Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18.5K

Unrealized P&L

+$3.26K

Hit rate

85.2%

Resolved

Trades

275

lifetime

Volume

$258.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$940

Open exposure

$18.3K

2 positions

First seen

2026-08-13

last 10-04 17:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

60% 75% -$27,088

Other

40% 100% +$8,544

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No		+18,364	$14,444	96¢	$17.6K	+$3,175	09-29 18:29
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No		+684	$547	93¢	$636	+$89	09-22 12:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	46	$32.7K	26,779	10,030	+16,749	No	+$2,195	09-29 01:43
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	16	$29.9K	15,472	15,472	+0	No	+$1,002	09-16 18:41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	13	$26.7K	15,353	15,353	+0	No	+$1,436	09-24 17:02
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	16	$25.6K	28,097	0	+28,097	No	-$25,587	09-15 20:54
us announces end of iranian blockade by september 14 2026	9	$19.9K	23,286	0	+23,286	No	+$3,432	08-29 12:08
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	4	$18.4K	19,838	0	+19,838	No	+$1,463	09-01 11:23
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	18	$15.6K	11,890	11,890	+0	open	—	09-25 14:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	12	$14.8K	16,518	0	+16,518	No	+$1,735	09-16 18:55
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	32	$14.4K	18,364	0	+18,364	open	—	09-29 18:29
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	7	$11.7K	12,205	0	+12,205	No	+$465	08-26 12:55
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?	5	$9.4K	9,753	0	+9,753	No	+$320	08-25 13:38
Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	25	$9.1K	10,183	0	+10,183	No	+$1,126	09-29 18:30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	3	$7.1K	8,705	0	+8,705	Yes	-$7,100	09-16 18:52
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?	16	$7.0K	7,577	198	+7,379	No	+$757	09-28 19:06
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	3	$5.6K	5,988	0	+5,988	No	+$384	08-25 16:13
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	34	$3.5K	4,239	0	+4,239	open	—	10-04 17:10
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?	2	$3.1K	3,158	0	+3,158	No	+$99	08-25 13:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	3	$2.1K	1,110	1,110	+0	No	+$93	09-03 15:53
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	1	$559	571	0	+571	Yes	+$11	09-22 12:29
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	1	$547	684	0	+684	open	—	09-22 12:13
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?	4	$508	538	0	+538	No	+$30	08-26 12:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	5	$407	442	0	+442	Yes	-$407	09-15 19:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 17:10:31	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	69	88¢	$60	0xd95107…
10-04 17:05:38	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	63	88¢	$56	0x071966…
10-03 21:19:38	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	250	90¢	$225	0xd57072…
10-01 20:41:20	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf0ffc8…
10-01 10:59:53	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	55	80¢	$44	0xb73fd8…
09-29 18:30:21	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	No	BUY	1,790	87¢	$1,557	0xbe48bc…
09-29 18:29:23	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	30	83¢	$25	0x7e6483…
09-29 18:29:23	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	303	83¢	$251	0x6a2b39…
09-29 01:43:35	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	96	96¢	$93	0x10fca9…
09-29 01:42:41	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	527	97¢	$508	0xd291f0…
09-28 19:06:29	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?	No	SELL	198	94¢	$186	0xcdb4d2…
09-28 13:29:18	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by october 31	No	BUY	327	77¢	$253	0x28c653…
09-26 13:46:27	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	246	95¢	$234	0x8e0c0a…
09-26 13:36:17	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	33	94¢	$31	0xd3c4b5…
09-26 13:36:17	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	1,067	94¢	$1,003	0xa507ac…
09-26 13:10:41	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	46	94¢	$44	0x532cfc…
09-26 13:10:14	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	1,691	94¢	$1,593	0x4ffd39…
09-26 00:31:54	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	170	89¢	$151	0x9a7270…
09-26 00:31:53	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	1,806	89¢	$1,607	0x81ec92…
09-26 00:31:53	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	134	89¢	$119	0x3ac81b…
09-26 00:31:53	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	101	89¢	$90	0x26a614…
09-26 00:06:08	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	425	88¢	$376	0x117b52…
09-25 23:48:11	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xcd96ff…
09-25 23:47:53	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0x32b47e…
09-25 23:47:17	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	15	88¢	$13	0x8f2c47…
09-25 23:47:06	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x33c807…
09-25 23:46:50	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0xf43420…
09-25 23:46:38	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x355bf2…
09-25 23:46:27	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	3	88¢	$2	0x43e0b2…
09-25 23:46:26	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	48	88¢	$42	0xf5a866…
09-25 23:46:26	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	20	88¢	$18	0x9b9325…
09-25 23:46:26	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	12	88¢	$11	0x8be286…
09-25 23:46:26	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	541	88¢	$476	0x400512…
09-25 23:46:26	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	43	88¢	$38	0x1c8cfa…
09-25 21:49:26	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	SELL	993	88¢	$874	0x6f0a15…
09-25 14:06:00	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,467	65¢	$954	0xe6c7b6…
09-25 11:55:15	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,348	66¢	$1,550	0x0b4fc0…
09-24 17:02:02	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2,920	91¢	$2,657	0x90ce4a…
09-24 16:55:44	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xca10b0…
09-24 16:55:42	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,000	91¢	$2,730	0xc0231d…
09-24 16:53:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	160	91¢	$146	0x8d52cf…
09-24 16:50:33	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	222	91¢	$202	0x9cbe58…
09-24 16:47:56	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x81194a…
09-24 16:47:54	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,195	91¢	$1,088	0x9c9b4c…
09-24 16:47:09	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,600	62¢	$992	0x94a167…
09-23 11:29:23	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 30 2026 20260727171615364 722 649 646 561 213 644 414 831	No	SELL	7,848	92¢	$7,220	0xaf5945…
09-23 11:28:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454 592 696	No	SELL	6,475	66¢	$4,288	0x43274d…
09-22 12:34:43	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	80	90¢	$72	0xc44633…
09-22 12:29:25	US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?	Yes	BUY	571	98¢	$559	0x328cf6…
09-22 12:28:46	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	324	93¢	$301	0x45e5f6…
09-22 12:19:45	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	22	73¢	$16	0xf0bad1…
09-22 12:19:34	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,183	86¢	$1,018	0xe5bd66…
09-22 12:17:46	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xd66aee…
09-22 12:16:49	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x40b53a…
09-22 12:16:43	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x7f36ac…
09-22 12:16:34	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xcd2a4c…
09-22 12:15:46	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x5c37e1…
09-22 12:15:43	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x82e58d…
09-22 12:15:43	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x27a3e9…
09-22 12:15:42	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?	No	BUY	1,995	96¢	$1,915	0x4411a4…
09-22 12:13:13	Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?	No	BUY	684	80¢	$547	0x4888cc…
09-22 12:02:48	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x843f93…
09-22 11:58:54	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0xd4f079…
09-22 11:54:40	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	274	93¢	$254	0xa637f8…
09-22 11:51:09	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	48	91¢	$44	0x863b69…
09-22 11:49:54	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?	No	BUY	69	94¢	$65	0xfc0e46…
09-22 11:47:39	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$37	0x980e3f…
09-22 11:47:12	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xebeca5…
09-22 11:46:52	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	87	74¢	$64	0x097305…
09-22 11:46:27	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	119	74¢	$88	0xd69a4a…
09-22 11:46:03	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xb4443d…
09-22 11:46:00	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	92	73¢	$68	0xb1aac7…
09-16 18:58:27	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	64¢	$1,920	0xfda2f5…
09-16 18:55:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	3,006	96¢	$2,876	0x3e14f0…
09-16 18:52:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,710	82¢	$4,678	0xf4be4b…
09-16 18:48:40	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	761	87¢	$662	0x3acbeb…
09-16 18:46:13	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x69efd6…
09-16 18:46:00	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2,990	81¢	$2,418	0xf1fcfa…
09-16 18:44:31	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x9f9000…
09-16 18:44:18	US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by October 31?	No	BUY	520	85¢	$442	0x8fba7f…
09-16 18:41:58	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	SELL	13,009	100¢	$12,996	0xa221d5…
09-15 20:54:31	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,151	93¢	$3,860	0x73b230…
09-15 19:02:07	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	426	92¢	$391	0x691ffe…
09-15 17:38:49	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7fbed2…
09-15 17:32:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x9aca6e…
09-15 13:04:43	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfde8ef…
09-15 12:58:43	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	2,200	82¢	$1,804	0xd62aed…
09-15 12:45:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	BUY	3,200	95¢	$3,040	0xdc7533…
09-15 12:01:49	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	331	81¢	$268	0x663512…
09-15 11:54:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	BUY	92	95¢	$87	0xdcb568…
09-15 11:53:19	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0xc201a8…
09-15 11:50:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0x73e711…
09-15 11:40:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x709675…
09-15 11:40:15	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 21 2026	No	BUY	837	95¢	$795	0x343215…
09-15 11:35:57	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	1,233	81¢	$998	0xef67fd…
09-15 11:34:13	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?	No	BUY	98	95¢	$93	0x14bb79…
09-15 11:27:06	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	No	BUY	2,707	95¢	$2,572	0xaa7f5c…
09-15 11:26:28	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	505	80¢	$404	0xfb7a2d…
09-15 11:26:28	Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?	No	BUY	1,000	80¢	$800	0x435dbf…
09-15 11:22:58	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8,389	92¢	$7,712	0xad2380…