Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$66

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$299

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-06

last 10-26 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

68% 17% -$16

Other

32% 33% -$50

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	No		+25	$3	10¢	$2	-$1	10-18 05:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	3	$113	211	164	+47	No	+$32	09-21 14:34
Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	2	$25	71	0	+71	Yes	-$25	09-15 20:36
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	1	$23	53	0	+53	Yes	-$23	10-06 06:34
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	1	$19	79	0	+79	No	-$19	10-23 04:46
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	2	$17	33	33	+0	Yes	+$7	10-22 04:46
Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	1	$15	223	0	+223	Yes	-$15	09-21 14:36
Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?	1	$14	229	0	+229	Yes	-$14	09-06 19:14
Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?	1	$13	18	0	+18	Yes	+$5	09-14 17:28
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	2	$10	14	14	+0	No	-$2	10-26 08:37
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	2	$10	14	14	+0	Yes	$0	10-22 04:46
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	2	$8	10	10	+0	Yes	$0	10-26 08:37
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	2	$7	8	8	+0	No	-$1	10-20 05:44
Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	2	$5	23	23	+0	No	-$1	10-26 09:25
Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	1	$5	83	0	+83	No	-$5	09-21 14:42
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	1	$5	6	0	+6	No	+$1	10-06 06:33
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	1	$4	16	0	+16	Yes	-$4	10-18 05:41
Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	1	$3	25	0	+25	open	—	10-18 05:40
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?	1	$2	175	0	+175	No	-$2	09-21 14:38
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$2	3	3	+0	No	$0	10-20 05:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 09:25:51	Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	23	10¢	$2	0x11e24d…
10-26 08:37:29	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x708596…
10-26 08:37:11	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	31¢	$4	0x89d1ed…
10-23 04:46:33	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?	Yes	BUY	79	24¢	$19	0x956a5d…
10-22 04:46:47	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	SELL	14	33¢	$5	0x845fca…
10-22 04:46:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	SELL	33	36¢	$12	0xb2b650…
10-20 05:44:48	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	SELL	8	33¢	$3	0x0aa3b2…
10-20 05:44:32	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xbd8f58…
10-18 05:41:35	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0xd17c10…
10-18 05:40:26	Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?	No	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x4a057b…
10-06 07:10:16	Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x189c7a…
10-06 06:47:54	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	No	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7f99c9…
10-06 06:40:24	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?	Yes	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x4037ac…
10-06 06:38:16	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?	Yes	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x87d119…
10-06 06:34:03	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	43¢	$23	0x74dbe3…
10-06 06:33:24	Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x7e1546…
09-21 14:46:00	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x9f4d20…
09-21 14:43:14	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x9654b8…
09-21 14:42:15	Iran full airspace closure by September 30?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x6a32e8…
09-21 14:39:29	Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x7adc27…
09-21 14:38:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%?	Yes	BUY	175	1¢	$2	0x469299…
09-21 14:36:51	Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	223	7¢	$15	0x4eb2f5…
09-21 14:34:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x89d245…
09-21 14:30:35	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	164	30¢	$49	0xd68d6c…
09-19 09:30:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	164	30¢	$49	0x3c5717…
09-15 20:36:09	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0x17b7f8…
09-14 17:28:21	Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	71¢	$13	0xa74208…
09-06 19:14:49	Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?	No	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0xcc65c7…
09-06 19:14:03	Will United Russia win the next Vologda Oblast Parliament elections?	No	BUY	229	6¢	$14	0xf87bea…