	03-14 16:04
btc updown 15m 1773679500	48	$178	190	106	+84	open	—	03-16 16:56
xrp updown 5m 1773686400	45	$172	122	91	+31	open	—	03-16 18:44
btc updown 5m 1773503700	53	$168	170	136	+34	open	—	03-14 16:02
btc updown 5m 1773461400	47	$161	177	139	+38	open	—	03-14 04:14
xrp updown 5m 1772679600	6	$154	131	130	+1	open	—	03-05 03:03
btc updown 5m 1773156900	2	$152	224	221	+3	open	—	03-10 15:38
btc updown 5m 1773448800	46	$151	179	118	+61	open	—	03-14 00:43
btc updown 5m 1773504300	58	$148	182	145	+37	open	—	03-14 16:09
btc updown 5m 1773156300	5	$140	270	0	+270	open	—	03-10 15:27
btc updown 5m 1773504600	45	$138	167	110	+57	open	—	03-14 16:13
btc updown 5m 1772918700	3	$137	109	108	+1	open	—	03-07 21:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 21:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	63	17¢	$11	0x3bac46…
05-16 21:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xc3c7f6…
05-16 21:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x43657b…
05-16 21:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9c042d…
05-16 21:13:47	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	59	48¢	$29	0xa03057…
05-16 21:13:14	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0xe5825b…
05-16 21:10:47	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3ee353…
05-16 21:10:26	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	21	72¢	$15	0x100abd…
05-16 21:01:50	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xa1c012…
05-16 21:01:41	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x465a56…
05-16 20:57:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x8b2bc8…
05-16 20:55:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x049874…
05-16 20:54:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x3a0ff4…
05-16 20:53:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xc62522…
05-16 20:42:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	30	47¢	$14	0x9eaaee…
05-16 20:41:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x2d8684…
05-16 20:41:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xb5c0c6…
05-16 20:41:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x54516a…
05-16 20:40:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa2accc…
05-16 20:38:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0xe95d13…
05-16 20:38:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	29	35¢	$10	0xc9556c…
05-16 20:38:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	12	35¢	$4	0x3b7359…
05-16 20:37:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	36¢	$0	0x4218c2…
05-16 20:37:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xab6398…
05-16 20:37:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xf39dd6…
05-16 20:37:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x33f9f2…
05-16 20:37:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0x33848c…
05-16 20:36:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xb84c0c…
05-16 20:36:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x16e038…
05-16 20:35:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xaede83…
05-16 20:35:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x057286…
05-16 20:35:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x61cd77…
05-16 20:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xc43cc1…
05-16 20:31:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x66f135…
05-16 20:31:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x48b600…
05-16 20:31:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$5	0x1107b5…
05-16 20:31:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x95b997…
05-16 20:31:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x0b6647…
05-16 20:30:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd7ff2c…
05-16 20:30:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xeafd79…
05-16 20:30:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x98c5c2…
05-16 20:29:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x2049c8…
05-16 20:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0xd67c7a…
05-16 20:29:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x0ee0e4…
05-16 20:28:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	6	43¢	$3	0xd8c8a6…
05-16 20:28:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	43¢	$2	0xf8981b…
05-16 20:28:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x4f9ca0…
05-16 20:28:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4e98f9…
05-16 20:27:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xd1594f…
05-16 20:27:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x91de21…
05-16 20:27:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x463245…
05-16 20:27:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	19¢	$0	0xe56f2f…
05-16 20:26:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x9e942e…
05-09 02:38:50	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0xa2f476…
05-09 02:37:37	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xe47e9f…
05-09 02:37:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xa2b5a2…
05-09 02:37:09	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$2	0x5c3a3b…
05-09 02:37:07	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xe303c9…
05-09 02:37:07	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xa39273…
05-09 02:37:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x8600eb…
05-09 02:37:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x4137dc…
05-09 02:37:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0x2aaf25…
05-09 02:36:56	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x330c22…
05-09 02:36:53	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xdc7c9c…
05-09 02:36:53	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x4bd61c…
05-09 02:36:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5505e0…
05-09 02:36:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x02a431…
05-09 02:36:34	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x72fb9c…
05-09 02:36:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x838806…
05-09 02:36:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x261aa9…
05-09 02:36:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x269bba…
05-09 02:36:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x069720…
05-09 02:36:13	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x7756ff…
05-09 02:36:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x9b137a…
05-09 02:36:09	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xa4a6e5…
05-09 02:36:09	XRP Up or Down - May 8, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x6c5f44…
05-08 02:37:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	6¢	$0	0xdf5cb8…
05-08 02:36:11	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x3fb7b5…
05-08 02:36:09	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xeeed14…
05-08 02:35:48	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x708cee…
05-08 02:35:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x6e2877…
05-08 02:35:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x4f996a…
05-08 02:35:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x7efb1e…
05-08 02:35:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xcee569…
05-08 02:31:29	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xbac71e…
05-08 02:31:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0xa4a77b…
05-08 02:31:27	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	47¢	$3	0x822c7a…
05-08 02:30:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xc3fb58…
05-08 02:30:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x4f376b…
05-08 02:30:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0xbdd5e5…
05-08 02:30:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x17e011…
05-08 02:30:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	63¢	$2	0xc640a6…
05-08 02:30:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x4e4875…
05-08 02:30:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x818205…
05-08 02:30:19	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x6f5d91…
05-08 02:30:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	53¢	$4	0xb29d26…
05-08 02:30:14	XRP Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xc9e82b…
05-08 02:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x830836…
05-08 02:30:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7cecc7…
05-05 20:36:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	41	88¢	$36	0x4937b0…