Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
84.7%
Resolved
37
Trades
189
lifetime
Volume
$190
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$64
30 positions
First seen
2026-11-13
last 11-13 23:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
79% 90% +$1
Crypto
8% 71% -$1
Politics
6% — —
Tech
6% 100% +$0
Sports
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Robert Pattinson announced as next James Bond? No +8 $4 62¢ $5 +$1 11-13 23:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 11-13 04:19
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 11-13 04:31
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 11-13 04:31
Will Teddy Riner win the 2027 French presidential election? No +4 $4 98¢ $4 $0 11-13 22:42
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 13? No +3 $1 100¢ $3 +$2 11-13 05:49
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? No +3 $3 99¢ $3 +$0 11-13 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on November 14? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 11-13 16:34
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 13? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 11-13 06:13
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? No +3 $2 76¢ $2 +$0 11-13 05:30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from November 13 to November 20, 2026? No +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 11-13 16:40
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 11-13 05:18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 13? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 +$0 11-13 06:13
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 13? No +2 $2 100¢ $2 +$0 11-13 06:13
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on November 14? No +2 $2 99¢ $2 $0 11-13 16:34
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November? Yes +77 $2 2¢ $2 $0 11-13 05:47
Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of December 2026? No +8 $2 22¢ $2 $0 11-13 06:19
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? No +57 $2 3¢ $2 $0 11-13 04:19
Will "Victorian Psycho" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2.5m? No +20 $1 8¢ $2 +$1 11-13 23:28
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? No +3 $2 58¢ $2 $0 11-13 04:31
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on November 13? No +2 $1 99¢ $2 +$1 11-13 06:13
Will Pete Hegseth be the first of these people impeached by December 31, 2027? No +2 $1 60¢ $1 +$0 11-13 05:11
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026? Yes +3 $1 42¢ $1 +$0 11-13 19:25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 83¢ $1 +$0 11-13 05:40
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C on November 13? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 11-13 05:49
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on November 14? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 11-13 05:34
Will Jensen Huang join Google next? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 11-13 05:06
Will Jensen Huang join SoftBank next? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 11-13 05:05
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? No +23 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 11-13 16:29
Will Josh Hokit be the UFC Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 11-13 04:15