Cold-Paragraph — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.18K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

2,747

Trades

6,174

lifetime

Volume

$61.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-19

last 10-28 08:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$3,180

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 51 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:25 UTC	44	$332	235	230	+6	Down	+$129	06-16 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 14:10 UTC	12	$297	236	233	+4	Down	+$23	06-16 14:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:10 UTC	12	$280	192	190	+3	Down	+$44	06-16 19:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:40 UTC	16	$271	179	174	+4	Up	+$79	06-16 18:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 19:05 UTC	12	$270	301	301	+0	Up	-$126	06-16 19:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:10 UTC	8	$227	154	150	+4	Up	+$74	06-16 18:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 18:55 UTC	9	$220	178	175	+3	Down	+$26	06-16 18:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 17:05 UTC	14	$211	176	175	+1	Up	-$26	06-16 17:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 17:35 UTC	8	$193	118	115	+3	Down	+$37	06-16 17:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:50 UTC	13	$191	115	112	+3	Down	+$34	06-16 13:52
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-20 13:30 UTC	7	$177	115	112	+4	Up	+$48	06-20 13:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 17:50 UTC	8	$173	128	127	+2	Up	+$15	06-16 17:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 07:45 UTC	9	$171	226	105	+121	Up	-$148	06-16 07:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:45 UTC	11	$157	123	79	+44	Up	+$0	06-16 13:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:10 UTC	3	$154	106	106	+0	Up	+$54	06-12 09:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-22 16:35 UTC	45	$150	300	0	+300	Down	-$150	06-22 16:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 07:10 UTC	1	$150	300	0	+300	Up	-$150	06-10 07:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:30 UTC	5	$150	300	0	+300	Up	+$150	06-09 17:31
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 23:15 UTC	13	$150	300	0	+300	Up	-$150	06-09 23:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:45 UTC	17	$150	300	0	+300	Up	-$150	06-09 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 17:40 UTC	1	$150	300	0	+300	Down	+$150	06-09 17:44
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-10 06:40 UTC	28	$150	300	0	+300	Down	-$150	06-10 06:41
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:45 UTC	14	$150	300	0	+300	Down	+$150	06-09 16:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 09:15 UTC	2	$149	104	104	+0	Up	+$52	06-12 09:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 16:50 UTC	5	$149	300	0	+300	Down	-$149	06-09 16:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 02:00 UTC	16	$147	100	100	+0	Up	+$49	07-10 02:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 12:55 UTC	7	$146	184	95	+89	Up	-$4	06-16 12:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 17:45 UTC	6	$145	89	86	+2	Up	+$28	06-16 17:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 13:55 UTC	9	$140	83	81	+2	Up	+$22	06-16 14:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-16 16:35 UTC	6	$137	80	78	+2	Up	+$19	06-16 16:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:34:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x0c301a…
10-28 08:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x7d0e11…
10-28 08:31:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xab97ce…
10-28 08:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x503f30…
10-28 08:21:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x5b9c79…
10-28 08:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x4f08d1…
10-28 08:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	6	65¢	$4	0x80ffab…
10-28 08:20:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5c28ba…
10-28 07:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9407bf…
10-28 07:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x1b1505…
10-27 21:04:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x73cceb…
10-27 21:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xa1d54b…
10-27 20:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x8d778b…
10-27 16:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x2a55c0…
10-26 22:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x913097…
10-26 22:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0xf7a4ff…
10-26 22:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0xf965ea…
10-26 22:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0x3a425d…
10-26 22:34:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xac87bd…
10-26 22:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	33¢	$11	0x0f195a…
10-26 22:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	49¢	$11	0xbf7b81…
10-26 22:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	24	57¢	$14	0xd368f9…
10-26 22:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x45dcd8…
10-26 22:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x1da207…
10-26 22:23:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	8	75¢	$6	0x54e466…
10-26 22:21:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x7ee125…
10-26 22:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0x895116…
10-26 22:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0xe66da7…
10-26 22:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	17	68¢	$12	0x392cee…
10-26 22:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0x191ae1…
10-26 22:19:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	17	75¢	$12	0x759afb…
10-26 22:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0xea7054…
10-26 22:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	SELL	12	95¢	$12	0x87de29…
10-26 22:12:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	89¢	$11	0x2f222a…
10-26 22:05:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	77¢	$13	0xf24db5…
10-26 22:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	66¢	$11	0x610d8f…
10-26 22:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x9711ea…
10-26 22:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x1703cd…
10-26 22:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xc3ff1e…
10-26 22:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x4536f6…
10-26 22:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xda6285…
10-26 22:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	52¢	$4	0x49b365…
10-26 22:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x235bde…
10-26 22:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x61bf72…
10-26 22:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x6b5ecb…
10-26 22:00:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x884f9b…
10-26 21:59:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xb217f4…
10-26 21:58:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	SELL	18	74¢	$13	0x81f072…
10-26 21:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	62¢	$11	0x054d9a…
10-26 21:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0xed3fec…
10-26 21:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xee29b0…
10-26 21:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xc3d105…
10-26 21:46:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	28	39¢	$11	0x112a78…
10-26 21:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	8	58¢	$4	0x9c07f6…
10-26 21:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xf12058…
10-26 21:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	27	68¢	$18	0x47c869…
10-26 21:41:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	27	41¢	$11	0x3fd140…
10-26 21:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xec6a9b…
10-26 21:28:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x8af6d4…
10-26 21:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	46	9¢	$4	0x35b299…
10-26 21:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	46	24¢	$11	0x37813c…
10-26 21:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x989607…
10-26 21:23:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xbc0160…
10-26 21:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	18	24¢	$4	0xca215c…
10-26 21:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x844a34…
07-13 14:16:47	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x1e3494…
07-13 14:02:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xaab8b2…
07-13 13:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x8acc56…
07-13 13:45:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xed103d…
07-13 13:09:31	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xdf2c6f…
07-13 09:34:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x7ea582…
07-13 08:46:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0xfcaabb…
07-13 08:46:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0xdfefcc…
07-13 08:46:14	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x611abb…
07-13 07:39:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 07:35 UTC	Down	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0x705edf…
07-13 06:47:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf4c2d9…
07-13 06:47:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x7dd7ae…
07-13 06:47:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 06:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$7	0xb07301…
07-13 05:41:53	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x037dff…
07-13 05:17:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:15 UTC	Up	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x370814…
07-13 05:12:44	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 05:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xa2bead…
07-13 04:15:43	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 04:15 UTC	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0xe5a319…
07-13 03:22:47	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8ed514…
07-13 03:22:47	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x327354…
07-13 03:22:47	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x27f4dd…
07-13 03:22:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x120c29…
07-13 03:13:58	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0xac390d…
07-13 03:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0xbe22d1…
07-13 03:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x28b4a0…
07-13 03:13:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x00b54c…
07-13 03:11:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xcc587c…
07-13 03:11:23	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xc71933…
07-13 02:44:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe56310…
07-13 02:44:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd97dab…
07-13 02:44:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbeaec6…
07-13 02:44:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xbc193a…
07-13 02:44:32	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:40 UTC	Up	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x6e3134…
07-13 02:40:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:40 UTC	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$5	0x4f0676…
07-13 02:15:52	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xced6f1…
07-13 02:15:49	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb055cb…